Syrian Forces on the Defensive
The Rebels, the Syria Free Army, have been making considerable gains, as the map shows. But, this could an illusion of sorts because Syrian forces have been pulling back. They do not have the capability to defend all of Syria anymore, they only possess five of the many oil fields now. The scenario is going to be either Assad makes a last stand in Damascus and its surrounding area or pulls his forces to the Orontes River Valley and the Alawite coast. In either case, by pulling back his remaining units are able to make the fighting harder as their combat strength is no longer spread out as it was.
Of course, the rebels strategy is to fill the vacated areas and block key roads. Even if Assad is killed, his military leaders might continue with the fight for the Alawite tribe. Sooner or later, the war will end in a showdown manner or Syrian forces create a new Syria, maybe in the Orontes Valley and the Alawite coastal region. If this was the case, then the remains of former Syria would be fought over between those who really want a Free Syria or Nusra al-qaeda formations who want it for terrorist activities.
Since the Alawite coast is adjacent to Lebanon, one can see how Syria might try to take it back. Syrian forces controlled Lebanon in the 80's and their proxy, Hezbollah is there now.