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Musings on the American Election:More Like a Agatha Christie Thriller

Updated on May 4, 2020
emge profile image

An senior air warrior and political observer who has the pulse of the region and can sense a change when it comes.

Introduction

When the month of January dawned this year it was apparent that Trump had the upper hand. The economy was doing well and the unemployment was at its lowest. The presumptuous Republican nominee was pretty sure he would win the November election as the Democrats appeared to be in disarray. Then came the coronavirus and changed the equation completely. Suddenly Trump began to lose support among the masses and his ratings began to slip proportionate to the rise in the death toll in America. To date almost 70,000 have died and that's a pretty high figure, more than the number killed in nine years of the Vietnam war.

The likely Democrat candidate Joe Biden did not look all that hot especially when business dealings of his son came up and an old case of molestation in 1993 caught up with him. He has denied it but then it was expected of him. No man will accept such an allegation against him least of all a presidential candidate. One, however, needs to bear in mind the old red Indian adage, ' there is no smoke without fire'. I don't think I have to elucidate further on this.

The coronavirus earlier referred to by Trump as the "China Virus" has however completely changed all equations. I wonder why Trump stopped using that terminology immediately. China had objected to it vociferously, no doubt about it but then the 26 patents that Ivanka Trump got from China for her beauty goods earning her sizeable sum of money be a cause as well?

Trump was a bit slow to react to the virus. In the initial stages he did not take it seriously and he went around praising President Xi and China for the way it was handling the virus. Too many people it raised eyebrows but then the virus engulfed America and Trump was supposed to change tracks. Over the weeks it has become apparent that Trump did not take the China threat seriously and now the intelligence sources and many other leaders of the world are convinced that China played a dubious game in the spread of the virus. We do not know all the facts yet because China has rejected any investigation by an independent team of scientists and experts. This shows that China has something to hide.

In talks with my friends in America a strange fact was put forward to me. It appears there is a thinking in the Democratic party that Joe Biden can be persuaded to sit back and the nomination handed over to Hillary Clinton with Barack Obama as running mate. The very thought of this will give cold feet to Donald Trump and put paid to his hopes of re-election in November. Agatha Christie is a famous mystery writer and the coming election with all its ingredients is nothing short of a mystery that will be difficult to solve.




What if Obama teams with Hillary

These are early days and the way China's perfidy and the coronavirus are spreading its tentacles anything can happen. Trump wants the economy to open up because America has no choice if it wants to remain as the number one economic power. As it is there are almost 30 million unemployed and the economy has suffered a $1 trillion loss. The flipside is the virus and one doesn't know what will happen if the economy is completely opened and life brought back to what it was before. Experts have cautioned that it could lead to hundreds of thousands of deaths and that will be a very big price to pay to try to remain the number one economic power.

In such a scenario in case the nomination is handed to Hillary Clinton with Barack Obama as her running mate for Vice President the fat will be in the fire for President Trump. It will be a Herculean task for him to win again.

Barack Obama has his niche in the American psyche and most Americans feel he did a good job. In case he becomes the running mate to Hillary Clinton, in my view, it would be all over for Donald Trump bar the shouting.

What does the Constitution say? Obama can certainly stand for vice president but the tricky question is what happens in the case of Hillary as president, is incapacitated at any stage. Can Obama as Vice President step into her shoes? I am not a constitutional expert but some people have opined that this would be perfectly legal. In that case, history would have been created.

All this is in the realm of conjecture at the moment but with the way, the events are unfolding and the threat from China is emerging anything can happen. President Trump is on a sticky wicket and his tenure has seen a slide in American prestige all over the world. His deference to China is difficult to understand. One can recollect that he visited China and also invited the Chinese President before he met the other world leaders.


Last Word

America is in a state of flux. It is on a dangerous cusp on the curve and the need of the hour is a strong nationalist leader. America certainly does not lead a leader who has contacts with China and who believes that a relationship with China will be helpful to America. Both Biden and Trump fail at the bar of China.

These are early days and the election is still five months away. The China virus will be a big factor in the coming election. What happens if the economy is opened and deaths start to multiply? even today there are almost 2000 deaths per day due to the virus when there is a lockdown on. Experts have cautioned against a complete opening up.

Throughout history, America has always faced adversity and got away with it. This time the stakes are high and one does not know which way the dice with spin. What I have written is the opinion of former White House and Pentagon official Douglas MacKinnon, a longtime Republican, getting creative in an op-ed in The Hill about a potential replacement ticket for the 2020 election. One can take it with a pinch of salt.

Comments

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    • emge profile imageAUTHOR

      MG Singh 

      2 weeks ago from Singapore

      Thank you, Leslie McCowan, for your comment. A dice has 6 sides and yours is one side. Haven't come across any supporter of China yet but you are an exception. Best of luck.

    • lovemychris profile image

      Leslie McCowen 

      2 weeks ago from Cape Cod, USA

      Well, I’m sorry, I don’t think China is a threat at all. They have too much to worry about than puny America. They are colonizing Africa, they have the big New Silk Road, they grabbed the solar industry because Republicans gave it away......couldn't let Obama have a victory, nononononono.

      I still say, and remain: Our enemy is Russia and organized crime. Rightwing greedy libertarians, and selfish tea party, who want everything their way.

      China is the new punching bag for Trump to take the eyes off his incompetence. Or worse.

      Why would they want to rule over us? They have plenty of the rest of the world. I think that idea is wrong.

      But, that is only my opinion. And I am biased. I love Chinese people. Probably love all people.....it’s the leaders that suck. Some of them.

      I wish America would get it together, and harness our real strength......our diversity!

      We have people from all over. That means every kind of intelligence, trickery, war strategies are here......why are we not using them? Or maybe we are.

      Don’t blame people for winning the game.....find a way to beat them.

      Intelligently.....not through brutality. Brutality is the horror show hell on earth.

      And We all have plenty of that.

    • emge profile imageAUTHOR

      MG Singh 

      2 weeks ago from Singapore

      Pamela, that was the game of China. They have got out of this virus effect and are going around testing more weapons but the west led by the USA is facing Hamlet's question-to be or not to be. That is sad.

    • Pamela99 profile image

      Pamela Oglesby 

      2 weeks ago from Sunny Florida

      I do not now where we go with China as they sure weren't honest about this virus. When Trump stopped flights from China he was criticized for acting too early. I don't know if anoher person would have shut the country down more quickly, but it is bad.

      The economy is in trouble and people do need to be back at work for countless reasons. Some can't buy food, etc. It is a difficult problem as how do you open up the economy and still keep people safe.

    • emge profile imageAUTHOR

      MG Singh 

      3 weeks ago from Singapore

      Thanks, Kyler, China is a secretive state and one should not forget that they have colonised Tibet and Sinkiang. I do not see them winning in the long run.

    • Kyler J Falk profile image

      Kyler J Falk 

      3 weeks ago from Corona, CA

      I have a lot of trouble discerning the legitimacy of info coming out of China, they do a really good job at keeping everyone quiet. Perhaps that in and of itself is a telltale sign of their impending implosion, but question is do they have a "Samson Option" or will they try to keep it just as quiet as their political discourse?

    • emge profile imageAUTHOR

      MG Singh 

      3 weeks ago from Singapore

      Thanks, Kyler J Falk, You have made some interesting points. It boils down to the fact that both the candidates are not an ideal material to be president of the USA but then there are no other options. Things are not that rosy in China also as historically we have seen that totalitarian states have a tendency to implode from inside.I have been watching China for quite some time and also been there and I have a gut feeling that everything is not hunky-dory for China.

    • Kyler J Falk profile image

      Kyler J Falk 

      3 weeks ago from Corona, CA

      From what I can see, Biden has almost zero chance. The majority of the US doesn't want a President that they can prove he molests and sniffs children and women. Even some of the most radical leftist acquaintances I have can't bring themselves to vote for Biden because of, "his disgusting addiction to touching and smelling children."

      As for the Hillary/Obama claim that is pretty far-fetched. She hasn't submitted her candidacy and it could not be handed off to her.

      I think all this virus has shown us here in America, is that we value safety over democracy. Our people are generally frail, and their principles even weaker than their dispositions. Our government can't decide one way or another how to handle the situation, and the incessant politicking is making us look as divided as we are weak.

      A prediction for you here: Within the next ten years, we are going to see a shift of power to China when they land upon a big scientific development. Most likely it will be their cloud seeding/terraforming tech they've been hard at work on, or fusion tech, and we'll be in a new race for scientist and student grabs. Accusations will fly of espionage, and the news of new war games out in the pacific will fly like they did in the Obama era. In the rush for tech we will see the private sector take a huge hit as debt increases with the ever-increasing call for education here in America.

      If America doesn't turn to education infrastructure reform as the beginning to long-term gains, we are going to keep seeing losses to China who is shelling out the big bucks for foreign students and workers. All this, "rah rah American jobs for American people," doesn't play well on a geopolitical scale in the long-terms. Whoever takes the reigns better have their game in shape, and plan ready to be enacted.

      I'll always keep my eyes closely to the private and public science sectors, and foreign student exchange rates. Science always seems to tip the favor.

    • emge profile imageAUTHOR

      MG Singh 

      3 weeks ago from Singapore

      Thank you Ruby, your comment is wonderful. Who knows?

    • always exploring profile image

      Ruby Jean Richert 

      3 weeks ago from Southern Illinois

      I think your musing's on America has more truth than fiction I love Obama. I like Hillary and Biden, and I detest Trump. I do not think Trump will remain in office. I expect him to reside in China, after all he already has two Trump Towers, plus only God knows how much more he has there. I think it is time we change our law about a President not being able to run after eight years. Obama would get things done in a hurry. Thanks for sharing your thoughts.

    • emge profile imageAUTHOR

      MG Singh 

      4 weeks ago from Singapore

      Thanks, Leslie.

    • lovemychris profile image

      Leslie McCowen 

      4 weeks ago from Cape Cod, USA

      I know.....I’m a little strident!

    • emge profile imageAUTHOR

      MG Singh 

      4 weeks ago from Singapore

      Leslie, I like your forthright comment. We will have to wait for November.

    • lovemychris profile image

      Leslie McCowen 

      4 weeks ago from Cape Cod, USA

      The fire is the Russian FSB, and Trumps servitude to Putin. IMO

      You can also add Mossad, as it’s been shown Israel also helped Trump in 2016.

      American people? We are an afterthought.

      And I do not think Hillary would come near that office with a 10 foot pole. Why volunteer for more abuse?

      She couldn’t even go to a presidential inaugural, as a former First Lady, without the snakes hissing.

      No, the vile ones run free in America. People better get a grip.

      We are either USA, or an outpost of foreign agents. That’s our choice.

      Vote democrats!

      Even old school Republicans see it.

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