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NBA Finals 2014 Statistical Analysis

Updated on June 27, 2014

I find it extremely impressive that every Spurs' player happens to have an expected pps of over 1. And then, of course, their actual pps is even more impressive with the average random shot by a Spur's player resulting in an average point result of 1.22. Every main Spur's player overachieved, except for Diaw. On the whole, the Spur's offense overachieved by about 7%.

Miami, on the other hand, underachieved by around 10% and scored .12 fewer points per shot than they should have over the course of the series (which I would think is a very uncommon level of under-achievement over the course of a series). For those with serious playing minutes, the Heat only had Lebron and Lewis hit approximately equal to what they should have hit, every other player underachieved the levels they should have performed at. The Heat won the quality shot battle again this year, 84% to 78%.

Green and Leonard were quite impressive in their levels of defensive quality and they even had a high usage and helped to defend almost a third of the Heat's shot attempts. One of the aspects of basketball that I have not find a way to properly integrate is good passing/assists, as such, Diaw has a fairly bad rating for the series, but his passing was, at times, fairly integral to the Spurs' offense.

I was a little surprised to see Allen struggle so much defensively, I thought that he was generally closer to an average defender. It was also a bit surprising to see that over the course of the series Lebron was a slightly below average defender. If it had not been for Bosh, Anderson, and Lewis putting up great defensive ratings and their combined defensive usage of .32, then Miami would have had a completely porous defense.. Instead the Heat only had a mostly porous defense.

Thanks for reading.


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