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Will North Korea Attack South Korea or the U.S.?

Updated on March 29, 2013
B2 Stealth Bomber is an awesome sight
B2 Stealth Bomber is an awesome sight

History has shown that major wars begin with a single, small incident. WW1 did. The Iraq war did, as it was all based on imaginary WMD sites. One might say even Afghanistan did - originally we went after al-Qaeda in the hills.

Now there is the very BAD blood, simmering hate between North and South Korea. The 1950-53 Korean War ended in a stalemate, so to speak. It was unresolved but everyone was sick of war with WW2 having ended in 1945. The Chinese saved North Korea then by sending millions of soldiers to bolster the wiped out NK army. B-52 bombers conducted some of the first massive carpet bombing that was so common in the 1965-72 Vietnam War.

In 2010, NK fired artillery across the border at an island belong to SK. That was really the first blatant attack since 1953. With NK having a new, young leader, the recent ramping up of military war is part real and part bluster. NK would love for the US or SK to make the first move aggression wise, but neither will. The generals of the NK army are old enough to be the young leader's father, maybe grandfather. The young leader wants to prove himself not only to the West but internally to the NK Army. The generals of the NK Army are the ones with the grudge. They still recall the original war and simmer with a sort of revenge slash jealousy about how well SK has prospered.

War starts with human traits.

Since NK has the capability to produce 3-6 nukes per year and now has ICBMs to hit some American targets, any new war will be both nuclear and conventional. Let's not forget about its partner, Iran. NK could easily sell a few nukes to Iran. All Iran has to do is to mount them onto their missiles, which are all NK rocket designs. If NK can mount them, Iran is not far behind technology wise for they share information.

In any war, NK would lose, for sure, assuming the US has the will to use their massive firepower to defend SK. As for SK, much of the urban areas near the DMZ would probably be much like a Syrian-like landscape. Many would die especially if NK focuses on Seoul and places around it because it is so close and easy striking distance. Even if a single nuke hit Guam, Yokohama, it would be a real shock to America. For all we know, maybe Iran might be in on the offensive. Even their own conventional missiles can easily decimate the Saudi oil fields and the US 5th Fleet might find itself in real dangerous waters. Oil tankers could be easy targets in the Persian Gulf and sinking only a few would close it. World oil prices would soar.

What would China do? Russia? With NK's missiles on alert and the US B-2 bombers capable of delivering 16 nuclear bombs flying from the USA to SK only shows how as each side is capable of escalating tension.

Where there is tension, there are mistakes.

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    • perrya profile imageAUTHOR

      perrya 

      5 years ago

      I heard about also.

    • bodyathletics profile image

      Benjamin 

      5 years ago

      I heard somewhere that technically we are still at war with North Korea due to some sort of cease fire that we never signed. So technically we are still at war and the President doesn't have to go to congress if attacks are desired towards North Korea. Granted he should. Just thought this was interesting.

    • swordsbane profile image

      William Grant 

      5 years ago from Wisconsin

      That's not the way international politics works. It's not about DOING anything, any more than national and local politics is. It's about APPEARING to do something. Actually doing something means the political landscape changes and the dead horse you were flogging might disappear. No... North Korea's only chance is to keep things as they are, so that Kim can continue to win points with his people. Moving against his enemies is counter-productive... not because retaliation is a bitch (which might happen and ruin his country) but because once he makes his move, his people will see him for the wimp he is and they will lose their fear of him.

      The rest of the world sees him for what he is, and won't do anything until he crosses the line, and he knows it. What we think isn't important in the long run. What his own people think is, and as long as he maintains his borders and his grip on the flow of information, he can spin whatever we say against him to his own benefit. He's not trying to be king of the world. He's trying to hold on to the power he already has, and it's working, as long as he doesn't do anything foolish like back up what he says. This he knows, or he would have already made his move.

    • perrya profile imageAUTHOR

      perrya 

      5 years ago

      Well, it is at the point that NK really must do something after talking the talk, otherwise, their bluff is called and they will look even more stupid

    • swordsbane profile image

      William Grant 

      5 years ago from Wisconsin

      I've said it before, I don't think NK has any intention of starting a war with anyone. All their "saber-rattling" is for the North Korean people themselves. Kimmy wants to be perceived as a big shot in his own country, where he can control any contrary information that comes in. It's a huge PR gimmick. NK has no militarily significant chance against the nations he's posturing against.... except MAYBE South Korea, and SK will be protected by the US, and probably the UN and maybe even China. I don't see a threat coming directly out of North Korea. I see terrorism probably and more posturing and saber-rattling... and that's about it.

      It's when the bad guys stop talking... when they stop trying to convince us they are right, when they cease worrying about what we say about them on the international scene.... THOSE are the one's who are gearing up for war. THAT's when you worry.

    • perrya profile imageAUTHOR

      perrya 

      5 years ago

      America should call the NK bluff. just tell them to "bring it on", the regime is such a bad one, who needs it.

    • profile image

      Uncle Remus 

      5 years ago

      I gots me a cart that I put crushed beer cans in, it run on big macs and cheetos

    • swordsbane profile image

      William Grant 

      5 years ago from Wisconsin

      @Carl. The UN might have enacted the resolution to intervene in Korea, but it was the US that carried the ball. It is, by and large considered a US operation. In any case, we were there. Whether or not someone else told us to go in and gave us permission, it was OUR responsibility. This is a concept the US government seems to forget WAY too often.

    • profile image

      Carl 

      5 years ago

      @ max

      "In what way do we have to intervene? Weren't we the ones who partook Korea? Then, we have to assume the responsibility, now."

      Actually dipshit, it was a United Nations action. Normally anti-American folks like you are fond of the UN. I'm sure you've also never been to Korea. I have and it's a seriously messed up place in some areas. You have no idea.

    • maxoxam41 profile image

      Deforest 

      5 years ago from USA

      Does a European education mean that you have to be a world puppet? After all, his target, if ever it is true, is south Korea. In what way do we have to intervene? Weren't we the ones who partook Korea? Then, we have to assume the responsibility, now.

      Once again, I reiterate my question whose interest is it for a war to be waged? Obviously the US.

      The north and the south have common interests to keep. If the status quo was preserved maybe there's a reason why.

    • perrya profile imageAUTHOR

      perrya 

      5 years ago

      Nothing about the 30 yr. old leader educated in Switzerland and NK makes any sense, even to the experts.

    • tuteramanda profile image

      tuteramanda 

      5 years ago from beijing china

      N KOREA IS SO WEAK TO ATTACK USA ,THAT'S MEANS ITS DOOMING

    • maxoxam41 profile image

      Deforest 

      5 years ago from USA

      By risking to pulverize his country? It makes sense, doesn't it?

    • perrya profile imageAUTHOR

      perrya 

      5 years ago

      I think the new leader just wants to prove himself to his people and the military, which really runs the country.

    • maxoxam41 profile image

      Deforest 

      5 years ago from USA

      You will have the answer to this suspenseful question on the next episode? Stay tuned! Whose interest is it to start a war North Korea or the US? It's been years that tension exists between the North and the South did the North attack the South? No. Why? It is smaller than the US with less military capability. Then how do you explain that they are willing to jump on a war with the US that everybody fears and not with South Korea (that is supported by the US)?

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