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Trump Faces an Uphill Task as Poll Numbers Pile up Against Him

Updated on July 17, 2020
emge profile image

MG is a keen political observer and commentator who has a ringside seat to the turbulent years of the present political scenario

Introduction

The US presidential election is looming ahead; It's just about four months away and that's a pretty short time. In the present month of January of this year appears to be far away. That was the time the American President Donald Trump was riding high. He did have negative ratings but overall with employment at its highest and very few unemployed and China not a threat at that time Donald Trump appeared to be in the driver seat. The campaign of Joe Biden hadn't taken off and Bernie Sanders was still around. With the advantage of the sitting president, the man in the White House stood a good chance of re-election.

All this has changed and the perception in the American public is that the President is not all that hot in handling the coronavirus. The latest poll figures would be a cause of worry for him and if this trend continues, I do not see how Donald Trump can get back into the White House irrespective of the merit of his opponent. The challenger Joe Biden is not the best of candidates. There are allegations of his son having some association with China and morally he has been accused of impropriety by another lady. But control of the virus may be the last straw and that could propel Joe Biden as a default candidate into the White House.

The latest polls

The news which has emanated will not be to President Trump's liking. .He is getting bad news for many weeks but now the worst news has come last Friday in a poll by ABC News in conjunction with the Washington Post. This shows the President's numbers are falling far behind his opponent Joe Biden. All this has happened because in the public perception the president has not been able to handle the coronavirus and the economic fallout. Even President Trump’s advisers acknowledge his election will rise and fall on how he handles the coronavirus.

It is important to understand what this poll brings out. Firstly, it shows that most Americans disapprove of his handling of the virus, which has been there for some time now. The Post-ABC News poll indicates that more than half of Americans, 52 %, strongly disapprove of the president's handling of the coronavirus.

In March, the period when the United States started shutting down to face the virus and Trump had got brief support, when only 36 % said the same thing. Over the months the entire scenario has worsened and that is bad news for Trump as the virus has resurged.

The second bit of bad news is that the virus is now rampant and spreading in the purple and red states like Arizona Texas Alabama, Georgia, and Florida. Now we know that Trump has a committed support base who swear by him. Unfortunately, it shows that his support base which consists of evangelicals, men without college degrees, and rural Americans are also getting disenchanted. Many still feel that they will vote for him but as the virus runs rampant there are quite a few who are thinking that he is not doing such a good job after all.

Lastly, the total is, that most Americans don't trust Trump on his handling of the virus. Over the months the figures for Trump are getting worse from the bad. More than 6 in 10 say they do not trust what Trump says on the virus. The startling figures are that even among Republicans 3 out of 10 echoed the same views.

Trump is also having his jousts with Anthony Fauci whom the Americans trust more than Trump. These verbal battles add to the negativity. Trump wants to open up the economy and is pretty desperate about it because opening up of the economy will be to his benefit but the virus keeps on growing and that is putting a spanner in the plans of Donald Trump. Most Americans don’t want to reopen business at the cost of health and safety. The virus and the economy are interlinked and it means that Trump has to focus on the virus if he wants the economy to flower again.


Last word

If Trump does not get into top gear against the coronavirus, I think his days in the white house will be numbered. One has a lurking feeling, that once he's elected he will likely make overtures to China again; One cannot forget that just a few weeks back he was praising President Xi. The retired Indian ambassador to China has given her opinion that Trump has deep business interests with China and in case he is elected he is likely to go soft on China. One should not forget that the Americans had a soft corner for China and had tried to build it up as a counterpoise to Russia ever since Johnson was president.

That's an old hat now but the new hat that Trump is going to wear may not be the best one for America. In the meantime, it is the Coranavirus which will decide who sits in the White House.

Comments

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    • emge profile imageAUTHOR

      MG Singh emge 

      10 months ago from Singapore

      Yves, I appreciate your point about Biden. Let's see how the cards unfold

    • savvydating profile image

      Yves 

      10 months ago

      Don't believe everything mainstream media tells you. Things are not always what they seem. Biden has been China's best friend, in reality. Just examine his his history.

      But yes, because of 95% biased reporting, Trump has an uphill battle in this next election. You are right about that. Good article, MG.

    • emge profile imageAUTHOR

      MG Singh emge 

      10 months ago from Singapore

      My dear Flourish, I agree that one must vote but with both contenders old and cognitive to a degree where is the choice?

    • FlourishAnyway profile image

      FlourishAnyway 

      10 months ago from USA

      Let’s hope that rational heads prevail at the ballot box November 3. Vote, vote, vote.

    • emge profile imageAUTHOR

      MG Singh emge 

      10 months ago from Singapore

      Chriss, you have made your point very effectively. It is indeed sad that in America there is a choice only between these two characters and there's nothing much to choose between them.

    • CHRIS57 profile image

      CHRIS57 

      10 months ago from Northern Germany

      A lot could be assessed from the political behavior of Trump in the past. You addressed this rightly in your article. But now the recent interview on Fox-News really makes me shiver.

      What to expect from next election?

      - A president who is in mentally questionable condition but who is stubborn enough to not to be influenced easily (actually doesn´t listen to anyone)

      - A president who is also in possibly mentally questionable condition but who may listen to advice.

      How far has the US come, that now they only have a choice between 2 canditates who compete for dementia. This test referred to in the interview is for checking dement patients. A president in office brags about solving this test? Ridiculous, unbelieveable.

      For us in Europe, it is hard to predict who will be the better choice? D. Trump who is easy prey for powerful strategists like Xi or Putin, Or. J. Biden, who will be remote controlled by advisors and lobbyists.

    • emge profile imageAUTHOR

      MG Singh emge 

      10 months ago from Singapore

      Kyler Falk, that you for your opinion

    • Kyler J Falk profile image

      Kyler J Falk 

      10 months ago from California

      I could concur with all of this and say that Trump, seemingly, has handled this coronavirus from a position of weakness and indecisive action. He didn't do what Obama did with H1N1 and steam through the virus with rousing speeches, he just keeps being a complete asshole and poor excuse for a leader. Trump is too self-centered for my liking, and I wouldn't want to fight under his leadership.

      A great article, MG.

    • emge profile imageAUTHOR

      MG Singh emge 

      10 months ago from Singapore

      Pamela, you have the pulse of America in your hand as you state that some people are unhappy with Trump. Let us see how things pan out.

    • emge profile imageAUTHOR

      MG Singh emge 

      10 months ago from Singapore

      Mona, you have made an interesting observation. I have one point the polls have been proved wrong before, I wonder how much water they hold this time.

    • Pamela99 profile image

      Pamela Oglesby 

      10 months ago from Sunny Florida

      This is a very good article considering everything that is going on in the U.S. I never think about the polls anymore as they were not accurate in 2016. However, I think many people are unhappy with Trump. I the state of thhe economy in Nov. will have a lot to do with the outcome of this election.

    • profile image

      Mona Gonzalez 

      10 months ago

      This is a very intelligent analysis of how COVID may interfere with Trump's getting reelected. The question is whether or not he has the intellectual horsepower to flatten the COVID curve.

    • emge profile imageAUTHOR

      MG Singh emge 

      10 months ago from Singapore

      Thank you David for your comment.

    • profile image

      David Issac 

      10 months ago

      I think you are pretty correct in your assessment. I will however add that Trump basically has the lower class whites as his supporters and they may vote for him come what may. Why? He's selling them a dream, so let's wait.

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