It is the start of another election cycle and polls are everywhere. This morning I came across two poll numbers. It just shows me that polling are crazy and anyone who believes polls are naive.
- Aug. 2015
What Is Wrong With This Picture?
President Obama recently said if he could run a third term, he thinks he would win. A poll by Monmouth University claims that 68% would want someone else. However, RealClearPolitics has a running poll of Obama's job approval using the average of 7 different polling agencies. They include Gallup, Rusmussen, Reuters, Fox, CBS, NBC and Quinnipiac. The average for this month is 46% approve and 49% disapprove. What is going on here? Are we to believe that two thirds of the people thinks we are heading in the wrong direction and yet 46% thinks the current occupancy of the White House is doing a good job. If my math is correct, there is a discrepancy of 14% (assuming 32% in favor). That's being generous and assuming there were no undecided.
Can anyone explain this? or are polls totally bogus? I'm also curious about who are these people being polled? In my 40 years of adulthood, I've never been called. I'm not complaining but just wondering out loud.
History of Obama's Approval Polls
I am not a fan of polls. I believe they can be misused to sway public opinion. My hub on Group Think and Intellectual Laziness explains this in detail. What's your opinion?