ArtsAutosBooksBusinessEducationEntertainmentFamilyFashionFoodGamesGenderHealthHolidaysHomeHubPagesPersonal FinancePetsPoliticsReligionSportsTechnologyTravel

Polling Craziness

Updated on November 3, 2016


It is the start of another election cycle and polls are everywhere. This morning I came across two poll numbers. It just shows me that polling are crazy and anyone who believes polls are naive.

- Aug. 2015

What Is Wrong With This Picture?

President Obama recently said if he could run a third term, he thinks he would win. A poll by Monmouth University claims that 68% would want someone else. However, RealClearPolitics has a running poll of Obama's job approval using the average of 7 different polling agencies. They include Gallup, Rusmussen, Reuters, Fox, CBS, NBC and Quinnipiac. The average for this month is 46% approve and 49% disapprove. What is going on here? Are we to believe that two thirds of the people thinks we are heading in the wrong direction and yet 46% thinks the current occupancy of the White House is doing a good job. If my math is correct, there is a discrepancy of 14% (assuming 32% in favor). That's being generous and assuming there were no undecided.

Can anyone explain this? or are polls totally bogus? I'm also curious about who are these people being polled? In my 40 years of adulthood, I've never been called. I'm not complaining but just wondering out loud.

History of Obama's Approval Polls


I am not a fan of polls. I believe they can be misused to sway public opinion. My hub on Group Think and Intellectual Laziness explains this in detail. What's your opinion?


    0 of 8192 characters used
    Post Comment

    • jackclee lm profile imageAUTHOR

      Jack Lee 

      3 years ago from Yorktown NY

      I agree it is way too early and the results are not too meaningful seeing how they fluctuate up and done depending on the hour of the day...

    • profile image

      Kevin Goodwin 

      3 years ago

      I have to say that i understand the necessity of polls i just think they begin way to early to start polling with so many candidates running.

    • breakfastpop profile image


      3 years ago

      We happen to have some really qualified candidates out there now. As for Obama, there is no way he would win if he were running now. That is a good thing. As for the polls, well I am sick of them.

    • jackclee lm profile imageAUTHOR

      Jack Lee 

      3 years ago from Yorktown NY

      Larry - I agree. That is why polling results are suspect. They make good sensations on news sites.

    • Larry Fields profile image

      Larry Fields 

      3 years ago from Northern California

      Hello, Jack. Another limitation of polls is that the results, to some extent, depend on the way the questions are framed. Are pollsters aware of this fact? You bet!

      Do some pollsters frame questions in order to arrive at foregone conclusions? Of course not. Pollsters do not have political agendas. :)

    • jackclee lm profile imageAUTHOR

      Jack Lee 

      3 years ago from Yorktown NY

      Thanks for your input. I disagree on your comment about the candidates. If anything, we have too many good candidates compared to 2012. It will take some time to sort out but I'm optimistic that someone will rise to the occasion.

    • Mel Carriere profile image

      Mel Carriere 

      3 years ago from San Diego California

      Perhaps what that poll means is that people disapprove of Presidents taking a third term on general principles. Most of the time polls have high margins of error such as plus/minus 5 percent, which means that a 46 percent yes and 49 percent no poll could actually skew back and forth to either side. I'm no fan of Obama myself, but people shouldn't read this to mean that people hate Obama. Based on the pretty uninspiring slate of candidates out there now, he probably would win a third term.


    This website uses cookies

    As a user in the EEA, your approval is needed on a few things. To provide a better website experience, uses cookies (and other similar technologies) and may collect, process, and share personal data. Please choose which areas of our service you consent to our doing so.

    For more information on managing or withdrawing consents and how we handle data, visit our Privacy Policy at:

    Show Details
    HubPages Device IDThis is used to identify particular browsers or devices when the access the service, and is used for security reasons.
    LoginThis is necessary to sign in to the HubPages Service.
    Google RecaptchaThis is used to prevent bots and spam. (Privacy Policy)
    AkismetThis is used to detect comment spam. (Privacy Policy)
    HubPages Google AnalyticsThis is used to provide data on traffic to our website, all personally identifyable data is anonymized. (Privacy Policy)
    HubPages Traffic PixelThis is used to collect data on traffic to articles and other pages on our site. Unless you are signed in to a HubPages account, all personally identifiable information is anonymized.
    Amazon Web ServicesThis is a cloud services platform that we used to host our service. (Privacy Policy)
    CloudflareThis is a cloud CDN service that we use to efficiently deliver files required for our service to operate such as javascript, cascading style sheets, images, and videos. (Privacy Policy)
    Google Hosted LibrariesJavascript software libraries such as jQuery are loaded at endpoints on the or domains, for performance and efficiency reasons. (Privacy Policy)
    Google Custom SearchThis is feature allows you to search the site. (Privacy Policy)
    Google MapsSome articles have Google Maps embedded in them. (Privacy Policy)
    Google ChartsThis is used to display charts and graphs on articles and the author center. (Privacy Policy)
    Google AdSense Host APIThis service allows you to sign up for or associate a Google AdSense account with HubPages, so that you can earn money from ads on your articles. No data is shared unless you engage with this feature. (Privacy Policy)
    Google YouTubeSome articles have YouTube videos embedded in them. (Privacy Policy)
    VimeoSome articles have Vimeo videos embedded in them. (Privacy Policy)
    PaypalThis is used for a registered author who enrolls in the HubPages Earnings program and requests to be paid via PayPal. No data is shared with Paypal unless you engage with this feature. (Privacy Policy)
    Facebook LoginYou can use this to streamline signing up for, or signing in to your Hubpages account. No data is shared with Facebook unless you engage with this feature. (Privacy Policy)
    MavenThis supports the Maven widget and search functionality. (Privacy Policy)
    Google AdSenseThis is an ad network. (Privacy Policy)
    Google DoubleClickGoogle provides ad serving technology and runs an ad network. (Privacy Policy)
    Index ExchangeThis is an ad network. (Privacy Policy)
    SovrnThis is an ad network. (Privacy Policy)
    Facebook AdsThis is an ad network. (Privacy Policy)
    Amazon Unified Ad MarketplaceThis is an ad network. (Privacy Policy)
    AppNexusThis is an ad network. (Privacy Policy)
    OpenxThis is an ad network. (Privacy Policy)
    Rubicon ProjectThis is an ad network. (Privacy Policy)
    TripleLiftThis is an ad network. (Privacy Policy)
    Say MediaWe partner with Say Media to deliver ad campaigns on our sites. (Privacy Policy)
    Remarketing PixelsWe may use remarketing pixels from advertising networks such as Google AdWords, Bing Ads, and Facebook in order to advertise the HubPages Service to people that have visited our sites.
    Conversion Tracking PixelsWe may use conversion tracking pixels from advertising networks such as Google AdWords, Bing Ads, and Facebook in order to identify when an advertisement has successfully resulted in the desired action, such as signing up for the HubPages Service or publishing an article on the HubPages Service.
    Author Google AnalyticsThis is used to provide traffic data and reports to the authors of articles on the HubPages Service. (Privacy Policy)
    ComscoreComScore is a media measurement and analytics company providing marketing data and analytics to enterprises, media and advertising agencies, and publishers. Non-consent will result in ComScore only processing obfuscated personal data. (Privacy Policy)
    Amazon Tracking PixelSome articles display amazon products as part of the Amazon Affiliate program, this pixel provides traffic statistics for those products (Privacy Policy)