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South Carolina Primary: Survivor Scenario
The electorate of South Carolina has predicted the Republican Presidential Candidate for 8 elections in a row...dating back to 1980.
With the South Carolina debates and consequent primary growing near, the contestants are busy preparing; rehearsing their lines and testing potential sound bites. A key element to those remaining, is to strike a balance of stratagem toward achieving their ultimate goal; the sole survivor.
The pretense, is to narrow the qualifying field, which eventually results in becoming a finalist. In doing so, the threat lies in overextending oneself during the process; thereby potentially risking alienating from the independent general electorate. Such is the nature and importance of establishing and sustaining equilibrium in the contest, toward attaining the definitive prize.
Here is the upcoming schedule of Events for the Great State of South Carolina:
January 14, 2012
Location: Sottile Theatre at the College of Charleston, South Carolina
8pm ET on Fox News
Sponsor: Former Arkansas Governor Mike Huckabee, Congressman Tim Scott (R-SC) and Fox News
January 16, 2012
Location: Myrtle Beach Convention Center in Myrtle Beach, South Carolina
9pm ET on Fox News
Sponsor: Fox News and the S.C.R.P.
January 19, 2012
Location: Charleston, SC
Sponsor: CNN & the S.C.R.C.
January 21, 2012
South Carolina (primary)
The question remains, can the Republican field come to a consensus and rally the splintered party factions to take on President Barack Obama?
The Debate will be relatively mild in comparison to the vicious PAC and Super PAC advertisement being locally aired in South Carolina. Newt Gingrich seems especially motivated to oust the frontrunner and presumptive favorite Mitt Romney. Mr. Romney seems to be wearing the immunity necklace given his back to back victories in Iowa and New Hampshire. He also carries the endorsement of South Carolina Governor Nikki Haley.
Gingrich released a 28 minutes ‘short film’ ad, identifying what he describes as the truth, exposing Romney’s shortcomings in his bid for the White House. The topics highlight Romney’s Venture Capitalist private sector experience with Bain Capital. Brutal attacks contradicting Romney’s job creation record, corporate welfare assertion and Moderate viewpoint regarding the Healthcare mandate while Governor of Massachusetts are declared.
As for Newt Gingrich, his party position of the need for a strong conservative remains unwavering and a good fit for South Carolinians. He has proclaimed, without a strong showing “he’s in deep trouble.’ In Survivor speak, ‘the tribe has spoken’; In short, throw your buff in the fire and extinguish your torch.
As for the Moderate Jon Huntsman, at best he’s looking at a visit to Redemption Island. The same can most likely be said for Social conservatives Rick Santorum and Rick Perry. The heavily evangelical southern populace may prolong their stay, given the state tagline, ‘the Belt Buckle of the Bible Belt.’
Strict Constitutionalist Ron Paul will continue to blindside the field with diametrical opposition, which may result in a top tier finish. His strong youthful supporters combined with an awareness of Constitutional attacks may play out as the equivalent of possessing the hidden immunity idol.