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German Bundesliga Title Contenders and Surprise Packages in 15/16

Updated on September 2, 2015

Bayern Munich can make history this season - again...

This seasons favorite for the title is the mighty Bayern Munich. But the odds could be against them, because they never won the champioinship four times in a row. They could've in 1975, 1988 or 2002, but their series got stopped in those seasons. However, this time they won't be stopped and here are the reasons why.

Source

Who is the no. one contender?

Last year's no. one contender was VFL Wolfsburg, the Volkswagen Club had a great run with their playmaker Kevin De Bruyne, who scored 10 goals and gave 21 assists. But that guy is leaving for Manchester City. Even when Wolfsburg gets 75 million dollars for letting him go, they need to find an adequate substitute, which isn't that easy. Maybe Max Kruse or the last minute transfer Julian Draxler from Schalke 04 can step into the playmaker role, but I doubt that Wolfsburg will be able to challenge Bayern Munich. Draxler is a huge talent, but I don't think he will show his potential on the pitch. Firstly he has to familiarise with the team and that can take some time - time you don't have to play a major role in the Bundesliga championship.

But there is Borussia Dortmund with their new head coach Thomas Tuchel. They had an awesome start into the championship and Tuchel is a great tactician. He is always prepared to know the opponent's most thorough detail and exploit their weakness. Moreover he is a great communicater. Players like Henrikh Mkhitaryan, who was already stigmatized as a bad transfer, find their strength through the trust Tuchel gives them. Dortmund's great start into this Bundesliga season and their strong offensive players makes them my no. one contender for Bayern Munich. Anyhow, they won't be able to stop them, because Bayern's team and coach have the experience and the hunger to win the triple this year and that's only possible by winning the fourth championship in a row.

Source

Last years high flyer this years problem child?

Besides the top three we have clubs who had a great season 14/15 like Gladbach or underdog Augsburg. But this year both of them will struggle to continue with a great performance, like the past season.

Gladbach has a great coach! Lucien Favre is the mastermind and creator of the team who has rised from a relegation candidate to a Champions League contender. But this year they will have a hard time with the increased no. of games due to their Champions League participation. The same thing Augsburg will have to face. And it will hit them even harder. For me Augsburg could struggle to stay in the Bundesliga.

Last years no. one problem child and relegation subscriber was Hamburger SV. The former club leaders caused mayhem and it takes some time to clean up the mess. But I'm sure this year the new club leaders made some good decisions. I guarantee Hamburger SV will finish this year without playing the relegation round.

Candidates for leaving the Bundesliga are Hanover, Ingolstadt, Darmstadt and Berlin. In my opinion Augsburg and Stuttgart are in the wider circle of Bundesliga strugglers. Augsburg will have problems because of their matches in the Euro League which will take it out of them.

Prognosis

Using the kicker.de prognosis tool, I forecasted every Bundesliga match. And this is my result for the final table:

#
Team
Points
1
Bayern Munich
81
2
Borussia Dortmund
67
3
VFL Wolfsburg
64
4
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
59
5
FC Schalke 04
49
6
Bor. M' Gladbach
49
7
1. FSV Mainz 05
42
8
TSG Hoffenheim
39
9
Eintracht Frankfurt
38
10
Hamburger SV
38
11
Werder Bremen
36
12
1. FC Köln
36
13
FC Augsburg
35
14
VfB Stuttgart
34
15
Hannover 96
33
16
FC Ingolstadt 04
33
17
Hertha Berlin
32
18
SV Darmstadt 98
31

What do you think?

Will Bayern Munich win the fourth championship in a row?

See results

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