- Politics and Social Issues
Satan's Cauldron: The Coming Middle East War with Iran
Not a pleasant thought. As America goes on with their daily lives protected by two vast oceans, sometime in 2012, probably by July at the latest, another major war will erupt. It is as if the gargoyles and Satan have been stirring this witches brew for mankind, or the Middle East, at the very least. For those who follow biblical events, they may warn it is the start of Armageddon, while I do not think so, one never knows. War spins out of control quite easily and one with Iran will be more dangerous because it is terrorism with no front lines.
The US has been preparing and the US media has not mentioned it. For instance, from Feb.6 - 14, some 20,000 Marines have been involved in a massive wargame, Bold Alligator, an operation covering large stretches of coastal terrain in Virginia, North Carolina and Florida and Atlantic Ocean from the USS Wasp amphibian helicopter carrier. Also there is the USS Enterprise nuclear carrier with strike force alongside three amphibian helicopter carriers, the USS Wasp, the USS Boxer and the USS Kearsage. On their decks are 6,000 Marines, 25 fighter bombers and 65 strike and transport helicopters, mainly MV-22B Ospreys with their crews. Altogether 100 combat aircraft are involved.
This wargame supposes that Iran invades with up to a division of troops, a portion of Saudi Arabia. The Saudis are unable to stem the Iranian advance and ask the US to intervene to stop their advance despite the fact Iran has mined everything and has numerous anti-ship missiles along their coast. The US and others are to find a way to halt Iran's advance and then take the war to Iran's shores, hence, the need for amphibious ships and marines. There are French, British, Italian, Dutch, Australian and New Zealand military elements integrated in the drill. Once the wargame ends, the three US aircraft carrier strike groups, the French Charles de Gaulle carrier and four or five US Marines amphibian vessels will be posted close to the Persian Gulf.
Where you ask? Well, unprecedented numbers of US military strength to two strategic islands, Yemeni's Socotra and Oman's Masirah, within range of the Strait of Hormuz and Iran. By March, 50,000 US troops will be based on them. The airfield there can handled all aircraft. Since 2010, the US has been quietly building giant air force and naval bases on Socotra with facilities for submarines, intelligence command centers and take-off pads for flying stealth drones, as part of a linked chain of strategic US military facilities in the Indian Ocean and Persian Gulf. On Masirah, which is at the entrance of the Strait of Hormuz, the US has Camp Justice, a huge base that has been in development since 1980. There could be 100,000 troops in Iran's area by April.
But despite the Iran-US pending war, what if Syria simply unravels more. The rebellion is near a civil war. Syria is defying all odds and finally British and Qatar special forces in non-combat roles are helping the Free Syrian Army in Homs fight president Assad. Turkey is trying to form a Turk-Arab military force to push aid into Syria, which would spark a conflict between them and Syrian forces, no doubt. President Assad, despite his Oxford education, has vowed to cause a regional war if foreign troops enter uninvited. Assad could launch his missiles or use his nerve gas if desperation grows, just as the Israelis could use their nuclear weapons if their demise is pending.
In the middle east, anything goes. Emotions and hatred gradually take control of a country's leadership. Thinking about the after affects are clouded. Iran has much to lose if Syria becomes a democratic country. Russia also, to a lesser extent. China has interests in Iran because much of their gas and oil comes from them. An Iranian think tank in Tehran recommended that Iran conduct an attack first instead of waiting to be attacked. It also said that a nuclear bomb could destroy Israel within 9 days when including all the after effects.
The only good news for that part of the world is that the US missile shield, the US Aegis and Israel's Arrow 2 Block 4 ballistic missile defense systems of their two radars, the US AN/TPY-2 X-band and Israel's EL/M-2080 Super Green Pine, were tested with missiles being fired from F-15s from the east. Radars in Turkey, Sinai, and Israel detected all within seconds of firing them allowing ample time to detonate them while far away.
Still, as an observer, one cannot feel that such a buildup in the area, the intransigence of both sides, the rising rhetoric, is all for show and muscle flexing. Obviously, both sides have made some sort of decision. The only "war" for now is in Syria.
The real one is coming within a few months.