NFL Picks Week 1
Week 1 is Finally Here
It may not seem like it without Manning or Brady but another year of the NFL is underway. After a thriller last night that ended with the defending champs, the Denver Broncos, winning 21-20 after a fourth quarter choke job by Cam Newton and the Carolina Panthers. For all of the rest of the games here are my quick picks (straight up, no point spreads) for week 1 based on a 1-16 scale. One being least confident in my pick to sixteen for most confident (disclaimer would've taken Panthers for 10 this week, "Thanks Gano!")
Oakland at New Orleans: I take Oakland for three here. I actually like Oakland a lot better over New Orleans, but Saints quarterback Drew Brees is hard to completely dismiss especially after coming off a 7-9 season.
Tampa Bay at Atlanta: I take Tampa for only one here. Tampa Bay Jameis Winston has freak athlete wide receiver Mike Evans back this year and healthy which will improve his ugly TD:INT ratio from last season (22:15). Atlanta still has a solid offense between quarterback Matt Ryan, wide receiver Julio Jones, and running back Devonta Freeman, but their secondary does not have the play makers to stop Winston in the end.
Green Bay at Jacksonville: I take the Packers for twelve here. Despite the constant improvement that the Jaguars have made, Green Bay still has Aaron Rodgers. Enough said!
Minnesota at Tennessee: I take the Vikings for nine here. I would have taken Minnesota for probably 13 or more if Teddy Bridgewater did not destroy his leg in practice. Unfortunately, he is done for the season, but even with Shaun Hill or Sam Bradford under center the Vikings offense runs through running back Adrian Peterson. The Vikings defense continues to improve and the Titans will struggle in this game (and probably all season).
Cleveland at Philadelphia: I take the Eagles for six here. This game is the most irrelevant game of week one as both teams will be in the bottom of the league by years end, but I expect home advantage, running back Ryan Mathews, and wide receiver Jordan Matthews to be the difference in this one
Chicago at Houston: I take the Texans for fourteen here. This pick seems pretty simple, Houston has always had a great defense and now they finally have a competent quarterback in Brock Osweiler throwing to elite receiver Deandre Hopkins. A solid quarterback and defense is enough to win your fair share of games in the regular season.
San Diego at Kansas City: I take the Chiefs for fifteen here. Kansas City has a top 10 defense and the Chargers only have one reliable receiver in Keenan Allen.
Buffalo at Baltimore: I take the Ravens for seven here. To me this comes down to coaching and home advantage. I will take John Harbaugh over Rex Ryan despite Ryan having the better defense.
Cincinnati at NY Jets: I take the Bengals for four here. This game could truly go either way as I view both teams as playoff contenders, but I have a little more trust in the Bengals defense than I do the Jets. Besides who can pick against the Red Rifle.
Miami at Seattle: I take the Seattle here for sixteen here. A super bowl contender at home, again enough said!
NY Giants at Dallas: I take the Giants here for eleven here. The Giants have a top three wide receiver in Odell Beckham and Dallas has a rookie quarterback. I have never seen quarterback Dak Prescott play in college, I have seen quarterback Eli Manning win many big games.
Detroit at Indianapolis: I take the Colts here for five here. This game is truly a toss up as both teams are mediocre. However, once again this comes down to the Colts being at home for their season opener and the return of quarterback Andrew Luck.
New England at Arizona: I take the Patriots here for two here. This pick is obviously my upset pick of the week on Sunday night and mainly because I am a huge Patriots fan, okay that is the only reason. Jimmy Garoppolo AKA Aladdin will pull off some first start magic.
Pittsburgh at Washington: I take the Steelers for thirteen here. Despite quarterback Kirk Cousins having the best completion percentage in the league last season, that only led to a 9-8 record. Washington is on the rise, but the Steelers are on their peak. A true super bowl contender if their defense shapes up. This will be game one on Monday night.
LA at San Francisco: I take the Rams for eight here. I believe despite the new city the Rams throughout the course of the season will have a losing record, but elite running back Todd Gurley is enough to beat the 49ers who will probably be drafting first overall in the 2017 draft.
CHECK BACK FOR WEEK 2 NEXT WEEK!