The Biggest Problem in American Politics? [F0 511]
Loyal party voters are the biggest problem of American Politics
Loyal party voters will vote Row A or Row B which ever row is their party. So they don't really have to make decisions just mark their parties candidates, and they are done. Loyal party voters are the problem because both parties take advantage of their loyal party voter by cashing their vote as soon as they register to vote. From that point on the party is in control, and the voter has to choose from the candidates provided to them by their party. As the party convention nears, the party starts counting their votes from these loyal party voters. They are determining how many votes they will need to have their candidate win the election.
The following is how the parties calculate the needed votes to win. This article uses the 2012 Election because it was before the 2016 Election Controversy of Hillary versus Trump.
This is my opinion how the parties do the math:
The parties estimate the total voter turnout using the previous elections. They then estimate the total number of loyal registered voters that they think will actually vote for their candidate. Then they estimate the total number of loyal registered voters in the other party that will vote for that party's candidate.
Next they estimate the total number of independent voters, it is these independent voters that have determined the winning presidential candidate in previous election. Then the party factors how many of these independent voters are needed to vote for the party's candidate in order to win the election, this is a zero sum number because this is the pool of voters available to both parties.
Many of the independents will vote for a party outside of the dominant two. However, some of the independents can be swayed to Party A or Party B. These steps are done for each state, and for the electoral college. Both parties using something probably more precise than this generic algorithm already know which are the critical states, the marginal states, and the can go either way states.
The point that I am making is that the loyal party voters are easily led allowing their votes to be cashed in by the party, at the time that they register to vote.The only intelligent voters are the independent voters, as they have not made any real commitments to either of the big two. The sad part is that all of these calculations will turn out miraculously to be somewhat accurate. None of the campaign issues will make any difference to the registered voters of Party A or Party B and that is because they are loyal and won't question them. They might make some difference to the independent voters who are by definition not loyal to any party..
What we need are voters who can think and move past party loyalty. Our country is in deep trouble. If people really care they must cast an intelligent vote. Is that possible? Up and useful and awesome!