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Faulty Intelligence on Iran and its Nuclear Weapons

Updated on August 17, 2012

So, it seems, Iran will get or already has, a nuclear weapon device. Even if the US and Israel attack now, at best, the delay for its nuclear weapon program is only 5 years, tops. If Israel attacks, maybe 3 years. Delay for what? Seems like bad intelligence had already made the case in that, it was already late- at least 10-15 years late, according to some accounts.

Par for the course, the Soviets first tested their first nuke in 1949, which was four years before US intelligence had projected it. It happened again, when in 1964, China tested their first one, months before the US intelligence projected it. US intelligence was wrong again in 1991, with Saddam Hussein, and again in 1998, when India conducted their test long before the US thought it could.

In 2002, the first leak about Iran's nuclear weapons program was found out, Yet, it seems it had already been happening for many years before the "awakening". What followed was a constant miscalculation as to what Iran had produced in weapons grade uranium, now, some believe they have enough for a dirty nuclear bomb.

The sanctions have only partially worked, with close to $100 billion in reserves, Iran can probably outlast them, plus many countries are exempt from the sanctions, allowing them to buy Iranian oil. How many? try 20 of them! Obama really has created some effective sanctions.

Bottom line is that the world should expect an Iran with nuclear bombs because the West has done, too little, too late and not everyone thinks that an Iran with a nuke is a bad thing.

God, what planet are they on?

working

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