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Who Will Win the Iowa Democratic Caucus?

Updated on January 30, 2016

Are You Watching the Iowa Democratic Caucus?

The Iowa caucus takes place on Monday, February 1, 2016. Iowa is a very important state in any Presidential campaign. Presidential polls are notoriously unreliable in Iowa as Iowans are known for deciding at the last minute. Every vote matters but Iowa and New Hampshire are both very important to candidates who are running for President.

Iowa Republican Caucus Candidate Donald Trump

By most estimates Donald Trump is leading in the Iowa Republican Caucus. His lead has been comfortable for some time. Proponents of Donald Trump say they like his plain speaking approach. Some people are frightened by the increase in immigration across the Western world. These people are pleased by Donald Trump's vision to erect a wall on the Southern border of America.

Iowa Republican Caucus Candidate Ted Cruz

According to the Des Moines Register poll Ted Cruz is polling in second place as of Saturday, January 30, 2016. This is because Iowa is very influenced by the "Evangelical" vote and Cruz has a solid Evangelical base. If he wins the nomination and Presidency he would become the first Hispanic President. Senator Marco Rubio has been hard on his heels though.

Iowa Republican Caucus Candidates Senator Marco Rubio and Dr. Ben Carson

In case you are wondering where was Marco Rubio born the answer is he was born in Miami, Florida. Senator Marco Rubio is polling at fifteen percent in third place solidly. Marco Rubio is very conservative and is a lawyer and a Florida Senator. Dr. Ben Carson is about ten percent in Iowa as of this writing. He is a retired Pediatric Neurosurgeon. He performed many remarkable groundbreaking surgeries on children throughout his distinguished career.

Iowa Democratic Caucus Candidates Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders

On the Democrat side, Hillary Clinton is still leading. However Bernie Sanders is behind by only one to several points depending upon which poll is used. These two are locked in a dead heat at this time. Many people think that what is weighing Hillary Clinton down is the private email server situation where she had a private email server for government documents in her house. Also there are those who hold the Benghazi situation against her, wherein American personnel in Benghazi Libya perished while she was Secretary of State. For his part, Bernie Sanders is a Socialist, albeit a very popular one.

This Presidential election cycle has been a very exciting and engaging one for Americans. Donald Trump supporters want a wall to be built on the Southern border states. Ted Cruz who was born in Canada has the loyalty of many including Evangelicals. Marco Rubio is a fresh young face that many are enthusiastic about. Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders both have their solid bases as well in the Iowa Democratic Caucus. Only time will tell who will win the Iowa caucus this year.


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    • bradmasterOCcal profile image

      bradmasterOCcal 2 years ago from Orange County California

      While you have clearly described the existing candidates based on their party and their position in the polls, I don't think that the traditional method of selecting our candidates has bode well for us.

      In my opinion, the better approach would be to integrate the presidential candidates of both parties into a common pool. Let the entire voting population pick out their candidates of choice from the very beginning.

      This would dispense with the democratic and republican separate campaigning and debates.

      Put all the Candidates from both Parties into a one group. Then when we have voting such as in Iowa and other states, all the candidates would be on the ballot, just the same way that the survivors of the parties will be on the ballot in Nov this year.

      In the debates that are traditionally segregated by party in the primaries, make the democrat candidates and the republican candidates debate.

      This would give the voters are better view of the candidates, and a clearer view of their political positions.

      Also, we should not allow the campaigning for the presidency to precede the election year. Remember that most candidates are already elected officials, and campaigning is not what we elected them to do. So the least amount of time that they spend campaigning will be gained by them doing their job.

      I know that everyone does it today, but that doesn't mean that it is the best thing to do for the country and the voters.

      The presidency is only a four year term, and to spend two years campaigning for reelection, or for the new president means a major distraction for the politicians.

      If this opinion is too far from the goal of your article, then feel free to deleted it.


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      Old Poolman 2 years ago

      Nicely written. We should soon know the answer to your question and the changes that will make. I find the whole process to be complicated and confusing, but the methods used will never change.