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2014 NFL Season: Week 16 Predictions
Week 15 Recap
My picks - made with the Centrary sports simulator - went 10-6 last week. It did get the game of the week correct by guessing the Cowboys to beat the Eagles; its now 10-5 in those picks. It did, however, get the snore of the week wrong, as the Jets beat the Titans, its now 9-6 in those picks.
Best pick: I'm most impressed with the Dallas pick, and the score was somewhat close to the actual score as well. I also want to note that it finally got a Saints game right again, though its still only 3-11 picking Saints games.
Worst pick: The Chargers pick didn't go too well. Centrary loves the Chargers, but the team couldn't beat Denver, at home, with an ailing Peyton Manning. The pick doesn't look good at all now.
There's just two weeks to go and playoff spots are on the line. Who pulls through?
Week 16 Picks
The Centrary sports simulator is used to make these predictions.
Snore of the Week - @Jacksonville 20, Tennessee 16: The last Thursday game of the season is pretty much a microcosm of the Thurday night season: awful. The Titans have been in the Snore of the Week for three consecutive weeks now, against very poor opposition and have lost both. Its unsurprising, then, that the Titans would be picked to lose this one. Tennessee did beat Jacksonville earlier in the year, but it was only a 16-14 home win against the then-winless Jaguars.
San Diego 31, @San Francisco 24: I'm telling you, Centrary loves the Chargers, and they go on a 21-10 run in the 4th quarter to take out the 49ers.
Philadelphia 31, @Washington 24: The Eagles need this game to stay alive, and get a scare when Washington mounts a comeback late, but Philly hangs on to win.
@Carolina 38, Cleveland 16: The Panthers blow it open with a 21-3 second quarter. Again, Centrary does not know which QBs will be starting this game, but I would imagine things could be a lot different depending on if Cam Newton starts, and which QB the Browns start (I'm assuming Manziel).
@Chicago 20, Detroit 16: The Lions can win this game to clinch a playoff spot. Failing that, they would need to win at Green Bay, something they haven't done since 1991. An Eagles loss (against either Washington or the Giants) also helps. It seems like Centrary believes the Lions will choke this game, and possibly their playoff berth as well.
Baltimore 35, @Houston 28: The Ravens go up 28-7 at halftime, and the Texans mount a comeback of their own which also falls just short.
@Miami 48, Minnesota 27: I will be stunned if a score even close to resembling this happens. Miami goes 21-7 in the second quarter to pull away for good.
Atlanta 33, @New Orleans 17: In a more surprising pick, the Falcons open up a 23-3 lead, and hang on to win. If this does happen, the NFC South champion will fare no better than 7-9.
New England 38, @NY Jets 30: Shockingly, perhaps not as much because of the division rivalry, the Jets hold a 28-21 lead through three quarters. The Patriots, though, wake up in the 4th by outscoring the Jets 17-2 and escape humiliation.
@Pittsburgh 21, Kansas City 14: This result will likely advance the Steelers to the postseason while eliminating the Chiefs. I should note that Centrary is current 1-13 picking Steelers game, but that one correct pick came when it picked the Steelers to win.
Green Bay 24, @Tampa Bay 12: Green Bay goes 17-5 in the second half to get the win. Regardless of what happens this week (I think), next week's Green Bay v Detroit matchup determines the winner of the NFC North.
@St. Louis 43, NY Giants 17: The Rams offense explodes, while its defense keeps the Giants mostly in check (though I guess Odell Beckham could still get 2 TDs).
Game of the Week - @Dallas 47, Indianapolis 19: The Cowboys go 21-3 in the 4th quarter to blow the game open and earn the victory they really need to have for their playoff hopes.
Buffalo 41, @Oakland 13: The Raiders have won their last two home games, but if the Bills do win this, they'll inch ever closer to ending the league's longest current postseason drought.
Seattle 10, @Arizona 3: Arizona is devastated at QB right now, and at the worst possible time with the Seahawks on their tails. The defense does its job until the 4th, when a late Seattle touchdown seals it with Arizona's offense unable to get it going.
Denver 38, @Cincinnati 12: The Broncos hold a slim lead at halftime, but pull away with a 24-0 second half.
This is a side-rant, but I'll never understand why the NFL bothers to have two Saturday games on Week 16. Its always Week 16 (sometimes also Week 15), and always a couple of games get put onto that day (on a rare occasion, all NFL games get played on a Saturday if Christmas Day is the following Sunday).
I mean, is it supposed to be some kind of Christmas-related treat for fans? I never usually see anybody or any company tout it as such. It just seems odd to me to have those two games there, for just one week, and that's it. I guess it also helps that there's absolutely no college football on that specific Saturday (the only Saturday in the NFL season to not feature college football, I believe), so that may be part of it too.
Well, that rant aside, enjoy this week's slate of meaningful football.
The week 16 predictions were made with the Centrary sports simulator, which simulates teams, not players, and in a quick, simple fashion.