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2014 NFL Season: Week 10 Predictions
Week 9 Recap
My picks, made with the Centrary sports simulator, did not do so well last week, going only 6-7. Its now 77-56-1 for the year. To compare with, say, ESPN's experts, I'm only doing better than Chris Mortensen, and that's not an accomplishment at all. It got the 49ers game wrong, the first time all season that its gotten a San Francisco pick incorrect either way. Thanks, Rams.
It got the game of the week wrong, as Denver lost. Its now 7-2 in those games. It did get Minnesota correct in the snore of the week, so now its 5-4 in those games.
Best pick: Centrary predicted Seattle over Oakland in a "closer than experts think" game, and that's what happened. Centrary can be pretty accurate sometimes.
Worst pick: ...Centrary also predicted a 41-3 Baltimore win over Pittsburgh. The simulator can not pick Steelers games at all. Good new for Jets fans this week, then?
Week 10 also features six teams on bye: Minnesota, Washington, San Diego, Indianapolis, Houston and New England. That means another 13 games to simulate.
Week 10 Picks
As always, my picks come from the Centrary sports simulator.
@Cincinnati 24, Cleveland 18: The Bengals hold the lead throughout, though the Browns keep it close.
Kansas City 21, @Buffalo 20: The Chiefs win a back and forth game with a winning TD in the 4th quarter.
Miami 28, @Detroit 17: The Dolphins go 14-3 in the 4th qtr to earn a road win. Could the Dolphins be legit?
Game #3 at Wembley - Dallas 28, Jacksonville 7: The Cowboys go 21-0 in the 1st half. Unlike the last Wembley game, no comeback happens here, and Dallas gets the win.
Game of the Week - @New Orleans 45, San Francisco 17: The Saints go 24-0 in the 1st half, and coast through the 2nd half.
Pittsburgh 31, @NY Jets 13: The Jets are up 10-7 at half, the Steelers wake up in the 2nd half and go 24-3 from there. Can Centrary finally get a Steelers pick right?
@Baltimore 24, Tennessee 14: The Ravens go 17-7 in the 4th quarter to get the win.
Snore of the Week - Atlanta 20, @Tampa Bay 16: The Falcons' last win was that demolition of Tampa Bay way back in Week 3. Since then, the Bucs have won more games (1) than Atlanta. The Falcons outscore Tampa 10-6 in the 4th quarter for the win.
Denver 21, @Oakland 14: Perhaps sleepwalking after last week's game, the Broncos comeback down 14-0 to escape trouble.
@Arizona 27, St. Louis 6: The Cardinals go up 27-3 by halftime, making for a very uninteresting 2nd half.
@Seattle 23, NY Giants 9: The Giants are limited only to field goals, and the Seahawks continue their success at home against these struggling Giants.
@Green Bay 51, Chicago 28: Its 27-21 Green Bay after three quarters, but the Packers somehow outscore Chicago 24-7 in the 4th quarter alone to inflate the score and provide yet another Sunday night blowout.
@Philadelphia 34, Carolina 16: The Eagles pull away from the 2nd quarter on to earn the win, even with Mark Sanchez as quarterback.
Some things remain consistent this week:
Centrary really likes Seattle.
Centrary really dislikes Detroit, and probably won't for the next two weeks with games against the Cardinals and Patriots coming up. Keep in mind, Detroit has the best statistical defense in the league right now (never thought I'd be saying that), and I'm sure Centrary has taken that into account, and it still has Miami scoring 28 on them.
We'll see if, perhaps, its wise in this instance and in its other picks next week as it hopefully fares better than it did last week.