Ten Terrifying Predictions for 2019
2019 Will Bring Violence, Unemployment, and Massive Natural Disasters.
It’s been an electrifying few years, and we have been marching from one horrendous drama to another for quite a while now. Based on where we are now, can we extrapolate what 2019 will bring?
I think so.
Here’s my list of horrifying, petrifying, and terrifying events for 2019.
1. Massive Fires, Deadly Floods, Terrifying Hurricanes, More Frequent Volcanic Activity
According to various government bodies, there is an 80% chance of El Nino forming in February, 2019. El Niño increases temperature extremes, destroys coral reefs, increases droughts, and this, in turn, worsens wildfire. It also increases rainfall with flash floods ensuing,
As 2018 has been determined the fourth hottest year in history, and as El Nino years are even hotter than normal years, it can be assumed that 2019 will be hotter than 2018.
India, China, Australia, South Africa, the USA, and many other countries all had massive firestorms. California had its biggest and most dangerous firestorm in its history. It can be deduced that 2019 will bring an increase in firestorms, and that these fires will increase in both frequency and ferocity.
The 2019 Hurricane season in America begins on June 1st, 2019 and ends on November 30th, 2019. Seven different weather agencies, including Tropical Storm Risk (TSR), the Consortium of University College London, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) and Colorado State University (CSU) predict that there will be twelve named storms, five hurricanes, and two major hurricanes. This is lower than average.
The Pacific Hurricane Season of 2018 produced the most intense hurricanes ever recorded - so much so that there is talk of introducing a category 6 hurricane. While the speed of the wind has increased and brought down buildings, flood damage has also endangered and killed human beings. Monsoons in India were deadly. Floods and storm waters in Houston (Harvey, 2017), Texas, in Kerala, India (2018), and Puerto Rico (Maria, 2017) are examples of what flooding can do. This trend will continue as the heat intensifes.
There has also been increased volcanic activity throughout 2018 in the Ring of Fire, and I think that’s going to escalate. According to an article in Scientific America, a study showed a correlation between global warming and increased volcanic activity. It's probable, therefore, that 2019 will also bring increased volcanic activity.
News wires will increasingly publish natural disaster stories from Africa, India, China. To date, while there has been a lot of focus on weather and geophysical disasters in western countries, the awareness has not yet sunk in that this is happening globally. This will change in 2019, and as a consequence, there will be a renewed movement to deal with climate change.
Many lives and much property will be lost throughout 2019 as a result of these disasters.
There will be more firestorms
2. Trump Faces Possibility of Jail Time
Donald Trump, Jnr, and Jared Kushner have become 'people of interest' in the ongoing investigation by FBI special counsel, Robert Mueller. It's possible (probable) that as the investigation becomes increasingly closer to the president and his family, that the president will face some stark events.
Here are a few possibilities.
There are a few possible outcomes.
- Trump is presented with evidence of treason and corruption. He makes a deal to step down in return for immunity for himself, Donald Jnr, Jared, and Ivanka. He steps down for health reasons and quietly into the night.
- Trump begins massive campaigning early (March 2019) as it is conventional wisdom that a sitting president cannot be jailed. In order to avoid criminal charges, therefore, Trump will intensify his bid to remain president in 2020. If he manages to win a second term, it may be possible he attempts to arrest Robert Mueller.
- Progressives fight an effective campaign and the Dems win. Bernie Sanders stated that the mid-term election wins of so many progressives (as opposed to liberals) shows that progressives can take the White House in 2020. Trump is arrested as he steps away from the White House.
- When Trump goes, he cannot help himself. He makes deals 'on the quiet' with Mike Pence who will initially take over as president. It's a brief presidency as he finds himself facing charges. Nancy Pelosi takes the reigns before the 2020 election. She decides to run.
3. The Dollar Faces Reserve Currency Challenges
In 1948, the Bretton Woods agreement selected the American dollar as the currency to be used for international trade. This is known as the Reserve Currency. As a consequence of the 2008 financial fiasco and the increased inflation of the dollar, India, China, and Russia are considering the use of their own and other currencies for international trade. China has been actively taking steps to replace the dollar with the Chinese remnimbi since 2009. "In March 2009, China and Russia called for a new global currency. They want the world to create a reserve currency “that is disconnected from individual nations and is able to remain stable in the long run, thus removing the inherent deficiencies caused by using credit-based national currencies."
Currently, between 60% ad 70% of international trade transactions are paid with US$, 20% with euros, and the rest is shared by Asian currencies. This gas enabled America to retain the value of her currency without it depreciating.
However, as a result of the 2008 financial melt-down and Trump’s less-than-gracious attitude towards trade, it is increasingly likely that many countries will seek another currency to deal in. "Economist Paul Samuelson said in 2005 that "at some uncertain future period these pressures would precipitate a run against the U.S. dollar with serious global financial consequences."
While many economists and Wall Street traders have said that the dollar will still be the reserve currency in 25 years, they based this on the fact that many countries held dollars in reserve. However, European banks have started replacing dollars with yuan.
While the dollar may not lose immediate value, there will be an increasing trend for countries to use other currencies for international trade. This will be seen as a loss of power by the international community.
4. Increased Political Violence - Growth of Political Movements - Yellow Vests, Antifa, Alt-right.
Religious violence will fade into the background as political violence escalates internationally.
As governments try to increase taxes so that they can cover expenses, the people will rise up against the rich. Populism, which is a class war with the bottom againt the top – will become even more entrenched.
Violence will erupt in many of the first world countries as the bottom 80% of people begin to hit back with violence. It is not inconceivable that several governments will collapse.
5. Progressives Move Center Stage
Communism is no longer a dirty word to the starving millions. They are tired of government rewarding the super-rich and imposing austerity measures on them. The struggle has been intense, and there is a lot of anger.
From the ashes of Reagan and Thatcher’s neo-liberalism policy of privatising government, there is increasing pressure to increase taxes for the rich and for government to provide measures for the poor to be able to help fthemselves. This includes free medical care, free education, and some form of UBI (Universal Basic Income).
Strange allies are formed in the bid to crumble the old guard. The establishment becomes the enemy.
Progressivism Becomes an International Movement
6. The Alt-Right Becomes Increasingly Violent Internationally.
The far-right, internationally, has two common factors. They comprise mostly men, and these men believe that women should be subservient to men.
Some believe that the anger is a result of loss of status. To quote from an article in The Atlantic, “But besides their hostility to liberal democracy, the right-wing autocrats taking power across the world share one big thing, which often goes unrecognized in the U.S.: They all want to subordinate women.”
I have a theory that nobody likes other people telling them what to do, and men like it even less than women. It goes against everything a man is supposed to be. In the modern world, men are forced to be subordinate to bosses who often humiliate them and treat them as inferiors. Valerie M. Hudson, a political scientist at Texas A&M, states that for most of human history, leaders and their male subjects forged a social contract: “Men agreed to be ruled by other men in return for all men ruling over women.”
As men’s status is threatened by feminism and the rise of financially independent women, many men resent their loss of status and power.
They don’t feel good.
They also don’t comprehend that they grew up in a world in which women were subject to them, but during the past forty years, that status has increasingly diminished.
Add this to the loss of jobs, the fact that they can no longer belittle those of different nations, and someone who was previously in a place of privilege now has a much lower status.
The unfortunate part is that this trend is not going to change for the next five or ten years. However, as older men die off and younger men take over, the movement will lose steam.
The year, 2019, will not be a peaceful year. Progressives will ultimately win as the majority of the young are comfortable with male/female equality. But it will not be without violence.
7. Brexit Will Make a Hard Exit and Live to Regret It.
The Irish problem will not be resolved, and neither will Theresa May get her cake and eat it. The EU is a package deal. Trade privileges go hand in hand with freedom of movement. The UK will not be able to negotiate to keep the trade privileges without the freedom of movement.
Ireland will not be comfortable will establishing a hard border in order to facilitate customs, and so it is likely that there will be increased violence in Ireland once more. Scotland will depend her independence as she does not wish to be outside the EU. It is possible that Theresa May steps down after Brexit, but it will be difficult to find a replacement as the Tories are split six ways in different directions.
Financially, there will be a decrease in the standard of living. According to various British government departments, the GDP will fall by 10%.
Ironically, migration, the driving force behind Brexit, has already dropped significantlyas those coming to the UK fear there will be no work. After March, 2019, fewer will make their way to the UK. However, there will be increased pressure for those who arrived prior to Brexit to leave. This could result in violence.
8. Talk of War, Media Reponse, and the Challenge to the Internet
Somewhere a war will be found. There is nothing like a war to distract the people from the shenanigans of incompetent and corrupt government.
The media will once more glamourize war, but there is a change in mood of the people.
Propaganda which has worked previously no longer works.
The Internet has brought updated, accurate information to the people. They see the costs of war. They do not want war anymore. Nor do they want newspapers that glamourize it.
An increasing number of media outlets begin to charge for access, and some are asking for donations as the Guardians’ example has proved phenomenally successful.
There are increasing threats to temper the media on the web. However, as decentralized sites become more common, resistance to war, manipulation, etc. increases.
The people become aware.
9. Fewer Jobs as Many Large Retailers Close Their Doors
Internationally, large departmental stores and retailers will close their doors. This is the result of three factors.
- Most shopping in now done on the web. It’s simply cheaper and quicker to order on the web.
- Salaries and wages of workers have been squeezed for at least three generations and are now lower than they have ever been. Most people simply don’t have the money to go shopping for luxuries.
- Millennials prefer experience to stuff. Minimalism has made a lot of headway and the trend is for people to have tiny houses, very few items of clothes, as little furniture as possible, and to spend the money on travel, conventions, and other lifestyle experiences.
There will be millions who find themselves out of work in 2019. With both the UK and the US heading for elections in 2020, 2019 is going to be driven by anger at the economic situation, and this will affect the choice of candidates.
Big business closes its doors and hundreds of thousands of jobs lost in 2019
Do you think 2019 will be a good year or a bad year?
10. Increased Focus on High Taxes (70% to 90%) for the Rich
The year will not bring increased taxes for the wealthy. Nor will the wealthy increase salaries or charge less for products. Instead, they will continue as they have always have.
That said, as progressives move centre stage, there will be an increasing number of articles about the rates of tax for the rich in the 50s and 60s. Talk shows will also begin to focus on this topic. At that time, the very wealthy were taxed between 70% and 90% of their income.
There will be growing recognition that both America and the UK did well in those years despite strong unions, a well-paid working class, low cost of goods, and very high taxes for the rich.
The missing factor is that the third world was not as developed as it is now, and much of that wealth arrived in the first world.
2019 Could be a Very Bad Year!
Together these trends could make 2019 disruptive, violent, tragic, and it’s probably best for all us to start preparing for it.
This content is accurate and true to the best of the author’s knowledge and is not meant to substitute for formal and individualized advice from a qualified professional.
© 2018 Tessa Schlesinger