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The Republican Letter to Iran
The recent letter to the Iranian leaders about American civics in government has caused many supporters and non-supporters to advocate their arguments. The opposition thinks it was as an attempt to torpedo the Obama quest for a nuclear agreement with Iran for a nuclear bomb, an agreement riddled with loopholes and does little to prevent Iran from getting it. At best, it delays it, which is pathetic. Obama has said himself he was shocked by the Republican party's letter to the leader of Iran, basically calling it a cheap shot and it weakens the U.S. position even more. Some of the Republicans who signed it, now, sort of step back indicating it was not the most ideal thing to do, but the premise remained valid.
What was the impact of this letter?
The American position in the Iranian negotiations was already in a weaken state before it. Obama lessened the sanctions on Iran that had forced them to the negotiation table. With the relief off and the overzealous eagerness of America to get just about any deal, signaled to the Iranians, they had the upper hand. The reluctance to resume the sanctions, let alone, increase them, also showed Iran America was reluctant to play their hand effectively in pursuit of stopping Iran from getting a nuclear weapon. Iran knows it has the upper hand. The possibility of military actions from America is about nil, from Israel, maybe 30%. The Israeli elections may show that Netanyahu is no longer its majority party and a less hawkish government will be in power. So, Iran, is almost in a win-win situation. Even if the deal is reached, after 10 years, it is game over and they will get what they want. Once they do, the shiite-sunni conflict in Iraq and Syria now, will turn nuclear because Saudi Arabia, which is Sunni, hates Iran and they will buy even more nuclear weapons than what they already possess. One can just what is will happen when Iran has it and uses to threaten others. This is NOT rocket science. Iran has been secretive about its quest for 10 years and why would anyone think this agreement will suddenly make inspections open to them? When inspectors in the past have wanted to see development area that Iran did not want them to see, access was denied. Nothing will change with this weak agreement.
The purpose of the Republican letter was to put Iran on notice. Even if Obama excludes Congress from the deal, it needs to be approved in some part by Congress, that Republicans control. And if the deal falters to conclude, the result does not mean war as some suggest. It means that Obama needs to have a return to the sanctions that were stopped. Then, see how Iran reacts. If the reaction is negative, increase the sanctions. Obama was right about one thing- economic sanctions did work over time and crippled the ability of Iran to conduct international business. That is what got Iran to the table, then America wimped out by removing them. Why can the Iranians play hardball and America cannot? Screw them, until you get a good agreement that could stop a nuclear holocaust.
The Republicans did the right thing with the letter. Put Iran on notice.