- Politics and Social Issues
The North Korean and Iranian Nuclear Threat
Do you ever feel that the world is inching closer and closer to some sort of nuclear bomb being fired and destroying thousands of lives? As time moves on, many tend to have this in the back of their minds especially when either North Korea or Iran makes idle or real threats of using them. Of course, NK is far closer and is sharing the info with Iran regarding the nuclear bomb. It seems to be almost in tandem. When NK develops some sort of capacity, the technology is then transferred to Iran to copy.
They must have a plan. They must intend to use them at some point. It only takes one from each country to put the world economy and governments into a whirlwind of cascading events, all for the worse.
The North Korean now has a mobile nuclear launcher, the KN-08. I am sure the Iranians are not far behind. The road-mobile KN-08 is more of a threat than the Taepodong-2 because the missiles can be moved around covertly and are much more difficult to detect and target than the static-launched Taepodong-2. They could hide in caves. South Korea's nuclear arsenal is on high alert after NK has cancelled the 1953 Korean War treaty. They think if NK attacks it will be after the U.S.-SK military exercises, which end March 21. If North Korea makes a nuclear attack, retaliation can come from U.S. nuclear weapons stationed in Okinawa or Guam also, or from ships off the Korean coast. The tractor that carries the three stage ICBM was made in China and modified by the North. The rocket is probably based on the 1990's Russian SS-N-6 and probably has similar capabilities.
Now, Iran's weapons largely come from Russia, then copied or modified. But their nuclear capabilities are mostly tied to North Korea. Most of Iran's long range missiles were originally North Korean and or Russian\Chinese. If Iran builds more nuclear plants to create nuclear fuel, as they claim they are, Iran will have a bomb by this time 2014 or sooner, unless Israel's redline occurs by this summer. If this occurs, the Mideast could go into flames when Israel attacks Iran to destroy the bomb manufacturing.
This will spark a cascade of events that North Korea could join in by attacking South Korea in some manner. We know Iran does not have the nuclear bomb, but are we sure that NK doesn't? Even a dirty nuclear bomb can create a severe disaster and reaction (even without a rocket).
The dilemma for the world is how to prevent the nightmare. So far, nobody has a solution. It seems like it will come to pass, someday.