2014 NFL Season: Week 13 Predictions
Week 12 Recap
Overall, a steady week thanks to mostly predictable results. Centrary, the simulator in which I make my picks, went 11-4 last week. Its season total now stands at 103-72-1. It got the game of the week wrong again, as Arizona lost to Seattle, its now 8-4 in those games. It did correctly predict Chicago's win over Tampa Bay in the snore of the week, and is now 7-5 in those games.
Best pick: I have a few good nominations here, including getting the Bills/Jets games nearly exactly right, but I'm going with the Broncos pick over Miami as Centrary saw it being closer than most would expect, and the game was even closer than that.
Worst pick: It got the Saints game wrong, again, as the Ravens poured it on late. You may ask, if I know its going to get a game wrong, why don't I change it? Knowing my luck, that'd only serve to backfire against me.
This week sees the return of a 16-game schedule, as well as a slate of Thanksgiving day NFC division rivalry games.
Week 13 Picks
As always, these picks are made with the Centrary simulator.
@Detroit 16, Chicago 10: A low scoring game benefits the Lions, who hang on to snap their skid.
Philadelphia 35, @Dallas 16: The Eagles get 14 in the 2nd and 14 in the 4th to pull away with a big win in this battle of NFC East leaders.
Seattle 34, @San Francisco 17: Seattle goes on a 27-10 tear in the middle two quarters to, once again, beat their rivals from Northern California.
@Buffalo 24, Cleveland 7: The Bills shut out the Browns until the 4th quarter, which is more than enough to propel the Bills to victory.
@Indianapolis 35, Washington 6: The Colts go 21-0 in the 2nd half to pull away for an easy win.
@Houston 31, Tennessee 17: The Texans are up 24-10 at the half, and maintain that lead from there.
Snore of the Week - @Jacksonville 27, NY Giants 16: The Jaguars go 17-6 in the middle quarters to pull off the surprise win. Its the first time all season Centrary has picked the Jaguars to win a game, and that's even with the Jaguars being dead last in scoring offense AND scoring defense.
@Minnesota 38, Carolina 14: The Vikings shut Carolina down for most of the game, going up 21-0 after three quarters before a chaotic 4th quarter occurs.
@Pittsburgh 34, New Orleans 17: I say this all the time now, but Centrary's at its least accurate when picking Steelers games and Saints games. Sure, this results MAKES sense given how awful the NFC South has been against the AFC North in general (1-10-1 in 12 games thus far), but I would be stunned if Centrary got this game right. So, basically what I'm saying is smart money is on the Saints.
@St. Louis 41, Oakland 23: Down 20-17 at halftime, the Rams avoid being the second consecutive Missouri-based team to lose to the Raiders by going 21-0 in the 3rd quarter to avoid the loss.
San Diego 13, @Baltimore 3: The Chargers get the game's lone TD in the 4th quarter to put Baltimore away.
Cincinnati 38, @Tampa Bay 28: Cincinnati is actually down 28-21 going into the 4th quarter, but 17 unanswered points by the Bengals save them at the end.
Arizona 23, @Atlanta 7: The Falcons are shut down until the 4th quarter. How much longer can the NFC South live in this misery?
Game of the Week - New England 33, @Green Bay 31: A close, entertaining game throughout, the Patriots get a game-winning field goal at the very end to edge the Packers in what many people are dubbing as a Super Bowl preview.
Denver 49, @Kansas City 45: The Chiefs are up 28-13 at halftime, but the Broncos take over from there. A 22-10 4th quarter highlights Denver's comeback.
Miami 28, @NY Jets 10: The Jets are shut out until the 4th quarter while the Dolphins get a touchdown in each quarter for the win.
Next week will be that time again when I delve into the specifics of Centrary's picks and accuracy. With every team having played 12 games by that point, it should be a pretty extensive review.
Otherwise, I don't have much to add other than that this shapes up to be a pretty solid week of NFL football.
The predictions here were made with the Centrary sports simulator, which simulates teams, not players, and in a quick, simple fashion.