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Syrian Forces on the Defensive

Updated on December 15, 2012

The Rebels, the Syria Free Army, have been making considerable gains, as the map shows. But, this could an illusion of sorts because Syrian forces have been pulling back. They do not have the capability to defend all of Syria anymore, they only possess five of the many oil fields now. The scenario is going to be either Assad makes a last stand in Damascus and its surrounding area or pulls his forces to the Orontes River Valley and the Alawite coast. In either case, by pulling back his remaining units are able to make the fighting harder as their combat strength is no longer spread out as it was.

Of course, the rebels strategy is to fill the vacated areas and block key roads. Even if Assad is killed, his military leaders might continue with the fight for the Alawite tribe. Sooner or later, the war will end in a showdown manner or Syrian forces create a new Syria, maybe in the Orontes Valley and the Alawite coastal region. If this was the case, then the remains of former Syria would be fought over between those who really want a Free Syria or Nusra al-qaeda formations who want it for terrorist activities.

Since the Alawite coast is adjacent to Lebanon, one can see how Syria might try to take it back. Syrian forces controlled Lebanon in the 80's and their proxy, Hezbollah is there now.

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    • profile image

      Mark 

      5 years ago

      Max,

      Your post here is not as bad as your normal anti-American ones, but is still trash. If Assad fails to flee it is due purely to delusion. I'm all for letting the Syrians settle this one between themselves. Both side are committing atrocities and do not deserve support. The wildcard here is Israel. Israel has said they will take action if chemical weapons flow to terrorist groups. That is sure to happen is Assad falls. There is a big difference between Syria and Iran to the Israelis. The range issue is not there and they can easily attack targets in Syria.

      Perrya,

      I would do some more reading on the Kurds. They are not exactly nice people, but much better allies to the U.S. than most during the Iraq war. I'm most concerned about the Shiites cozying up to Iran.

    • perrya profile imageAUTHOR

      perrya 

      5 years ago

      Max, not sure your position here, however, I am looking at what Assad may do as he has only so many choices left. Any of them could come true but what occurs after is conjecture on anyone's part. There is no good outcome unless the Free rebels actually force a democratic government, which is highly doubtful. Maybe Turkey will finally take on the Kurds. Whatever happens, I am sure it is bad news.

    • maxoxam41 profile image

      Deforest 

      5 years ago from USA

      Pure propaganda. And what is the replacement? Radical islam. Is it what you are trumpeting for? In that case why not in the US? Let's have Saudi Arabia infiltrate a part of the population that is angered with both political parties, financially support them, arm them to start a "civil" war? In the meantime, it will import salafist mercenaries to destroy major cities, starting by California since you reside there, how will you like it? Since other people can live with fundamentalist islam so can you! A war where your enemy will be enemies, meaning at least five countries against you, only because your president decided sovereignly on the future of the economy of his future!

      What amazes me in Assad is his will to die for his country and I respect that. All the dictators that we pampered all disappeared quickly, taking refuge in their financial paradise.

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