2014 College Football Week 8 Picks
For the second straight October weekend we were treated to a slew of great games, and with five more matchups this weekend involving ranked teams (#14 Kansas State @ #11 Oklahoma, #21 Texas A&M @ #7 Alabama, #15 Oklahoma State @ TCU, #23 Stanford @ #17 Arizona State and the main event, #5 Notre Dame @ #2 Florida State), it looks looks it’s going to be another great Saturday of college football.
Before we get into this week’s selections, here is a quick glance at how last week’s went –
Georgia -3 Missouri
No Gurley No Cry as Georgia backup freshman running back Nick Chubb runs for 143 yards and the Bulldogs shutout Missouri 34-0. (W)
UCF -2.5 BYU
Once down 24-10 midway through the third quarter, UCF ties the game late to send it in overtime, where they eventually win and cover, 31-24. (W)
Temple -17 Tulsa
Temple scores fourteen unanswered points in the fourth quarter to beat Tulsa, but not cover, 35-24. (L)
Oregon -2 UCLA
Marcus Mariotta runs for two touchdowns and throws two more as Oregon beats UCLA 42-30. Don’t let the score fool you, the game was never close as Oregon once led 42-10 as UCLA’s offensive line continues to poison the success of their quarterback Brett Hundley. (W)
Oklahoma State -20 Kansas
Up 20-7 at halftime, Oklahoma State goes into cruise control for the second half and wins by only seven, 27-20. (L)
East Carolina -14 South Florida
After scoring 115 points in their previous two games, East Carolina manages ‘only’ 28 against South Florida and just misses covering, winning only 28-17. (L)
Penn State +1 Michigan
Michigan scores the games’ final eleven points (on three field goals and a safety) and holds on to beat Penn State 18-13. (L)
LSU -1 Florida
LSU hits a 50 yard field goal as time expires to win in the Swamp, 30-27. (W)
Ole Miss (+2) Texas A&M
Bo Wallace runs for two touchdowns and throws for another as Ole Miss, once up 35-7 in the 4th quarter, wins convincingly in College Station 35-20. (W)
Last weeks record – 5-4
Season record – 40-34-3
THIS WEEK’S PICKS
Minnesota (-12) vs. Purdue Saturday 12:00 PM
Led by Jerry Kill, the best coach the state of Minnesota has seen since Hayden Fox, Luther and Dauber led the Minnesota State Screaming Eagles to the National Championship in 1994, the Golden Gopher enters the week with an impressive 5-1 record (the only loss coming at TCU) and tied atop the Big 10 West standings with Iowa. Every conference game will be crucial for the Gophers, and with a mediocre Purdue team coming to town they have a good chance to add to their win total and take one step closer to being ranked in the top 25 for the first time in ten seasons. And if you’re a fan of against the spread trends, here are bunch in Minnesota’s favor; 10-3 in their last thirteen games, 8-0 last eight conference games, 6-2 last eight home games, 8-1 last eight games on field turf.
PICK Minnesota -12.5
Bowling Green (-1) vs. Western Michigan Saturday 2:00 PM
Bowling Green has won five of their last six games, with their lone defeat against Wisconsin on the road. This week they go against conference rival Western Michigan, who has beaten Bowling Green the last three years by an average of almost thirty points per game. I see the Falcons getting revenge and continuing their recent success against fellow MAC teams (6-2 in their last eight conference games) against a Western Michigan team that has only covered five games in their last sixteen games against MAC opponents.
PICK Bowling Green -1.5
Marshall (-21) at Florida International Saturday 6:00 PM
In week’s one and four I picked Marshall to cover and stated that they would go undefeated this year, and nothing has changed since. Their quarterback Rakeem Cato continues to dominate, and just last week tied the NCAA record held by Russell Wilson for passing for a touchdown in 38 consecutive games. The Thundering Herd have won and covered in their last five games, winning by an average of almost 33 points per game. The success continues on the road against Florida International, which has covered only four times in their last fourteen games against a team with a winning record.
PICK Marshall -21
Notre Dame (+12) at Florida State Saturday 8:00 PM
What a surprise, Jameis Winston is back in the news for rape and Florida State is yet again spitting in the face of common decency and morality by not only defending his behavior and allowing him to continue to play, but more so for the lengths they are going to circle their wagons and protect their criminal quarterback. It was reported this week that the FSU administration shared confidential details of the Tallahassee police investigation with Winston’s attorney BEFORE it was viewed by the State’s Attorney’s office, giving Winston’s lawyer ample time to prepare a defense and coach his client since they knew exactly what the state had on him. Way to stay classy FSU.
On the field, the key to the game is Everett Golston’s ability to control the ball and his recent penchant for turning it over. If he can stop his recent fumbling woes, the Irish, who come into the game having covered eight of their last eleven games as a road underdog, have a legitimate chance of winning the game in Tallahassee. Florida State has only covered once in their last seven games overall, and after narrowly escaping with wins a couple of different times this season, the hoopla and distractions finally catch up to them and Notre Dame upsets the Seminoles.
PICK Notre Dame +12
San Diego State (-7) vs. Hawaii Saturday 10:30 PM
I’m picking San Diego State in this one, but it’s more of a pick against Hawaii. The Rainbows have lost their last 14 road games going back to 2011, and have only covered once in their last seven games following a win (they beat lowly Wyoming at home in their last game). The Aztecs get the job done at home.
PICK San Diego State -7
Stanford (-3) at Arizona State Saturday 10:30 PM
Stanford goes on the road to take on an Arizona State team that we last saw scoring two late fourth quarter touchdowns, including a Hail Mary on the final play, to beat USC 38-34.. They will find the going much tougher against the Cardinal and their number one ranked scoring defense (letting up only 10 points per game). Stanford is 4-2 this season, with their two losses against USC and Notre Dame by only three points in each game, and should add another victory to their record against a Sun Devil team that is 2-8-1 against the spread in their last eleven games as an underdog .
PICK Stanford -3
Good luck this weekend in all your picks. Vote below on who you think will win this week’s matchup of Florida State vs. Notre Dame.