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The Objective of the Iranian Nuclear Weapon Talks
You have two sides sitting across the table. There is the Obama team and others trying to appease or make a deal with Iran to curtail its current production of weapons grade material, full well knowing, Iran cannot be trusted about anything they say or sign in agreement. Meanwhile, US sanctions ratchet up tightening the ability for Iran's ability to do business and earn money from exports on global markets. More sanctions, the worse ones, are due July 1.
So, Obama's team is trying to strike a deal with a country they do not trust and has openly stated that no amount of sanctions will curtail their quest for a nuclear bomb. Basically, Iran is another North Korea, just far smarter and wily. Far advanced in technology imported from American and European IT companies. Meanwhile, Iran continues enriching its uranium unabated as these "discussions" discuss very little except agree to agree to meet again. Meanwhile, Iran's 3000 centrifuges spin constantly creating enriched uranium, of which, 800 of them are solely focused on making 20% grade.
By some accounts, surely known to Obama, Iran has accumulated a stock of more than 110 kilograms of 20% uranium, enough to fuel several nuclear bombs at the underground Fordo site. It seems the Obama team tacitly agreed with Iran to continue enriching uranium not just to the 5% level but to 20% military grade in order to keep the dialogue afloat.
In other words, in order for Iran to continue "talking" about reducing its enrichment and quest for the bomb (which, seems to be moot already, at least a dirty bomb) from the last meeting in April, Obama's team agreed to let them continue enriching at 20%! The question then becomes, how much 20% uranium can be enriched within 30 days, between the talks? That depends on the number of centrifuges. Iran's stated goal is to have 9000 of them in Fordo. They have 33% of them now. The Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, earlier this month, sent an unequivocal message to President Obama saying that, no matter what, Iran would not shut the Fordo underground nuclear plant. Since even the American bunker busting bombs are not effective enough against Fordo, it seems Iran is steering the talks to their advantage.
Obama's negotiating team seems to have a losing hand. It seems maybe Obama has decided that in light of this, we might as well try to minimize the damage because we cannot stop Iran from getting the nuclear bomb. The military option most likely will only delay at best but not prevent and the fallout from any attacks are major for years to come. Yet, like France and Britain tried with Hitler in the late 30's to appease and contain Germany, their wishful thinking and hopes were shattered with Poland in 1939 and France in 1940.
That is what we are really dealing with. Obama's team simply is hoping that since we cannot really stop them from getting the bomb, we can only hope that Iran will not use it on Israel or Saudi Arabia or ourselves.
While we hope for the best, we just know the worse is coming.