ArtsAutosBooksBusinessEducationEntertainmentFamilyFashionFoodGamesGenderHealthHolidaysHomeHubPagesPersonal FinancePetsPoliticsReligionSportsTechnologyTravel

The Iraqi Cauldron

Updated on June 26, 2014

The "new" rumor of war blazes across the world stage- Iraq. The old rumor of war "Syria" continues to roll along with its numbing casualties as the world simply ignores it. Both are intertwined by the same nefarious force-ISIS, the 10,000 man army that fights in Syria sets its eyes on Iraq.

Like a bad dream that simply gets worse, Iraq is well on its way to breaking apart as it was predicted by many experts-the Kurds in the north, the Sunnis with ISIS to the west of Baghdad and the Shiites holding onto Baghdad and Basra. ISIS seized millions of dollars during its recent capture of Mosul and is very well funded now. They continue to get Sunni recruits who stripped themselves of Iraqi army uniforms and four army divisions have simply vanished since ISIS has been encircling Baghdad. So far, vital infrastructures like a dam on the Euphrates and oil refineries remain under Iraqi control with loyal Shiite soldiers.

Overhead, more dark clouds occur. Syrian aircraft have flown into Iraqi airspace and have conducted attacks upon ISIS, the same group trying topple Assad. Jordanian aircraft have also attack ISIS in Iraq along their border as ISIS tries to seize border crossings. Both Iran and the US have their own drones flying over Iraqi airspace to gather and provide intelligence to themselves and Iraq. In the Persian Gulf, there is a US aircraft carrier with ready aircraft.

This is a recipe for disaster when their has been no coordination between these countries. One can see conflict in the sky above. Meanwhile, the conflict on the ground gains momentum for ISIS. As towns fall to ISIS, a hysteria creeps in, people and soldiers flee to save themselves. It is like a blitzkrieg. ISIS probably intends to isolate Baghdad or occupy part of the Sunni areas. If you cut off this city from water, electricity and oil pipelines, you can be sure the population will panic. This creates more avenues for ISIS to exploit. It is like the Nazi army ripping through Russia in 1941, millions fled or were killed. The Russian army fought and lost every battle from June to October. The status of Iraq's largest oil refinery, the Bayji facility in Salahaddin province, is now questionable, as ISIS is said to control large areas of the sprawling facility.

ISIS clearly has the momentum and initiative. They have cut off Syria from Iraq by controlling the border crossings. No longer can Iran send supplies to Syria overland. It seems ISIS has realized that toppling Assad in Syria is more unlikely now and have focused resources on Iraq to carve out its own strict Sunni state, which they have done. Iran has bitched to the US for interfering , yet, they already have two battalions of special forces in Iraq helping.

Iraq's army, after millions of dollars spent on training and supplies, is just like the South Vietnamese Army in the Vietnam War. Unless American troops or advisers were present on the battlefield, the troops proved inferior and gutless in combat. Morale went from fair to bad. When the North Vietnamese army attacked the South Vietnamese soldiers, most SVN troops did what the Iraqi does-flee. The only good troops then and now were the special forces. What is happening in Iraq is a repeat of a rerun-the Vietnam war, without jungles. The similarities are startling.

News reports that the Iraqi army is incapable of going on the offensive and are content with letting ISIS come to Baghdad. But, this is not a "Stalingrad", in Baghdad, defense lines are porous in the city of millions with Sunni and Shiite areas. The Iraqi army has decided to man the front lines with ancient Russian T-55 tanks (these are well over 50 years old) instead of their modern M1A1 Abrams tanks of which they have about 150. ISIS loaded with American equipment captured in Mosul depots and money from banks, can easily bribe Iraqi soldiers now for information.

When 500 ISIS fighters can rout an Iraqi force of 2500 men, that is a bad indication for Iraq. American airstrikes could hurt ISIS assuming you can find the dispersed targets that move fast in pickup trucks and Humvees. Airstikes would be more successful directed at the ISIS homebase of Raqqa inside Syria, a place they have held for a long time. Why this has not been done is due to political reasons. The Obama administration wants Assad out of Syria, yet, does little to get the job done. Assad will only go if shoved out by force. Obama has stated that very little American combat use in Iraq will occur unless the Iraqi political system has a solution. Obama wants Maliki out also, or at minimum, appease the Sunnis in the government, yet does nothing. Maliki was our man in Baghdad, but his old Shiite background has made many Sunnis angry. Iraq invited the US to conduct airstrikes, yet, nothing happens.

Does Obama or America want to save Iraq, a country it invaded to save it from tyranny and millions of dollars and lives were spent on? Do we just want to wash our hands of Iraq as another war gone bad? Maybe Obama's strategy is do nothing and Iraq will collapse and Iran will be invited in to save it. After all, Iran is greatly impacted by an Iraqi collapse because of its oil terminals near Basra. If ISIS makes an end run and isolates or takes Basra, they will send shock through the oil fields and Americans will see a rise at the pump. Such a move would bring Iraq to a collapse, for without the oil revenue, it could not survive.

Whether Obama or Americans want it or not, Iraq does matter in many ways. If Iran is invited in to save its Shiite brother, they will never leave. Iran could annex parts of Iraq. None of actors in this new war are trustworthy from an American perspective, there is only more of bad or worse than bad.

Comments

    0 of 8192 characters used
    Post Comment

    No comments yet.

    working

    This website uses cookies

    As a user in the EEA, your approval is needed on a few things. To provide a better website experience, hubpages.com uses cookies (and other similar technologies) and may collect, process, and share personal data. Please choose which areas of our service you consent to our doing so.

    For more information on managing or withdrawing consents and how we handle data, visit our Privacy Policy at: https://hubpages.com/privacy-policy#gdpr

    Show Details
    Necessary
    HubPages Device IDThis is used to identify particular browsers or devices when the access the service, and is used for security reasons.
    LoginThis is necessary to sign in to the HubPages Service.
    Google RecaptchaThis is used to prevent bots and spam. (Privacy Policy)
    AkismetThis is used to detect comment spam. (Privacy Policy)
    HubPages Google AnalyticsThis is used to provide data on traffic to our website, all personally identifyable data is anonymized. (Privacy Policy)
    HubPages Traffic PixelThis is used to collect data on traffic to articles and other pages on our site. Unless you are signed in to a HubPages account, all personally identifiable information is anonymized.
    Amazon Web ServicesThis is a cloud services platform that we used to host our service. (Privacy Policy)
    CloudflareThis is a cloud CDN service that we use to efficiently deliver files required for our service to operate such as javascript, cascading style sheets, images, and videos. (Privacy Policy)
    Google Hosted LibrariesJavascript software libraries such as jQuery are loaded at endpoints on the googleapis.com or gstatic.com domains, for performance and efficiency reasons. (Privacy Policy)
    Features
    Google Custom SearchThis is feature allows you to search the site. (Privacy Policy)
    Google MapsSome articles have Google Maps embedded in them. (Privacy Policy)
    Google ChartsThis is used to display charts and graphs on articles and the author center. (Privacy Policy)
    Google AdSense Host APIThis service allows you to sign up for or associate a Google AdSense account with HubPages, so that you can earn money from ads on your articles. No data is shared unless you engage with this feature. (Privacy Policy)
    Google YouTubeSome articles have YouTube videos embedded in them. (Privacy Policy)
    VimeoSome articles have Vimeo videos embedded in them. (Privacy Policy)
    PaypalThis is used for a registered author who enrolls in the HubPages Earnings program and requests to be paid via PayPal. No data is shared with Paypal unless you engage with this feature. (Privacy Policy)
    Facebook LoginYou can use this to streamline signing up for, or signing in to your Hubpages account. No data is shared with Facebook unless you engage with this feature. (Privacy Policy)
    MavenThis supports the Maven widget and search functionality. (Privacy Policy)
    Marketing
    Google AdSenseThis is an ad network. (Privacy Policy)
    Google DoubleClickGoogle provides ad serving technology and runs an ad network. (Privacy Policy)
    Index ExchangeThis is an ad network. (Privacy Policy)
    SovrnThis is an ad network. (Privacy Policy)
    Facebook AdsThis is an ad network. (Privacy Policy)
    Amazon Unified Ad MarketplaceThis is an ad network. (Privacy Policy)
    AppNexusThis is an ad network. (Privacy Policy)
    OpenxThis is an ad network. (Privacy Policy)
    Rubicon ProjectThis is an ad network. (Privacy Policy)
    TripleLiftThis is an ad network. (Privacy Policy)
    Say MediaWe partner with Say Media to deliver ad campaigns on our sites. (Privacy Policy)
    Remarketing PixelsWe may use remarketing pixels from advertising networks such as Google AdWords, Bing Ads, and Facebook in order to advertise the HubPages Service to people that have visited our sites.
    Conversion Tracking PixelsWe may use conversion tracking pixels from advertising networks such as Google AdWords, Bing Ads, and Facebook in order to identify when an advertisement has successfully resulted in the desired action, such as signing up for the HubPages Service or publishing an article on the HubPages Service.
    Statistics
    Author Google AnalyticsThis is used to provide traffic data and reports to the authors of articles on the HubPages Service. (Privacy Policy)
    ComscoreComScore is a media measurement and analytics company providing marketing data and analytics to enterprises, media and advertising agencies, and publishers. Non-consent will result in ComScore only processing obfuscated personal data. (Privacy Policy)
    Amazon Tracking PixelSome articles display amazon products as part of the Amazon Affiliate program, this pixel provides traffic statistics for those products (Privacy Policy)