Can Astrology Charts Forecast Earthquake Risk?
A Short and Long Answer to the Question
"...nothing exists nor happens in the visible sky that is not sensed in some hidden manner by the faculties of earth and nature." -Johannes Kepler
The simple answer to this question is a definite "Yes"! However, I feel that it is necessary for me to explain a little about the subject, and then see if I can somehow convince you that either that answer is a resounding one or if it has some reservations... Astrology is ancient. It has been around for millennia in fact and very likely before recorded history. Of course earthquakes have been around much longer. The Chinese who are known for frequent and devastating earthquakes, also have a long history of astrologers that likely goes back to at least October 22nd, 2134 BC when two court astrologers, Hsi and Ho, failed to predict the first recorded eclipse for their emperor. Their ruler was then unprepared to scare the dragon with a team of noise makers to prevent it from devouring the sun or triggering other misfortunes. The incensed emperor made sure that they wouldn't make that mistake again; he had them promptly beheaded. It is known that astrology existed in China as late as 1046 BC. It is more uncertain as to whether it existed before that but more likely than unlikely. It can be definitively traced back to the Babylonian civilization in 2000 BC. Back then, and into the 17th century in Europe, astronomers were actually astrologers as well. When the modern era of astrology began in the 18th century, the two fields parted ways.
Seismology has a shorter history, having its roots in the Great Lisbon Earthquake, tsunami, and fire of 1755 that wiped out tens of thousands of people there. However, it wasn't until about one hundred years later that a comprehensive catalogue of historical earthquakes was compiled by Robert Mallet to try to gain insight into the phenomena (this 'Catalogue of recorded Earthquakes' can be found at Google Books at this URL). Shortly after that a ground breaking scientific study was performed by Mr. Mallet in regards to the 1857 Basilicata earthquake in southern Italy. Another Italian temblor, the Great Messina Earthquake of 1908, that caused the death of at least 80,000 people, inspired a young Italian to begin an interest in seismology. A few years earlier, at the age of twelve, this prodigy had taken up the study of celestial mechanics following a local eclipse. This inquisitive student and original thinker went on to become an unconventional but serious amateur scientist. Raffaele Bendandi was his name and he was well known in his native Italy in the 1920s for predicting the occurrence of earthquakes based on planetary alignments. He not only made forecasts of them, but his syndicated newspaper articles were very popular before Mussolini who, although at first showered him with praise, eventually banned him from predicting, seeing him as an impediment to the tourist trade. You can read more regarding Bendandi on the web at this location: http://www.itacomm.net/EQL/engbent1908.pdf
Earthquake prediction did not start in Italy however. There is a history of it in Persia (now Iran) going back many centuries before Bendandi. History recorded that astrologers correctly predicted earthquakes there in the years 1042 and 1549. Unfortunately almost nobody paid attention to the predictions and 40,000 people are said to have perished in the first and 3,000 lives were taken in the second. Ironically, the very person who predicted this last quake died in it as well. I am not saying that astrology works all of the time. One rarely hears of an astrologer's failed predictions; it only becomes news when he or she hits the earthquake prediction bulls-eye. Unfortunately, if we assume it to be a valid prediction tool, that hasn't happened as much as one might expect in more recent times. This may say more for the present state of the art rather than astrology's potential to predict events correctly. It is my desire to improve astrology's image in this regard.
The conundrum of the widespread belief in astrology and its lack of proof is similar to that found in the field of Ufology. There is anecdotal evidence but no hard facts that would win out in a court of science. Part of the problem is that astrologers are often not willing to let their trade secrets get out if they have made unique discoveries in the field. Italy's Bendandi never published his methods, taking his secrets with him to the grave.
Besides a long standing interest that I have had in little understood and rare natural phenomena, I have also wished to make my discoveries public. I consider myself a generous person and believe that the more that I give the more will be given me in return—not necessarily immediately but eventually. This doesn't just relate to material objects but knowledge as well. In other words, the more I share my knowledge, the more knowledge and new discoveries should be made available to me. Part of this is a result of cause and effect but also from just the result of exercising ones brain more freely and creatively.
Many years ago, I began collecting accurate earthquake dates, times, and locations for as many significantly damaging earthquakes as I could find. The idea was to create an astrological database that, through studying charts for such events along particular faults over the course of centuries, a celestial personality for that fault could be determined. This portrait, defined in planetary aspects could then be used to predict future quakes. Unfortunately this kind of research takes time and devotion, and I have only so much time on this earth. I believe my research so far has done little more than scratch the surface.
Although mostly still in the preparation stages of prediction, I am going to use this medium to give two possible time periods for 6.7 magnitude or larger earthquakes in March, spanning 3.5 days or about 11.5% of the month. During an average month (of 30.4375 days) there should occur 2 or 3 earthquakes of 6.7 magnitude or higher somewhere in the world. The two astrological windows (defined by my research based methodology) will equal a period of time that has a 26.45% statistical probability of a 6.7 or greater earthquake occurring within its boundaries. So if one such earthquake falls within one of my windows then I will have achieved a result that would be 3.78 times greater than that of the statistical average. I presently am not too confident about predicting likely locations of earthquakes since my research has yet to go much further than getting the dates right. However, I have decided to take a chance and try to predict the epicenters of the potential events. For both time periods it would appear that the likeliest locations (based on 242 event charts) are Iran and China.
Books to Consider
So, without further ado, here are my predicted windows for earthquakes of 6.7 or greater magnitude for the month of March, 2012: March 16th at 1:00am, GMT (give or take 24 hours)=Iran:Ardabil,Nir=0200 UT (12/30/1863,1836UT), and March 24th at 1930, GMT (give or take 18 hours)=Iran:Tabriz (1/8/1780,1600UT). Also possible on March 24th at 1315, GMT is a quake in Sichuan, China (March 24, 1923,1240UT). The date and time in parenthesis (following the location) is for the natal chart to which the predicted date and time resonates (see the biwheel charts).
Here is a run-down of some key aspects conducive to earthquakes that relate to these prediction dates:
3/16 in Ardabil and Nir, Iran: Mercury 5d26m to Sun/Uranus midpoint for Transiting to Natal and Transiting to Transiting positions (for some reason that degree of separation is important in earthquake charts for these planetary interactions). Transiting Sun 9 degrees from transiting Mercury/Uranus midpoint (same story as with last midpoint relationship).
3/24 in Sichuan, China: Mercury 5d26m to Sun/Uranus midpoint for Transiting to Natal and Transiting to Transiting positions (same as in last date in Iran). Transiting Mercury semi-square natal Mars. Interestingly the predicted date has the same month and day as the natal earthquake date.
3/24 in Tabriz, Iran: Same planetary interactions as with 3/16.
In closing, let me try to put this a bit in perspective. Obviously, it is my belief that astrology is a factor to be reckoned with, or that it can be a valuable tool at foreseeing likely opportunities to embrace or dangers to avoid. However, I am also a big believer that randomness plays at least an equal roll in our lives. As a result I am expecting results of no better than one earthquake falling within one of the two prediction window periods. And, since the universe tends to play craps often, there is no telling when the cosmic or mother nature plan for an earthquake will fall into line with the most plausible time that astrology says an earthquake should occur. Or, like in a game of poker, the fickle finger of fate may just exchange a couple of cards, raise the stakes, and wait to play its hand at a later date. The 2-3 earthquakes per month expectation for such an earthquake in March 2012 is based only on an average. Sometimes a month will have 5 such quakes and sometimes none. Based on sunspot activity and the recent frequency of 6.7+ magnitude earthquakes, my impression is that earthquakes will be no better than average for the first eight months of this year. However, astrology seems to be telling me that March will be at least an average month. My educated guess is that there will be three or more such quakes in March 2012. Looking at the graph shown below, the upward trend in recent months seems to imply that possibility for March as well (data source: Advanced National Seismic System or ANSS). We shall see how the wheel of fate decides on what the outcome will be.
For those interested in my prediction methods, I am hoping to have an article printed in the August/September Mountain Astrologer that will reveal much. Stay tuned!
To read the second part for my answer to the question of 'Can Astrological Charts Forecast Earthquake Risk?' see my more recent hub entitled 'Can Sun-sign Astrology be Used to Predict Damaging Earthquakes?'.
© 2012 Joseph Ritrovato