ArtsAutosBooksBusinessEducationEntertainmentFamilyFashionFoodGamesGenderHealthHolidaysHomeHubPagesPersonal FinancePetsPoliticsReligionSportsTechnologyTravel

The Consequences of a US War Against Iran

Updated on October 11, 2019
CELEBSFAN78 profile image

Ara is a Journalism graduate from California State University Northridge who is looking to always explore his writing opportunities.

Source

Iran is a Country That the United States Has Been Targeting for Years

With much of the media attention having been focused on putting sanctions on the Nicolas Maduro government in Venezuela, there is another country in the world that has been under constant monitoring, threats, and coercion. That country is Iran, a country that the United States has been accusing of sponsoring terrorism. This essay attempts to discuss the likely consequences of a US war on Iran.

Consequences Include Massive Damage to the US Economy and a Swift Response from the Shia Muslim Community

It is true that Iran’s current regime has been guilty of various human rights abuses but the continued use of harsh language by the United States will cause it to go nowhere good and it will not be able to restore relations with Iran. The US may have to settle with Iran having nuclear weapons because any attack on Iran by the US or Israel will lead to consequences too terrible to imagine. If Iran is attacked you can expect a very harsh response by the Shia community around the world and Iran will come out scratching and clawing like a big tiger. The US would then be eventually stuck in another unwinnable war and the damage to its economy would be even more severe than it is now. If you think the US economy is bad now, just imagine what would happen if they attacked Iran. And that would also lead to Moqtada Al-Sadr one of the most powerful Shiite politicians in Iraq getting involved in the resistance to US forces. Iraq which is a majority Shiite nation would not welcome an attack on Iran by the US or Israel.

Dialogue is a Much Better Option for the United States

Yes, Iran’s current regime is far from perfect but the United States government is corrupt too. It is time for both sides to have honest, meaningful dialogue with each other. The US will be better off by trying to do this. Another point to consider is that even if and when the current regime changes, there will be no true democracy because people in that part of the world do not know what a true democracy is.

The United States may have no choice but to be comfortable with a regime having nuclear technology. No amount of threats or coercion will prevent Iran from enriching uranium. This hard line approach by the United States will make it more likely that Iran will develop nuclear technology. The only wise solution to this dispute is for the US to have a dialogue with Iran. Speaking of dialogue, in spite of former Vice President Joe Biden saying that the US would consider having direct talks with the Iranians, Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei immediately turned down the offer saying that direct talks would not help to solve the problem. If that is the case then what does he suggest? Khamenei is a conservative leader. Khamenei has been in his current position since 1989 and even when he passes from the scene, who knows if the person that will take his place will be any better. If the hardliners in Iran reject the idea of direct talks with the United States, we can expect more of the same things to follow.

Mike Pompeo Current US Secretary of State

Source

How Can the United States Win? By Not Starting a War to Begin With

But one thing is for sure: an attack on Iran would close off the Strait of Hormuz. Oil supplies would be affected, the price of oil would go way up, and the number of attacks on US targets worldwide would increase to a level not seen before by human history.

Trita Parsi, President of the Iranian American National Council writes: “The Iranians know very well that the American public has little tolerance for war casualties,” (Parsi, 2018). This is accurate to a degree: the longer that the US has been involved in a major international conflict, the American public has soured on the government. Americans surely remember the disastrous conflict in Vietnam where 58,000 US soldiers lost their lives. If Donald Trump wants to make America great again as he has said so many times, starting a war with Iran would make the United States look like the biggest bully the world has ever seen. According to the same article mentioned above, it is also estimated that Iran is said to have the largest inventory of ballistic missiles among Middle Eastern nations. Parsi says it best when he says: “The only way to win this war is to ensure Trump and Bolton are stopped before they start it,” (Parsi, 2018).

John Bolton US National Security Advisor With President Trump

Source

Iranian Foreign Minister Explains Why A War Against Iran Would Be Foolish

Donald Trump is Not the Solution to the Iranian "Problem" He is the Cause of It

President Donald Trump is further exacerbating tensions between the US and Iran. Many people remember the famous tweet sent by Trump to President Hassan Rouhani when he said:” To Iranian President Rouhani: NEVER, EVER THREATEN THE UNITED STATES AGAIN OR YOU WILL SUFFER CONSEQUENCES THE LIKES OF WHICH FEW THROUGHOUT HISTORY HAVE EVER SUFFERED BEFORE. WE ARE NO LONGER A COUNTRY THAT WILL STAND FOR YOUR DEMENTED WORDS OF VIOLENCE & DEATH. BE CAUTIOUS!” (Beauchamp, 2018). It is clear that it is the United States government is the government that is making the situation worse, not Iran. Although I have said in a previous article that Iran’s Ayatollah Khamenei is an autocrat in some respects, threatening to start a military conflict with Iran is never worth the risk.

John Bolton & Mike Pompeo: Two Stupid Men

Final Thoughts

Caution is advised. Will Iran and the United States ever have diplomatic relations again? In this writer’s opinion, as long as Iran’s hardliners are still in power, reconciliation is extremely unlikely. Dialogue is the better option instead of using military force to either prevent Iran from acquiring a nuclear weapon or to change the country’s regime. It is better to avoid armed conflict with Iran at all costs instead of committing US troop strength in a war thousands of miles away which is only going to have more American families lose their loved ones. In addition to the many thousands of US troops that will be killed or injured, a major war against Iran would cause an even worse occurrence of US service members coming down with post-traumatic stress syndrome. Iran has never attacked the US except when the US had soldiers stationed in Lebanon in the 1980’s and Hezbollah is said to have attacked the MNF (Multi-National Force of American and French soldiers). The United States does not learn from history because it continues to try and flex its muscles overseas as they have occupied so many countries since the end of World War 2. It is proper to end this essay with a beautiful quote by Thomas Jefferson, the 3rd President of the United States, Jefferson said: “Peace, commerce, and honest friendship with all nations; entangling alliances with none.” It would be a brilliant approach if the United States of 2019 could ever implement such a policy. However, such a policy seems too far-fetched because of the influence of these big corporations and the military industrial complex. Regardless of what side of the political spectrum you are on, there is a far better way to deal with Iran than starting a war against it that will be a big loss for the United States in more ways than one.

Bibliography

Beauchamp, Z. (2018, July 23). What Trump’s threatened war with Iran would actually look like. Vox.

Parsi, T. (2018, March 30). War With Iran Won’t Be Iraq All Over Again. It’ll Be Much Worse. The Huffington Post.

A University Professor Describes the Current US Regime

© 2019 Ara Vahanian

Comments

    0 of 8192 characters used
    Post Comment
    • CELEBSFAN78 profile imageAUTHOR

      Ara Vahanian 

      5 months ago from LOS ANGELES

      I wrote the article to bring awareness to the issue because the USA is busy doing what is known as "saber rattling." I'm not against all forms of military intervention but in the case of Iran I have to wonder why the USA is so busy criticizing them. Answer: Iran has lots of oil. That's why the USA went to war against Iraq in 2003. We saw how that conflict turned out. World Wars 1 and 2 were different though. I think the USA is after access to oil that's why they are criticizing Iran so much. They should learn from history. Even Saddam Hussein could not defeat the Iranian regime in spite of massive help from Western nations.

    • bradmasterOCcal profile image

      Brad 

      5 months ago

      emge

      I agree

    • emge profile image

      MG Singh 

      5 months ago from Singapore

      I think the USA must never think of going to war in Iran. Right from 1953, the USA has a record of not winning a war. Where they won like in Iraq, it turned out to be a pyrrhic victory for which 4000 young men gave their lives, for what? in my view, in the long run, the bigger danger is not Iran but Pakistan, but who is listening?

    • Readmikenow profile image

      Readmikenow 

      5 months ago

      i would support no direct military action against Iran. I think a hard lesson was learned with Iraq. Once you win the war, then what? So, unless there is a direct attack on the United States from Iran, I think all the covert operations that have taken place between the two countries for years will continue. I became friends with an Iranian professor her in the United States who told me all about the history o Persia, Iran and the Farsi language. He would never go back to Iran, but he was very proud of his people and culture. I spoke with him about the Ukraine and he was very interested. Iran has such a fascinating history and culture. I would like to visit there some day just to see the historical sites and talk to the people. I doubt it will happen.

    • bradmasterOCcal profile image

      Brad 

      6 months ago

      Ara

      My point was that Iran could go down simply by economics.

      And you think that Iran is so powerful than remember the Iran Iraq war.

      Who Won the Iran-Iraq War? Reference.com

      [Search domain www.reference.com/world-view/won-iran-iraq-war-d9b5e8d6caa0f8b6] https://www.reference.com/world-view/won-iran-iraq...

      Neither side won the Iran-Iraq war. It ended in a stalemate in July of 1988 when Iran agreed to accept United Nations Resolution 598 that called for an immediate ceasefire.

      What a war involving the US versus Iran would do is bring down Iran?

      And I don't believe the Iranians in Iran like the current regime anyway.

      --------------------

      "Iranian Foreign Minister Explains Why A War Against Iran Would Be Foolish"

      Sounds a lot like the Iraq Foreign Minister before the invasion of Iraq.

      I think that all the wars we have had were stupid, but it is up to Iran.

      Iran war is going to be economic and whether they consider nuclear weapons to taking care of their people is the issue.

      Why does Iran need a nuclear weapon program?

      I don't get any meaningful goal from this article, and I don't think that Iran is doing the right thing for their people.

      What is your conclusion?

    • CELEBSFAN78 profile imageAUTHOR

      Ara Vahanian 

      6 months ago from LOS ANGELES

      I never suggested that Iran holding the US embassy was okay. That action was clearly condemned by the international community. And not all Muslims are militant and dangerous as you claim. I don't trust John Bolton at all. If you recall during the George W. Bush years, Bolton was in Bush's cabinet and was in favor of invading Iraq. There is a long history of Western interest in Iran dating back to 1953. My point was that any military aggression by the US would be a major disaster. I think the US has to think long and hard about whether it wants to risk sending US troops in harms way and start a war that would make Iraq look like a walk in the park by comparison.

    • bradmasterOCcal profile image

      Brad 

      6 months ago

      Ara

      It appears that you have a vested interested in Iran?

      When you sound off with all of these projected results that Iran will do in response, then that would be a reason to just do what we did in Iraq.

      Iran when Jimmy Carter was president held the US Embassy and that is OK with you. As far as the oil goes, the US is the largest producer of oil. And with the current and future sanctions there is no need for real war.

      So what is your point will all of these projected threats. Sounds like Muslims are militant and dangerous, hardly the peace lovers we been told they are in the press.

    working

    This website uses cookies

    As a user in the EEA, your approval is needed on a few things. To provide a better website experience, hubpages.com uses cookies (and other similar technologies) and may collect, process, and share personal data. Please choose which areas of our service you consent to our doing so.

    For more information on managing or withdrawing consents and how we handle data, visit our Privacy Policy at: https://hubpages.com/privacy-policy#gdpr

    Show Details
    Necessary
    HubPages Device IDThis is used to identify particular browsers or devices when the access the service, and is used for security reasons.
    LoginThis is necessary to sign in to the HubPages Service.
    Google RecaptchaThis is used to prevent bots and spam. (Privacy Policy)
    AkismetThis is used to detect comment spam. (Privacy Policy)
    HubPages Google AnalyticsThis is used to provide data on traffic to our website, all personally identifyable data is anonymized. (Privacy Policy)
    HubPages Traffic PixelThis is used to collect data on traffic to articles and other pages on our site. Unless you are signed in to a HubPages account, all personally identifiable information is anonymized.
    Amazon Web ServicesThis is a cloud services platform that we used to host our service. (Privacy Policy)
    CloudflareThis is a cloud CDN service that we use to efficiently deliver files required for our service to operate such as javascript, cascading style sheets, images, and videos. (Privacy Policy)
    Google Hosted LibrariesJavascript software libraries such as jQuery are loaded at endpoints on the googleapis.com or gstatic.com domains, for performance and efficiency reasons. (Privacy Policy)
    Features
    Google Custom SearchThis is feature allows you to search the site. (Privacy Policy)
    Google MapsSome articles have Google Maps embedded in them. (Privacy Policy)
    Google ChartsThis is used to display charts and graphs on articles and the author center. (Privacy Policy)
    Google AdSense Host APIThis service allows you to sign up for or associate a Google AdSense account with HubPages, so that you can earn money from ads on your articles. No data is shared unless you engage with this feature. (Privacy Policy)
    Google YouTubeSome articles have YouTube videos embedded in them. (Privacy Policy)
    VimeoSome articles have Vimeo videos embedded in them. (Privacy Policy)
    PaypalThis is used for a registered author who enrolls in the HubPages Earnings program and requests to be paid via PayPal. No data is shared with Paypal unless you engage with this feature. (Privacy Policy)
    Facebook LoginYou can use this to streamline signing up for, or signing in to your Hubpages account. No data is shared with Facebook unless you engage with this feature. (Privacy Policy)
    MavenThis supports the Maven widget and search functionality. (Privacy Policy)
    Marketing
    Google AdSenseThis is an ad network. (Privacy Policy)
    Google DoubleClickGoogle provides ad serving technology and runs an ad network. (Privacy Policy)
    Index ExchangeThis is an ad network. (Privacy Policy)
    SovrnThis is an ad network. (Privacy Policy)
    Facebook AdsThis is an ad network. (Privacy Policy)
    Amazon Unified Ad MarketplaceThis is an ad network. (Privacy Policy)
    AppNexusThis is an ad network. (Privacy Policy)
    OpenxThis is an ad network. (Privacy Policy)
    Rubicon ProjectThis is an ad network. (Privacy Policy)
    TripleLiftThis is an ad network. (Privacy Policy)
    Say MediaWe partner with Say Media to deliver ad campaigns on our sites. (Privacy Policy)
    Remarketing PixelsWe may use remarketing pixels from advertising networks such as Google AdWords, Bing Ads, and Facebook in order to advertise the HubPages Service to people that have visited our sites.
    Conversion Tracking PixelsWe may use conversion tracking pixels from advertising networks such as Google AdWords, Bing Ads, and Facebook in order to identify when an advertisement has successfully resulted in the desired action, such as signing up for the HubPages Service or publishing an article on the HubPages Service.
    Statistics
    Author Google AnalyticsThis is used to provide traffic data and reports to the authors of articles on the HubPages Service. (Privacy Policy)
    ComscoreComScore is a media measurement and analytics company providing marketing data and analytics to enterprises, media and advertising agencies, and publishers. Non-consent will result in ComScore only processing obfuscated personal data. (Privacy Policy)
    Amazon Tracking PixelSome articles display amazon products as part of the Amazon Affiliate program, this pixel provides traffic statistics for those products (Privacy Policy)
    ClickscoThis is a data management platform studying reader behavior (Privacy Policy)