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NFL picks. Week 6.

Updated on October 9, 2012

I went 10-4 last week. Not bad?

Steelers at Titans- Steelers.
The Titans were a team that had a bit of pre-season hype, and I never quite understood why. The only thing they really had going for them was that the AFC South was a weak division. The Steelers finally got healthy in their win over the Eagles last week. With Mendenhall and Harrison back on their feet, I think they can easily overpower the incredibly overrated Chris Johnson and get a big win here.

Chiefs at Buccaneers- Chiefs.
There is no denying it. The Chiefs have had a bad season so far. They've only won one game and can't seem to get any offensive traction without a huge turnover. That may change this week. Rumor out of Arrowhead is that Brady Quinn might finally get a few snaps under center. In their loss to Baltimore last week, the Chiefs made it painfully clear that they didn't trust Matt Cassel throwing the ball, and weren't offensively competitive through the air until Cassel went down with a concussion. Jamaal Charles has been explosive on the ground when he hasn't been fumbling the ball away, and if the defense ever gets some rest, they have potential. I don't trust Josh Freeman or any sort of victory formation blitz. I don't know. If Quinn gets the start, I think he can lead Kansas City over a disappointing Buc's team.

Colts at Jets- Colts.
I don't know if any team in the NFL lacks potential like the Jets do. They have on good offensive weapon, and he is out for the season. Defensively, they aren't as explosive as they used to be, or they were supposed to be. The fans are begging for an overrated back up who hasn't been good since he played for the Gators. The Colts are coming off of an incredible win over the Packers, and Andrew Luck is playing like every bit the second coming we thought he would be.

Bengals at Browns- Bengals.
This one's a no-brainer. The Browns are terrible. Terrible. The defense can't stop anybody, and Weeden will be 30 years old before he has any idea of how to run a pro-style offense. The Bengals haven't quite lived up to their pre-season hype, but they are talented enough to put up points. Easily enough to beat Cleveland.

Lions at Eagles- Eagles.

This pick almost went the other way. As my regulars know, I am not a fan of Sir Michael Vick, Andy Reid, or really anyone else who represents the 2012 edition of the Philadelphia Eagles. However... The Lions have not been able to run all season. And going up against a vaunted secondary and pass rush... That could get ugly. Nnamdi Asomugha will probably stalk Calvin Johnson around the field, and it will be hard for them to move the ball. The only way Detroit gets a win here is if Vick turns the ball over... Which isn't unlikely.

Raiders at Falcons- Falcons. (My Lock of the week)

I'm a Raiders fan. Understand that what I'm about to say is painful. The Raiders do not have a chance. I'm serious. I can't think of any way the Raiders come away with a win. The Falcons are nigh-unbeatable at home, the Falcons have been red hot all year, and Dennis Allen, the Raiders young HC, doesn't know how to use the talent he has. Names like Darren McFadden, Darrius Heyward-Bey, and Marcel Reece struck fear in the hearts of defensive coordinators under Al Saunders and Hue Jackson, but they've been silent so far this season. And the defense? Eek... It would take a miracle for the Raiders to come out with a win. That is why my favorite team losing is my lock of the week.

Rams at Dolphins- Dolphins.

Last week I was high on St. Louis and the Magnificent Mustache, this week... Strangely... I'm feeling optimistic about Ryan Tannehill. I wasn't a fan pre-draft or in the pre-season, but the kid can move the ball, especially to Hartline and Bush. I see a raw explosiveness in Miami that I don't see in St. Louis or with Bradford. I think Miami just outscores the Rams.

Cowboys at Ravens- Cowboys.
This is a longshot. But I don't trust Joe Flacco after last week. And Tony Romo has had hear about how bad he is for a week and a half. The Ravens pass defense is atrocious and they can't pressure the QB. Romo might be able to exploit the defense in a way that Matt Cassel couldn't. And it will be interesting to see how Flacco plays with Demarcus Ware in his face.

Bills at Cardinals- Cardinals.

Ryan Fitzpatrick must have broken some fingers signing that big money contract last season, because since then? He's been average at best and awful more often. Against the incredible interior pressure he'll face in Arizona? I don't think that will change. I think he'll be forced into making more bad decisions this week, and I think Kolb puts 17 points up and wins.

Patriots at Seahawks- Seahawks.
This is my big money upset of the week. I might be an idiot for picking the Hawks, but... I've got a feeling. The loudest stadium in the NFL, one of the better, young secondaries, and an underrated pass rush. I think the Patriots will struggle with their no-huddle simply because they can't communicate well enough and their offense doesn't perform at their usual level.

Giants at 49ers- 49ers.
The NFC match-up of the week, a repeat of the NFC title game of just one year ago. Same match-up, but unfortunately for Eli, not the same talent. The Giants defense is lacking because of health and talent. Even Alex Smith should be able to carve up this defense. They've crushed the last two teams, giving up only 3 points. It won't be easy for Eli to leave Cali with a win.

Vikings at Redskins- Vikings.
This one is simple. The Redskins defense is beat up, and the Vikings offense is more complete. I'm starting to believe the critics when they say that RG3 can't take a hit. RG3 meet Jared Allen. Heavy doses of Adrian Peterson should give the Vikes the win.

Packers at Texans- Texans.
I'm sorry Cheeseheads, I haven't been impressed by anybody but Aaron Rodgers and Clay Matthews thus far. And they did just lose to Andrew Luck... and the Colts. Bad officiating aside, this is NOT the Packers of 2012, and the Texans haven't really had to try all that hard in a win so far. J.J. Watt has been dominant and Foster is incredible. I just don't see the talent around Rodgers stepping up enough.

Broncos at Chargers- Broncos.
The Chargers aren't as good as people make them out to be. An injured long snapper won the season opener, and they just lost to the 0-4 Saints at home. I don't see them making a real post-season run. The Broncos however do have a good run game, and an elite QB. Just a stupid defense. I don't see the Chargers pulling out some strange one word no-huddle here, big win for Denver.

Comments

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    • jeremycarter profile image

      jeremycarter 

      5 years ago

      yeah, that was unexpected.

    • profile image

      annie gelderman 

      5 years ago

      Gutsy picks! Nice job. Join you in celebrating your bad pick in the Steelers/Titans game :)

    • Ryan Daniel Smith profile imageAUTHOR

      Ryan Smith 

      5 years ago

      I'm rarely happy to be wrong, but tonight. Maaaan it feels good.

    • Ryan Daniel Smith profile imageAUTHOR

      Ryan Smith 

      5 years ago

      Hey Jeremy, looks pretty good for you guys tonight, huh?

    • Ryan Daniel Smith profile imageAUTHOR

      Ryan Smith 

      5 years ago

      Messed up *last* year

    • Ryan Daniel Smith profile imageAUTHOR

      Ryan Smith 

      5 years ago

      Messed up *last* year

    • Ryan Daniel Smith profile imageAUTHOR

      Ryan Smith 

      5 years ago

      Personally, I think the Chiefs messed up messed year by letting him go. Too often, NFL teams take the contract over the talent. Thats why I approve of what Pete Carroll did in Seattle with Flynn and Wilson. Now, I don't know if Wilson is gonna be the leader that they need. But they let the talent start in front of the contract.

    • Schule Covers profile image

      Jesse Schule 

      5 years ago

      Orton is better than both ..

    • Ryan Daniel Smith profile imageAUTHOR

      Ryan Smith 

      5 years ago

      It was a desperation trade by Hue Jackson last year, but inevitably he cost the team draft picks and eventually a shot at the post-season. Palmer is only slightly better than a Matt Cassel at this point.

    • Schule Covers profile image

      Jesse Schule 

      5 years ago

      You're right about that .. Carson Palmer is one of the biggest bums in the league .. most teams have a backup better than Palmer.

    • Ryan Daniel Smith profile imageAUTHOR

      Ryan Smith 

      5 years ago

      McFadden is pretty much all we've got left. But the Raiders don't utilize him properly in the new system. And the defense is garbage. Now theres too much money invested in a washed up QB.

    • jeremycarter profile image

      jeremycarter 

      5 years ago

      that was a bad deal for the raiders. palmer just isn't good anymore. im not sure his recievers are helping much either. i do like mcfadden though

    • Ryan Daniel Smith profile imageAUTHOR

      Ryan Smith 

      5 years ago

      Hey man, i know your pain, at least you have a QB that can eventually make you a contender. I've got Carson Palmer..

    • jeremycarter profile image

      jeremycarter 

      5 years ago

      if the titans had locker playing, it would be a tougher game for the steelers, but hasselbeck isn't very good anymore, and chris johnson hasn't been good for years. an easy steelers win. coming from a titans fan

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