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Can Astrology Charts Forecast Earthquake Risk?
A Short and Long Answer to the Question
"...nothing exists nor happens in the visible sky that is not sensed in some hidden manner by the faculties of earth and nature." -Johannes Kepler
The simple answer to this question is a definite "Yes"! However, I feel that it is necessary for me to explain a little about the subject, and then see if I can somehow convince you that either that answer is a resounding one or if it has some reservations... Astrology is ancient. It has been around for millennia in fact and very likely before recorded history. Of course earthquakes have been around much longer. The Chinese who are known for frequent and devastating earthquakes, also have a long history of astrologers that likely goes back to at least October 22nd, 2134 BC when two court astrologers, Hsi and Ho, failed to predict the first recorded eclipse for their emperor. Their ruler was then unprepared to scare the dragon with a team of noise makers to prevent it from devouring the sun or triggering other misfortunes. The incensed emperor made sure that they wouldn't make that mistake again; he had them promptly beheaded. It is known that astrology existed in China as late as 1046 BC. It is more uncertain as to whether it existed before that but more likely than unlikely. It can be definitively traced back to the Babylonian civilization in 2000 BC. Back then, and into the 17th century in Europe, astronomers were actually astrologers as well. When the modern era of astrology began in the 18th century, the two fields parted ways.
Seismology has a shorter history, having its roots in the Great Lisbon Earthquake, tsunami, and fire of 1755 that wiped out tens of thousands of people there. However, it wasn't until about one hundred years later that a comprehensive catalogue of historical earthquakes was compiled by Robert Mallet to try to gain insight into the phenomena (this 'Catalogue of recorded Earthquakes' can be found at Google Books at this URL). Shortly after that a ground breaking scientific study was performed by Mr. Mallet in regards to the 1857 Basilicata earthquake in southern Italy. Another Italian temblor, the Great Messina Earthquake of 1908, that caused the death of at least 80,000 people, inspired a young Italian to begin an interest in seismology. A few years earlier, at the age of twelve, this prodigy had taken up the study of celestial mechanics following a local eclipse. This inquisitive student and original thinker went on to become an unconventional but serious amateur scientist. Raffaele Bendandi was his name and he was well known in his native Italy in the 1920s for predicting the occurrence of earthquakes based on planetary alignments. He not only made forecasts of them, but his syndicated newspaper articles were very popular before Mussolini who, although at first showered him with praise, eventually banned him from predicting, seeing him as an impediment to the tourist trade. You can read more regarding Bendandi on the web at this location: http://www.itacomm.net/EQL/engbent1908.pdf
Earthquake prediction did not start in Italy however. There is a history of it in Persia (now Iran) going back many centuries before Bendandi. History recorded that astrologers correctly predicted earthquakes there in the years 1042 and 1549. Unfortunately almost nobody paid attention to the predictions and 40,000 people are said to have perished in the first and 3,000 lives were taken in the second. Ironically, the very person who predicted this last quake died in it as well. I am not saying that astrology works all of the time. One rarely hears of an astrologer's failed predictions; it only becomes news when he or she hits the earthquake prediction bulls-eye. Unfortunately, if we assume it to be a valid prediction tool, that hasn't happened as much as one might expect in more recent times. This may say more for the present state of the art rather than astrology's potential to predict events correctly. It is my desire to improve astrology's image in this regard.
The conundrum of the widespread belief in astrology and its lack of proof is similar to that found in the field of Ufology. There is anecdotal evidence but no hard facts that would win out in a court of science. Part of the problem is that astrologers are often not willing to let their trade secrets get out if they have made unique discoveries in the field. Italy's Bendandi never published his methods, taking his secrets with him to the grave.
Besides a long standing interest that I have had in little understood and rare natural phenomena, I have also wished to make my discoveries public. I consider myself a generous person and believe that the more that I give the more will be given me in return—not necessarily immediately but eventually. This doesn't just relate to material objects but knowledge as well. In other words, the more I share my knowledge, the more knowledge and new discoveries should be made available to me. Part of this is a result of cause and effect but also from just the result of exercising ones brain more freely and creatively.
Many years ago, I began collecting accurate earthquake dates, times, and locations for as many significantly damaging earthquakes as I could find. The idea was to create an astrological database that, through studying charts for such events along particular faults over the course of centuries, a celestial personality for that fault could be determined. This portrait, defined in planetary aspects could then be used to predict future quakes. Unfortunately this kind of research takes time and devotion, and I have only so much time on this earth. I believe my research so far has done little more than scratch the surface.
Now it is Time for the Big Forecast...
When I first wrote this article in early 2012, I tried my luck at making a prediction of two earthquakes of at least 6.7 magnitude in Iran on the 8th and Iran or China on the 16th of March 2012. The prediction could not have been further from reality. Looking back on it with my present day predictive algorithms I can see why. Peaks in the Astro-aspect values (AAVs) for that month now show that the most likely dates for that month were the 20th and 21st (the days in which there were two earthquakes, one of 7.4 and one of 6.6 in magnitude). There was also no good reason for choosing Iran or China as the locations.
What I do these days for determining locations is to look at recent eclipses and find potential locations within a few hundred miles of the eclipse path that intersects active fault zones. Since a total solar eclipse will have its shadow path pass through the continental United States on 21 August 2017, an eclipse that is part of a series known for its associations with significant seismic events, I will attempt to now forecast the probability of at least one large earthquake in the United States within a few months following that eclipse.
The most likely window for an earthquake of at least 6.7 magnitude during that time will be on the 21st or 22nd of December 2017 (but as early as the 20th and as late as the 25th), when there will be an exceptional peak in AAVs. The second most likely date will be one month prior to this, on the 22nd of November (extending from the 21st through the 24th of November). Two lesser peaks are also potentially worth looking at, and again are separated by one month. Those dates will be the 4th of November and the 4th of December (give or take a day). There is also a possibility of a large earthquake in the U.S. on either the 7th or 22nd of October or late in that month and for the month before on the 6th or 23rd (give or take a day). And lastly, and also closest to the eclipse date, there is an elevated chance about six to seven days following the eclipse (on either the 27th or 28th of August).
There are a few potential locations for earthquakes in the U.S. during this time. The one with the greatest potential for an earthquake of at least 7.5 magnitude will be off of the Pacific coast, near where the California and Oregon borders meet. There are also several locations within the continental United States with a potential for an event of at least 6.7 magnitude. One of the best known locations will be near where a series of 7.5 magnitude or greater earthquakes occurred in late 1811 through early 1812. The states involved in such a scenario would be southeast Missouri, northeast Arkansas, southern Illinois, and western Kentucky and Tennessee. Other potential locations are near Charleston, South Carolina (site of a 7.2 magnitude event back in late August 1886), the states of Idaho, Montana, and Wyoming, and possibly the San Francisco Bay area (especially along the Hayward fault).
Outside of the continental United States there is a chance of significant seismic events in the Aleutian Islands of Alaska, Jamaica, and near Tokyo, Japan.
In closing, let me try to put this a bit in perspective. Obviously, it is my belief that astrology is a factor to be reckoned with, or that it can be a valuable tool at foreseeing likely opportunities to embrace or dangers to avoid. However, I am also a big believer that randomness plays a strong role in our lives as well. As a result I am expecting results of no better than two earthquakes falling within one or two of the above mentioned window periods. And, since the universe tends to play craps often, there is no telling when the cosmic or mother nature plan for an earthquake will fall into line with the most plausible time that astrology says an earthquake should occur. Or, like in a game of poker, the fickle finger of fate may just exchange a couple of cards, raise the stakes, and wait to play its hand at a later date. The 2-3 earthquakes per month worldwide expectation for such an earthquake in any given month is based only on an average. Sometimes a month will have 5 such quakes and sometimes none. Based on sunspot activity and the recent frequency of 6.7+ magnitude earthquakes, my impression is that earthquake activity for the months looked at here will be no better than a bit above average (worldwide, but perhaps more than that within the U.S.). My educated guess, for the continental United States, is that there will be one earthquakes of at least 6.7 magnitude (give or take one) during the last few months of 2017. Looking at the graphs shown below, the upward trend demonstrated for those months seems to imply that possibility. We shall see how the wheel of fate decides on what the outcome will be.
To read the second part for my answer to the question of 'Can Astrological Charts Forecast Earthquake Risk?' see my more recent hub entitled 'Can Sun-sign Astrology be Used to Predict Damaging Earthquakes?'.
Other Article From This Author Relating to the August 2017 Eclipse and Earthquakes
- Profiling the Total Solar Eclipse of August, 2017
My investigation of the cyclic series that the August, 2017 eclipse belongs to shows a magnified possibility that a sizable seismic event (M6.6+) in the U.S. will follow in short order.
Books to Consider
For anyone moving to California, this book should be on their bookshelf not long after settling in (I've had a copy for decades).
Prediction is something scientists should continue to strive for, not dismiss as an impossibility.
A bit pricey but worth it (well written and researched). This is by the same author as the book just above it.
Both educational and a bargain as well.
© 2012 Joseph Ritrovato