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US to Strike Iran Soon, Apparently!

Updated on July 27, 2018

Trump involved in yet another international spat.

Iran's President Hassan Rouhani.
Iran's President Hassan Rouhani. | Source
United States President Donald J Trump.
United States President Donald J Trump. | Source

Relations between the United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran have not been smooth ever since the Iranian revolution of 1979. During the Iran - Iraq war the US offered aid and military assistance to Iraq and its Allies. The US and Iranian Navies clashed during this war. The Iranians have been enemies of the United States too because of its friendship with Israel.

During the Syrian crisis it seemed at one stage Iran and the US might actually be on the same side in the fight against Islamic State. However both Iran and the US have designs on the Middle East and this has ramped up tensions between the two nations. Trump pulled the US out of the Iran nuclear deal which has sent remaining nations in the deal with Iran scurrying for ideas about what to do about this. Given Trump's close friendship with Israel's Benjamin Netanyahu this has only poured fuel on the fire in the bad relations between the US and Iran.

Relations between the US and Iran are getting dangerously close to a potential military clash. According to ABC (Australian Broadcasting Corporation) the US is on the verge of a military strike on Iran's nuclear facilities. Verbal threats via Twitter have been going back and forth between Trump and Iran's President Hassan Rouhani. For example Trump warned the Iranian President on Twitter that Iran would face "consequences the likes of which few through out history have suffered". Rouhani has stated that any war between the US and his nation would be the "Mother of all wars".

The consequences of any strike on Iran would seem dangerous in the extreme. Iran has always threatened to hit back hard at US or Israeli interests should either nation attack Iran. The notion of a strike against Iran's nuclear facilities will be music to the ears of the Israelis. They themselves have touted the idea of such an act and as evidence of this the Israeli air force during the Iran - Iraq war knocked out an Iraqi nuclear facility in 1981.

Let us not forget though that relations between the Communist state of North Korea and the US had hit it seemed the buffers. Kim and Trump on Twitter (like Trump and Rouhani now) were always threatening each other on Twitter. It seemed war between these two belligerents was looming and then both leaders out of the blue met. Kim and Trump it seemed when they met in Singapore got on like the proverbial house on fire. Trump promised to stop US-South Korean military exercises in return for North Korea stopping its missile test firings and nuclear tests. So far so good this deal seems to be holding and let us hope it does.

Could Trump and Rouhani get together as Trump and Kim did to hammer out a deal? You'd think given the verbal diarrhea going back forth between the two administrations that wouldn't be possible. However, the same was said about Trump and Kim and look what happened.

Mean while, if such a strike does go ahead the UK, Canada, New Zealand and Australia have all offered to help the US in some way or other. Going back to the consequences of any strike by the US on Iran what about Iran's Allies?

China has threatened in the past to come to the aid of Iran and what about Russia and North Korea? Certainly Israel would be struck by Iran's Allies Hezbollah in Lebanon and Iran's long range missiles. Israel would hit back and then what? A conflagration that may spread from a regional conflict into a world conflict God forbid.


Iran and its military.

Commander of Iran's special forces the elite Quds brigades has verbally told Trump not to attack Iran or threaten the country and it's people any more. Iran's military has always been at a disadvantage from the beginning from the purges brought about by the Iranian revolution or in equipment. Iran has been under an arms embargo from the West for years now and so it has largely become self sufficient having a home grown arms industry. What Iran does not build itself it buys from nations that still trade with Iran like Russia, China and North Korea.

Iran is certainly a regional power in the Middle East with its fingers in Lebanon, Syria and Yemen. In any military confrontation with a potential enemy like the United States, Israel or KSA (Kingdom of Saudi Arabia) proxies like Hezbollah will do its fighting for it. As Israel found out in the 2006 war with Hezbollah and the wars Israel has fought against Hamas in Gaza. That said Iran can call on the Basij where every citizen man or woman is ready and willing to take up arms for Iran.

Iran also has the 'Revolutionary Guard' who have their own navy, air force and army. Besides that there is the regular army, navy and air force which on paper at least are a formidable force. Iran also has a battery of long range missiles it could deploy at a moments notice to strike at the interests of its enemies in the Middle East.

The total spend that Iran spends on its military is $16 billion which is not as much as its enemies spend on theirs like the US, Israel or Saudi Arabia. Asymmetric warfare is the name of the game for Iran when facing enemies with better weapons and the budget to be able to afford them. This strategy is a bit like a smaller and quicker opponent overcoming a lumbering, bigger opponent and winning.

For example, Iran has invested in fast attack craft which could potentially surround a USA aircraft carrier and do it some formidable damage. Iran has maintained its fleet of F-14 Tomcat fighters (US supplied) despite not being able to get the parts on the open market at least. Old these planes maybe but with a modern upgrade and a determined pilot they could still do some damage.

Iran also is a large and mountainous country and its forces know their own backyard well. Any potential invasion of the country could get bogged down as the Iraqis got bogged down. The Iranians though lacking in many areas of their military have been shown to be ferocious, patriotic fighters which in some ways would compensate for this.



Iranian military parade.
Iranian military parade. | Source

Comments

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    • Nick Bishop profile imageAUTHOR

      Nick Bishop 

      3 years ago

      I agree politicians do lose wars. The military of both our nations do their duty. Cheers

    • bradmasterOCcal profile image

      Brad 

      3 years ago

      Nick

      Seriously, you are just dishing out red herrings.

      Like Hillary Clinton you can't admit you lost the revolution.

      But the real issue was Iran using F14 as their primary military fighter.

      They have 42 of the F14A and between 25 to 36 Mig 29A.

      And they have to buy parts for their aging fleet of F14 on the black market. Does that sound like a winning recipe? And the other herring was the put down on the Iraq Iran war which ended in a draw after 8 years.

      I am a big fan of Yes, minister, and Yes Prime Minister.

      I don't really care who is better, the military in both countries does there job well. It is the politicians that lose wars. There is no indication that Iran wants to go to war, nor does the US have anything to gain by going to war. The US sanctions on Iran are working. When they run out of the Obama gift money what will they have?

      Cheers

    • Nick Bishop profile imageAUTHOR

      Nick Bishop 

      3 years ago

      Lets put it this way you may have all the hardware. However the British military is still the best in the world and our SAS would give your Delta Force (Whom we taught) a run for its money.

      As for being insecure you flatter yourself. If thinking that makes you sleep

    • bradmasterOCcal profile image

      Brad 

      3 years ago

      Nick

      You could at least post my comment.

      No one know what you are talking about, that is if anyone cares.

      -----------------------------

      Define specious? I don't suppose the Iranian people want war no. Do the American people want want war? No I don't suppose they do either.

      B:

      The US government based on history always wants a war. I guess beating your country showed them how easy and beneficial it is.

      -------------------------

      But you Americans are good at getting yourself yourselves bogged down in unwinnable wars.

      B:

      What capacity does England have for war, when they rely on NATO?

      --------------------------------------

      As for ABC what's up with the Australian media? As for the Iran-Iraq war please don't bore me with historical details. As for F 14s you guys built them so you are mocking what made American fighter aviation great!

      B:

      Iran Iraq war may be historical but we should learn from history.

      And that is probably why the English Empire ends at the UK today.

      Yes, we built the F14s. The F-14 first flew in December 1970 and made its first deployment in 1974 with the U.S. Navy aboard USS Enterprise (CVN-65), replacing the McDonnell Douglas F-4 Phantom II.

      There are about 600 still in service today.

      But we don't rely on them as Iran has to.

      ------------------

      I liked the people I met in England, but I don't think that you are like them!

    • Nick Bishop profile imageAUTHOR

      Nick Bishop 

      3 years ago

      Increase my vocab! I love it we have a comedian now! As for a compliment you must be as vacuous as I thought you were.

      Total word snob is what we have here.

    • Nick Bishop profile imageAUTHOR

      Nick Bishop 

      3 years ago

      Define specious? I don't suppose the Iranian people want war no. Do the American people want want war? No I don't suppose they do either.

      But you Americans are good at getting yourself yourselves bogged down in unwinnable wars.

      As for ABC what's up with the Australian media? As for the Iran-Iraq war please don't bore me with historical details. As for F 14s you guys built them so you are mocking what made American fighter aviation great!

    • Wesman Todd Shaw profile image

      Wesman Todd Shaw 

      3 years ago from Kaufman, Texas

      War is always bad, but it also seems to be inevitable with humans. I would just feel badly for the civilians in Iran were something to happen.

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