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President Obama is a Pussy in the South China Sea
Everyone loves a furry little pussy cat, so warm and cuddly. But, if you’re facing a new subtle bully with economic clout and growing nationalism like China, being a pussy is not the way to go. That is not to say you start a conflict, but stand your ground, man! Don’t draw a red line and then be a willow tree always bending and giving in to avoid a showdown.
That is why President Obama is a pussy. The Chinese are claiming and are slowly obtaining in deliberate action, the South China Sea, which it considers its “private ocean”. The World Court heard the case presented by the Philippine government and has so far agreed with Filipino legal assertions. China responded that the World Court has no jurisdiction even hearing the case and any findings will be ignored. Many of islands in the South China Sea fall in Filipino waters, which are slowly being gobbled up by Chinese encroachment because Obama refuses to engage. Sure, U.S. warships have traversed within miles of Chinese atolls despite Chinese warnings. Then, the Chinese did not allow a U.S. aircraft carrier dock at Hong Kong. The Philippines totally rely on America for its defense and has renewed its agreements to allow some American forces to be stationed there.
According to Admiral Harris, every time he went to the White House to argue for a more muscular response to the Chinese island building, Obama shot it down. No, no, no. He suggested that conducting naval exercises within the 12 miles of these man-made atolls would send a profound message without firing a shot. It would stop the erosion that is within 140 miles of the Philippines. As the Admiral states, “what good is the military if you are unwilling to utilize it?”
The renowned Henry Kissinger, who has dealt with China since the 1970’s, is warning about the Chinese and how they are engaged in a game of “Go”, not chess. Chinese deal in subtlety, indirection, and patient accumulation to get advantage. They seldom use a show down of force. Chess is a Western game that seeks to seize the leader king. In China, the game is Way-chee, or Go. With Go, victory is by strategic encirclement. Contests take place simultaneously on different parts of the game board and the balance of forces shifts with each move. Go is about a long, protracted, campaign to get what you want. In Chess, it is about a decisive battle.
The South China Sea is a future flash point. Over $5 trillion dollars of trade passes through the ocean, including oil and gas to Japan, South Korea and Taiwan, all subtle adversaries to China. Oil deposits within Philippine territorial waters are said to be as large as those in Saudi Arabia. The same is true about natural gas. Vietnam and China have sparred over Chinese claims. The South China Sea is a game of Go. The Chinese claim various uninhabited atolls as theirs and start building them, making them larger to accommodate jet aircraft and small harbors. They even installed radar and anti-aircraft missiles. What is the American response? Almost nil. Chinese claims encroach into Filipino waters, such as their latest, Scarborough Shoals, not far from Subic Bay. The Filipino election has elected a new President, Duterte, who is rather neutral on American presence there and tilting towards China’s lure of being a partner to develop the oil and gas assets within Filipino waters, on one hand. Yet, on the other hand, he seems to be a nationalist willing to defy Chinese island seizures if they are blatant about it (which has been the case so far).
Experts predict that in the long run, China’s expertise in Go, will win the South China Sea. They will be able to control and harass any ships moving through the sea because they were allowed to get away with it early on.
This is what happens when you have a pussy president.