2014 NFL Season: Week 3 Predictions
The NFL season has been a hard beast to predict so far this season, looking just at the games. People knew the Saints were a weaker team outside of dome environments, but how many people actually thought they were going to lose to the Browns? Who though the Bears were going to go into San Francisco and beat the 49ers (well, the Centrary simulator did, more on that in a bit).
So then, another 16 game week falls upon us and again I'll be using the simulator found at Centrary.com to make this week's predictions. First, though, let's see how it did last week.
Week 2 Recap
The simulator made predictions for all 16 games last week, going 8-8 in those games for a season total of 16-16. Its perfectly .500 thus far.
It guessed the Game of the Week correctly (Philly winning), to go 2-0 in those picks, but it got Tampa wrong in the Snore of the Week, now its 0-2 in those games, both involving Tampa Bay.
Best pick: its funny, because I chided Centrary for picking the Bears to win in San Francisco following how each team did in Week 1 (Chicago losing to the Bills at home, the Niners going on the road to Dallas and winning easily). It just goes to show you the week-to-week nature of the NFL and how hard it is to project a team's success based on a single week's work.
Worst pick: hard to pick amongst the 8 losers of last week, but I'll give it to the Buccaneers, who Centrary has picked thus far to go 2-0, but has instead lost games to a backup QB and a third string QB. Good job, Tampa Bay!
Week 3 Picks
Again, the Centrary simulator has been updated through two weeks, lets hope its more accurate this week though I can't really blame it for having trouble in the upset-filled Week 2.
@Atlanta 31, Tampa Bay 10: Watch Tampa Bay actually win this one, but Centrary has the Falcons leading this throughout.
San Diego 41, @Buffalo 14: A blowout from the start, it seems the Bills may suffer a loss here, a relatively rarer phrase for this season.
@Cincinnati 28, Tennessee 13: The Titans score all 13 points in the 4th, well after the game is decided.
Baltimore 38, @Cleveland 19: The Ravens cruise to a 28-3 halftime lead, and while the Browns play better from there, its too little, too late.
@Detroit 35, Green Bay 10: The Lions are in control throughout. I'm fairly iffy about this pick, I wouldn't be surprised if this was the 'worst pick' going into next week.
Indianapolis 26, @Jacksonville 20: The Colts have trouble with the Jaguars, but pull by them in the 4th quarter.
@New Orleans 42, Minnesota 10: The Saints blow this one open quick for an easy Saints win.
@New England 34, Oakland 31 (OT): The Raiders give the Patriots everything they've got, but its just not enough as the Patriots squeak a FG by in OT.
Snore of the Week - Houston 19, @NY Giants 7: After a 7-7 first quarter, the rest of the game features four Houston field goals, and nothing else.
@Philadelphia 38, Washington 31: This shootout is decided when the Eagles score the last two touchdowns in the fourth quarter.
Dallas 24, @St. Louis 20: A close game, much to Dallas' disdain but they earn the win regardless.
@Arizona 28, San Francisco 13: The Cardinals score 21 points in the 4th quarter for the win, a very similar loss for the 49ers to the one they just suffered against the Bears.
@Miami 23, Kansas City 21: A Chiefs 4th quarter rally falls just short.
Game of the Week - @Seattle 31, Denver 24: In a much closer game than what was Super Bowl XLVIII, the Seahawks still edge out the Broncos at the end.
@Carolina 7, Pittsburgh 3: There is no way a game slotted for Sunday Night football, even with their defenses (well, Carolina's defense anyway), will finish with this low a score.
Chicago 38, @NY Jets 27: Chicago scores 24 in the 2nd and 3rd quarters to secure victory.
The Centrary simulator has been far too kind to both the Buccaneers and Giants in the first two weeks, giving them four wins combined while they actually, in real life, got a total of zero wins. This week, Centrary predicts both will lose. So, for those of you who are truly wise, maybe a sneaky bet towards the Giants or Bucs may pay off for you.
Centrary has been kind to the Eagles and the Saints, who would be #1 and #2 offensively if Centrary had its way, and who would both be 3-0 if, again, Centrary's sims were 100% accurate. It is very harsh towards teams with bad defenses as well, as evidenced by Green Bay's supposed blowout at the hands of Detroit (there's no way that's going to happen), as well as Dallas' struggles against St. Louis (although giving up 20 pts isn't that bad on its own, we are talking about the Rams, here).
Check in next week to see how these picks fare!
The predictions here were made with the Centrary sports simulator, which simulates teams, not players, and in a quick, simple fashion.