The Time For War With North Korea Is Now
Hard Decisions Must Be Made
Now, I know what you're thinking! Some of you will say that for many years North Korea has threatened the United States and South Korea, there is no need for change. I will respectfully choose to disagree and lay my argument and substance for that logic in this article. What should worry people more than dismissing a country that can not compete with our military is the mistakes we have made in the past. America did not take terrorism seriously until September 11th. Did we monitor it? Yes, but as many past presidents and CIA officials point out, the threat was never taken as seriously as it is today. The capabilities to inflict mass casualties and damages just didn't exist, or so we thought. Today we worry about dirty bombs, anthrax attacks, and other chemical and biological attacks that are possible from these foes. Organizations that were once thought as just hate groups or religious fanatics with little to no power to command the attention of the world are now focal points of a global war.
North Korea Is Weak
The argument that North Korea is weak seems like a very illogical one. Waiting for an opponent to gain strength seems like the strategy of a mad man. North Korea is indeed weak and that is a reason to attack more than a reason to do nothing. Just 20 years ago North Korea had a Global Fire Power rating of 56 out of 126 nation. Today, despite sanctions and ailing technology, North Korea's military sits at number 25 our of 126 nations. You could argue that rapid funds decreasing and demilitarization in previous Soviet controlled states account for a large portion of their jump. Yet, make no mistake, North Korea has grown in power over the last 20 years in some areas. One of these areas is a game changer, they have developed more advanced nuclear systems, in not only payload, but missile capabilities. Despite still being around 30 years behind the technology of the United States nuclear systems, North Korea is on the verge of creating its first real miniaturized atom bomb. Most nuclear test conducted by North Korea so far have been of the Plutonium variety but with their latest test some Scientist believe they may have upgraded to Uranium. Uranium bombs are much easier to miniaturize and do far more damage per atomic yield. Don't take my word for it, let's look in on what leading experts have said recently of North Korea's Nuclear capabilities.
The following is an extract from the BBC, the article being cited can be found here:
In March 2016 Pentagon spokesman Peter Cook said the US had not seen North Korea demonstrate an ability to miniaturize a warhead. Two days later Adm Bill Gortney, the officer responsible for defending US air space, told a Senate panel it was "prudent" to assume that Pyongyang could strike the US, despite the intelligence community giving it "a very low probability of success".
Prof Siegfried S Hecker of Stanford University, a highly authoritative voice on North Korea's weapons' development, says "we must assume that the DPRK has designed and demonstrated nuclear warheads that can be mounted on some of its short-range and perhaps medium-range missiles".
Writing in September 2016, he said Pyongyang's ability to field an intercontinental ballistic missile fitted with a nuclear warhead capable of reaching the US was "still a long way off - perhaps 5 to 10 years, but likely doable if the program is unconstrained".
The keyword in this statement is , unconstrained, and let's face it! We haven't stopped North Korea from advancing its nuclear ambition we have only slowed its progress. The United States has no more sanctions to introduce on North Korea. Like Iran,for many years, we have done all we can to limit their abilities. Yet, they continue to grow and this is a troubling sign. Some would cite the failed attempt for North Korea to launch a Satellite into orbit as a show that the country can not be taken seriously, however the fact that they even got close despite our best efforts is a sign that we must up the ante.
They Can't Be Reasoned With (warning the end of this video is not a message I condone)
Is Waiting It Out Worth The Cost?
To be clear, I posted the above video because it was the first one I found. I find it moronic that some fool would use propaganda as propaganda. Who you believe in or don't doesn't matter when it comes to the threat of North Korea. What does matter is knowing the mindset of our enemy. Make no mistake, North Korea is our enemy. Many will argue and post statistic that up to 100-400k people could die in a war with North Korea. Those numbers depend on who attacks first of course. As cited by WMD website here, a North Korea first attack would be devastating for America and South Korea. The result of such an attack would be many mortar rounds landing on the position of US troops and possible sneak attacks from up to 10 thousand North Korean militia already staged inside the borders of South Korea and that's before we get to the chemical weapons. The result could kill up to 12 thousand US troops in a few days with South Korea taking heavy losses of civilian population and troops around the Demilitarized Zone or DMZ and its Capitol. It's ironic that a DMZ could face such destruction just seconds after the attack order was given. However, a United States and South Korea coordinated attack could limit the loss of such a battle. By jamming frequencies moments before a major coordinated attack, the US/SK lead attack could destroy a large portion of North Korea's response capabilities before the confusion settled. If our side attacks first the losses could be held down to around 20 to 50 thousand. Those numbers are high and its a huge toll but a far cry from what could happen if North Korea gets the ability to launch nuclear weapons at the US and its allies. Such an event would lead to not only at least those 50 thousand death but possible millions more. Sit and wait seems to be a mistake at this point.
North Korea Has Tunnels
North Korea still has very elaborate tunnel systems, but unlike past wars, the United States is capable of handing such infrastructure. With advancements in weapons technology, our aircraft have missiles capable of penetrating very far underground as the Taliban found out the hard way. The cost of such a war would be heavy but in this stalemate the threat increases drastically with each passing year. The cost also increases. North Korea is full of defectors and people who would love nothing more but for the United States and South Korea to invade the country. The use of CIA in this country is limited however and we have never been able to penetrate deep enough to support an uprising. After all, when the leader ties people to the tip of missiles and fires them, it's not exactly a man you would want to cross. With rumors and fears that his Uncle could organize a coup against him, Kim Jong Un, the leader of North Korea, executed not only his Uncle but an entire generation of his only family including all women, children and elderly. An act or pure terrorism within his own bloodline. It just shows that he is not a man to be reasoned with nor is he stable. The idea that North Korea could launch an attack first is a grave thought given its rulers bipolar tendencies and lack of regard for his own bloodline.
We Need A New Friend
Maybe The War Doesn't Last At All
Given President Trump's stance with China so far, the most peaceful outcome of this conflict seems hard to imagine. Despite China's support in some sanctions on paper, the country does not want to allow North Korea to collapse. However, by working with China a war could be avoided all together. The issue with the conflict is that China does not want South Korea to take over North Korea because of its political ties to the United States. However, introducing a regime that can be neutral in the interest of both nations could be very beneficial for all parties involved , well besides Kim. China , South Korea and the United States could work together to force such a change that any war would be short lived and hardly fought. This would be better than a South Korea or civil war take over for China and it would save the United States and South Korea lots of time money and troops. Trump's seemingly close relationship with Putin could open the doors to such an arrangement being made in the near future. After all, we do not want to get rid of North Korea just to raise tensions with an even bigger threat in China. North Korea isn't the problem, its regime is.
It's Going To Happen Soon
I've made my argument for change of power in North Korea and I think it is time America seriously considers its options. Only the real threat of invasion would bring a country like China to the table and sweeten its incentives to remove North Korea's leader. Allowing North Korea to hide behind the shadow of the threat of future war with China is no longer an option. Sometime in the next four years we should see a war with North Korea or a coup spearheaded by the CIA and Chinese intelligence. Lost in all the debate and waiting are the hundred of thousands of people who are starving every day inside North Korea. The threat of nuclear aggression is no longer a matter of when or if, it's coming to a point that we as a country may have to sacrifice now to prevent further destruction in the future. The only halfway peaceful resolution to this situation is bringing China and Russia in to resolve it. If that can not be achieved then we would be foolish not to launch an attack swiftly to disable Kim's ability to coordinate and inflict damage with his military. The United States could win either way, but the wait is not worth the cost. The time for threats needs to pass and the time for action must come of age. Our reasoning behind invading Iraq was WMD, yet we'd wait on a country with a leader who has made it clear he intends to attack us to get the capabilities to do so before taking action? Maybe I am illogical and war is bad, but the threat of 'what if' is too much to ignore.