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2014 NFL Season: Week 6 Predictions
We're reaching that point in the season where you start to form solid opinions and thoughts on how each of the 32 NFL teams will fare the rest of the season based on the four or five games they have already played. Some teams have played as expected: Denver, Seattle on one end, Oakland, Jacksonville on the other. Other teams have surprised thus far, like Houston, like Buffalo, and I doubt many people pegged Dallas to be 4-1 at this point.
As that happens, it should be easier to predict games going forward, right? However, that's never the case. Still, let's see how Week 6 might go.
Week 5 Recap
My picks, which I make courtesy of the simulator at centrary.com, did well last week aside from one glaring exception. Overall, the picks went 10-5, for a season total of 43-33.
The game of the week, Denver vs Arizona, was picked correctly by Centrary, which makes it 5-0 in those games now. It finally got a snore of the week right by taking Pittsburgh over Jacksonville, which makes it now 1-4 in those games.
Best pick: again, the Denver pick was fairly accurate by the simulator, as Denver scored just five more points than was predicted while Arizona's score was dead on.
Worst pick: I knew it was going to be bad when it happened, but picking Minnesota over Green Bay was an awful thing for Centrary to do. It likes the Vikings again this week, but at home, and against a team in Detroit that just choked away victory against Buffalo so maybe things won't be so bad this week in that regard.
Week 6 Picks
Via the Centrary simulator comes these picks:
Indianapolis 34, @Houston 28: Houston gives the Colts trouble, but the Colts hang on in the end.
Chicago 38, @Atlanta 19: A rather dubious score, probably, but the Bears get 21 in the 2nd for the win.
@Buffalo 20, New England 17: The Bills win on a last second field goal, again, to pull off the win and maintain 1st place in the division.
@Cincinnati 24, Carolina 17: The Bengals recover from last week and earn a close win against their fellow feline team.
Pittsburgh 20, @Cleveland 10: The Steelers shut down the Browns offense for most of the game.
Green Bay 35, @Miami 6: The Packers outscore Miami 35-0 through three quarters to put the game to rest.
@Minnesota 28, Detroit 21: The Vikings get a 3rd quarter lead and hangs on to win. Could be yet another "typical" Lions loss.
Denver 35, @NY Jets 10: Denver gets the lead early and keeps the Jets at bay.
Snore of the Week - @Tennessee 14, Jacksonville 10: Since their Week 1 win over KC, the Titans have not been good, and that includes blowing a 28-3 lead against Cleveland last week. Could they succumb to the Jaguars this week? Its very possible, but for now Centrary has the Titans winning.
Baltimore 23, @Tampa Bay 17 (OT): The Bucs keep it close again, and force OT again, but the Ravens get a TD in OT to escape with victory.
San Diego 34, @Oakland 7: The Chargers open up a 24-0 halftime lead for an easy win.
Washington 24, @Arizona 20: Another pick I'm sure will be rare this week, Washington comes back in the 4th to upset the Cardinals.
Game of the Week - @Seattle 48, Dallas 34: Its 21-21 through three, but in a wild 4th, the Seahawks outscore Dallas 27-13 to blow the Cowboys out.
NY Giants 23, @Philadelphia 20: The Eagles start off well enough, but the Giants outscore Philly 17-6 in the 2nd half to come away with the win.
San Francisco 27, @St. Louis 6: The 49ers control the game throughout for the easy Monday night win.
As you see, Dallas gives up 48 points in the loss. As you may be aware, Dallas' defense in 2013 was very, very bad, and it seems Centrary is continuing to punish Dallas as a result, though so far this season Dallas actually has a top-10 scoring defense.
Its still very high on the Saints, as in simulations New Orleans would have the best scoring offense AND defense. It also really likes the Giants, as it has picked New York to win five of its six games so far, including this Sunday night's game.
As the season moves forward and teams begin to fall into place, I'm sure these discrepancies will figure themselves out.
The predictions here were made with the Centrary sports simulator, which simulates teams, not players, and in a quick, simple fashion.