ArtsAutosBooksBusinessEducationEntertainmentFamilyFashionFoodGamesGenderHealthHolidaysHomeHubPagesPersonal FinancePetsPoliticsReligionSportsTechnologyTravel

Why Educate Our Children When Jobs Are Gone For Ever.

Updated on February 22, 2015
Source

Today our jobs have been replaced with Technology. What can we expect tomorrow? The world economy is changing fast and more profoundly than ever before. Unemployment is rampant, governments are bailing each other out of debt, computers run our lives and our cities have gone to ruin. What’s our plan?

Source

It has been some time since Man came down from the trees. We have created governments and wars in an effort to live harmonious. With each passing year we have teetered technology to do our work for us. Technology has now advanced to the point where humans need to do little work to sustain the life they have become accustom to. So, one would think it is time to kick up our feet and live life to its fullest. Not quite.

The consequence of technology doing our work is far reaching and will require deep changes within society and governments if we are to continue our lavish lifestyle.

The idea of technology taking over our work place is not new, however, the extent and speed in recent years is not. Society has not planned on so many financial sectors being affected simultaneously. Some of the industries experiencing dramatic changes are:-

Source

Telephone Networks – Gone

What are the telephone companies thinking. The guys who reaped huge profits in the past will fall hard. A big explanation is not needed here, in a word. Skype. Why on earth would you want to engage the telephone company and pay for the call. Just like internet Explorer, Bill Gates has integrated Skype into Windows 8 and 2nd generation Windows 7. It cannot be removed; it is part of the operating system. We had seen the use of Skype in work situations but now every kid I know is doing it. (Oh my phone is out of credit – not a problem switch to Wi-Fi.) - Job losses are in the millions

Abandoned retail store
Abandoned retail store | Source

Shopping Centres – Dwindled to showrooms and service centres

We all know shopping centers are disappearing due to online purchases. With that we will lose a huge amount peripheral stuff which supported the shopping centres such as, the construction, the utilities, the staff, and the cars travelling to and from - Job losses are in the billions.

Microsoft Surface2
Microsoft Surface2 | Source

Computers – not as we know them today

No home PC, just the tablet and the smart TV remain. In the work place the mouse and the keyboard are gone and replaced with a voice recognition terminal with a touch screen monitor lying flat on the desk like a book. Hence Microsoft’s new brand name, Surface.

Computers and software do not fail as they did in the past. It was not that long ago when business network down time was a normal part of the day. Now little or no intervention is required to keep the network running – IT jobs were lost years ago, today loses are minimal.

Source

Education - Maybe we don't send them off

Courses offered by traditional brick and mortar institutions are now offered by the same intuitions but are available online. It is here, it is alive. This is fantastic like every other innovation mentioned here, and also has its pit-falls. How many people are employed by your local college - Job losses are in the millions.

Manufacturing - robot and nano technologies

Your local Coca-Cola plant has upgraded; at the entry there are water supply pipes, tanks of syrup and beads for making PET plastic. The exit is just trucks being loaded by machines. Inside the plant are machinery and service technicians. That’s it.

Employees do not load trucks, fill bottles, or conduct QC. Supervisors are not required. In fact if all is going well there are no humans inside the plant at all. Most manufacturing companies are restructuring to take advantage of new robot and nano technologies - Job losses will be in the billions.

Transportation

Beam me up Scottie. Could anyone imagine what teleporting would do to the economy. At least 50% of all jobs gone. Oh Dear, no trucks, no FedEx, no ships, no cars, no escalators, no elevators, no roads and no State Trooper. Today teleportation is becoming a reality, Scientists have Found a way to teleport atoms on optic fibres - source http://www.news.com.au/breaking-news/aussie-scientists-teleport-snap-frozen-atoms/story-e6frfkp9-1111113926446#ixzz2ftJ8b6UV Scientists find way to teleport atoms on optic fibres

Maybe we should leave teleporting alone for a while :)

By Gabriel Caprav
By Gabriel Caprav | Source

Antenna & Cable TV

Local TV stations are feeling the pinch of the advertising dollar going to internet sites rather than on TV commercial breaks. TV stations could get on the band wagon and join the internet frenzy but they seem to be missing it completely. Today most TV stations do have a web page but they are void of revenue advertising, both on their home page and their video content. They seem to be removing the advertising from the shows before they put the show on the net. If local TV stations could also stream their same content (including advertisements) on the net then they may have a chance. A bit like a You Tube channel slowly gaining followers – Job loses minimal, just a shift in the advertising dollar.

Cable TV is gone. No hope for them at all – Job losses minimal.

Personal Income

With all these jobs gone, a blowout of poverty will need to be averted. Society will need foot this bill and distribute wealth evenly amongst the unemployed. There are a few scenarios in which this could be achieved:-

  • Increase taxes and share the money with the income less.
  • Everyone endeavours to own financial stocks from a young age.
  • World governments become partially socialist or communist and share the wealth evenly.

Source

Governments

Government policy and platforms will need to change to incorporate wealth distribution. These types of changes have never come easily and will not be easy this time. Governments may need to be brought to their knees before changes of this nature could be realized Other countries, such as China and India, most probably have little to change as their models fit the socialist distribution of wealth to a degree. Please do not confuse these statements with outright Communism; I am only suggesting a tweaking to the Capitalist model to better care for the underprivileged. It was not Communism that invented the smart phone. Without incentives we simply do not invent or grow. Capitalism breeds both.

What type of Changes to government do you think would work?

See results
Source

The Silver Lining

Honest, there simply has to be some good of all this. I have scoured the net trying to find an answer, especially for the people currently affected by job losses. I am just an ideas guy so it is all hearsay.

The countries which are not affected by the job losses, such as India, China, and South Korea are the very counties who will increase their personal wealth in the short term. By the billions they still need more Kitchen appliances, cars, clothing, food, and all the raw materials to put them together. This is massive. As the world becomes leaner with their manufacturing, countries will emerge as the leanest manufacturers of certain items. Their area of expertise, if you like. USA might grow the soya beans, produce the steel & microprocessors and so on, whilst Australia mines, and grows beef. China’s expertise might remain in home consumables.

These shifts in production have been ongoing but are more pronounced recently. Trade agreements between China and the USA (and many other countries) are in place. USA builds 200 Boeing aircraft for the China; The USA sells to China agricultural products and technology parts. See www.businesstoday-eg.com/business/asia-pacific/china-to-buy-200-boeing-aircraft.html In fact, the amount the USA is exporting to China is rising quickly. The World Policy Institute stated “From 2000 to 2011, U.S. exports to China increased by approximately 640 precent, from about $16 billion to $104 billion. During this period, American exports to China grew seven times faster than U.S. exports to all other countries in the world except for Canada and Mexico” – source http://www.worldpolicy.org/blog/2012/12/10/united-states-can-benefit-china%E2%80%99s-rise

People will say at home to perform their online transactions and their college/University courses. Not so much will the students be far flung across the country but stay, and continue to live in their hometown. Effectively bringing the family unit back home. That's got to be good.

It is not all doom and gloom. With planning and cooperation it will not be apocalyptic either. But rather prosperous, peaceful and dynamic – We have a very bright future indeed.

If we fail to plan then we have planned to fail.

Will the world be a better place in 2050

See results

It is not only good to throw this issue into the open but more importantly the purpose of this hub is to bring ideas and solutions to the forefront. We need your input - please comment.

Comments

    0 of 8192 characters used
    Post Comment

    • profile image

      radiantwriting 4 years ago

      This Hub is flat out insightful. Remember the days of the operator on the telephone? Gone, gone, gone!!! QueScout, so many issues I had not even thought of. While scary, it is so educational in the fact that you have showcased the fact that governments and countries just need to know in which direction we are headed and plan. I have a friend here in the U.S. who is a full time police officer, his roommate works from home part time as an IT Specialist, troubling shooting company problems with their computers. My friend said his roommate makes more doing his job - that he can do anywhere he can take his laptop- and part-time than he did full time as a police officer. I tried to talk my daughter into majoring in computer science in school as that is the way things are going.

      Remember when the ATM machines were new? I worked in a bank in the early 80's as the ATM consultant. I was paid for the first two weeks that we had a new ATM machine installed (in the retirement community of Palm Springs, California) to watch the video to make sure it did not miss-disperse. Many of the retirees that had questions were reverted to me. They hated it!! I asked the manager what I should do and was told "This generation will not become acclimated to the ATM, but the next one and the one after that will embrace it as they have grown up with it." Look, thirty years later, we all enjoy the convenience of the ATM. Recently in Idaho, I worked for a Union grocery store that somehow was able to incorporate Auto Checkstands - taking away the jobs of four checkers. At first, of course, everyone hated them and said they were taking away jobs, but as the years went by, sure enough, people would rather go to these than the human checker!

      Great Hub!!!! Really makes me think!!! Thanks for writing it!!!

    • Que Scout profile image
      Author

      Stephen Hodgkinson 4 years ago from Sydney Australia

      Hi Radiantwriter

      Thanks for your rewarding comments about my new hub.

      I think I still need to do a few small changes like removing the voting section. I think it is a little intrusive to ask readers what their political preferences are. I will change it to ask about the solutions, like increase taxes and so on.

      Your comment on introduction of the ATMs is so true. The newer generation took to it like ducks to water. The first time I used an ATM was in Lebanon Tennessee in the 80's too. I suppose the desk teller's jobs were gone years ago. I forgot about that.

      But wow, I forgot about the grocery line checkouts being replaced with self-serve checkouts. I do not use the self-serve line, not because I am in the older generation, and not because I am bit of a techo nut, but because self-checkouts are work. I simply do not want to look up what type of fresh beans I selected nor their weight or fiddle with the spare change I wanted to use for the transaction. I think this method of checkout has the potential to be in every store, not just the grocery.Not every store will do it, some will have the combination of traditional and self like all the big grocery store in Australia. If it has not already happened, I expect some discount stores to go 100% self-serve shortly. Vending machine stores. This could wipe an other 5 million American jobs.

      On another note, but very on topic. Westfield Properties, the largest shopping mall owner in Australia (possibly the world) reaped great profits in past years. They built more malls all over the world. Now they have sold some of their USA assets and talking of selling some of their Ozzy ones too in the retail down turn. See as fresh as a daisy http://www.smh.com.au/business/westfield-likely-to...

    • profile image

      radiantwriting 4 years ago

      The one thing that I did not note was the downfall with the Self Checkouts were that many people got away with theft. They had one checker watching four checkouts and taking checks (those are a thing of the past also), while so many would "accidentally" forget the large items on the bottom of their carts - so it's not foolproof - not YET at least

    • profile image

      radiantwriting 4 years ago

      Stephen, I also like the political voting section of this hub - it really makes me think. Almost seems that Communism is the only way this program could work - look at the old Soviet Union!

    • CHRIS57 profile image

      CHRIS57 4 years ago from Northern Germany

      The cup is always half full, not half empty.

      We should all understand that 80% of the world population is living on a per capita income that is a magnitude smaller than that of the US or peer western economies. If those 80% want to catch up, this offers plenty of chances and opportunities. Not much to worry about.

      There is only one little piece of logic to be observed. Prosperity only comes from making something, harvesting something. And the effort each economy on this planet has to invest to produce stuff is almost everywhere the same. It is like a universal watermark compared to the fraction of economy that is used for services. Every economy that produces less than shown on the watermark level, will have to import stuff, will have to pay for it with a gradual loss of mutual prosperity. Translate making stuff to jobs, translate prosperity to having something to distribute through services and you get a little insight of what went wrong with the US economy, if i may say. Not enough production, persistent trade deficits, those are the fundamentals why the US economy and all other troubled economies have a hard time to follow global positive trends. If countries don´t even produce enough to keep up their own status quo, then how are those countries able to participate in world economic development.

      Please forgive the macroeconomic viewpoint of my statement. But we need to stand back a little and watch things from distance. Technological development, loss of jobs has nothing to do with cash machines in banks or with self service checkouts in grocery stores. Both examples are service, no good to demonstrate the overall principles of job loss due to productivity gains.

    • Que Scout profile image
      Author

      Stephen Hodgkinson 4 years ago from Sydney Australia

      CHRIS57

      I like your macroeconomic viewpoint. I find your comments valuable and your insight brilliant. A worthwhile writer to follow - I shall.

      However, I beg to differ that "services" do not make the world go around, and I would like to know your thoughts. I think services do, and here is the live example:-

      Countries like Australia have adopted a "service" economy in that they import manufactured product then add service to the product. This service will in turn reap employment and profits through warehousing, transportation, sales, and finance. I did wonder 20 years ago, when this model was put into place how Australia could keep going this way. If countries do not produce tangible, touchable product how can their GDP grow. Indeed, is does grow; basically Australia buys the imported product for almost free (see China's export policy incentives), then sell with a very hefty GP indeed. Little money went overseas, jobs were created, infrastructures were utilized and everyone made some money. GDP is kept stable due to the large exports from Australia of raw materials. If anyone would like to question this model then look at the recent (20 years) Australian economic figures compared to the USA, Europe and Asian figures.

      Loss of jobs, I think, must have something to do with cash machines in banks and with self service checkouts in grocery stores; I have friends who lost their jobs as tellers, and checkout chics. Tell them technology did not replace their jobs or cause them to foreclose on their home.

    • CHRIS57 profile image

      CHRIS57 4 years ago from Northern Germany

      Scout,

      producing means also harvesting, not only making stuff. And that includes exploitation of natural resources. So whatever an economy is living on, squeezing oil and gas out of the ground, making consumer products, growing food, only this is what makes up the prosperity of an economy. Service then is needed to distribute the wealth created through production among participants of the economy.

      You first have to grow and harvest the potatoe, then you can wash and peel and deepfreeze and transport and chip and slice and fry and package and serve it. The only tradeable good is the potatoe. You have to feed yourself and your family by eating this one potatoe, no matter of how often it was washed and peeled and how many members of your family were involved in preparing poor potatoe. It is only one potatoe, no matter if the peeling was done by an automat or with a knife.

      Australia is rich in natural resources which can be traded for products in need. If Australias imports and exports are fairly balanced, this means nothing else but that the economy lives in harmony with the world around. One of the lucky few.

      Problem is that there are few economies on this planet that have a balanced trade. Over the past 50 years a concentration of trade surplus economies took place. There are fewer and fewer economies that run surplusses and more and more economies that run deficits. You mentioned China and Korea. Yes they are some of the surplus countries. If you look at the 200 economies on this planet and just cut out all those living on exploitation of natural resources, then you end up with less than 20 countries, less than 10% who make more goods than they consume. These countries are the factories of the world. China, Korea, Japan, Northern Europe, chances are very high that your car, your coffee maker, your lawn mower or even your hair spray is originated in one of those countries.

      This issue is facing the world (just look at the huge trade offsets between China and the US), it is inherent in economic blocks (Euro crisis and the productivity gap between Northern Europe and Southern Europe), within countries (Italy with productive North and the low performing Mezzogiorno or Germany with an imcomplete assimilation of East Germany), within states and communities as well as individual households where one person is the earner and many are the takers.

      IMHO this is the underlying dilemma behind all economically dire situations on our planet. I am no economist, but i think that leading economic schools (Keynesian, Austrian..) either overlook this or can´t give an answer.

      Again, this is macro. Of course individual situation of people having lost their jobs is regrettable. But you don´t get them back into jobs on a large scale by holding their hand (subsidizing job entry, like Hollande does right now in France) or by blaming productivity gains through technological progress (machine breakers: happening in the UK and Germany in the 19th century).

    Click to Rate This Article