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When could Leicester City win the Premier League title?

Updated on April 10, 2016

When could Leicester City win the Premier League title?

Leicester City are closing in on one of the most amazing achievements club football has ever seen -- going from apparent relegation certainties one year to Premier League champions the next.

The Foxes currently hold a seven-point advantage over Tottenham Hotspur with six rounds of games to go, with Arsenal as outsiders a further three points back.

Claudio Ranieri's side are now all but assured of a place in the Champions League, 16 points ahead of Manchester United in fifth.

Leicester will be the first club since Nottingham Forest in 1977-78 to win the league title for the first time, having only once before -- in 1928-29 -- finished as runners-up.

When's the earliest they could seal the title?
April 18, but that is only if Leicester win their next two matches (away to Sunderland, home to West Ham) and Spurs lose their next two (home to Man United, away to Stoke). Arsenal also would need to lose against either West Brom or Crystal Palace.

What's the likeliest time they could win the title?
Leicester have two of their next three games at home, the first of those being away at Sunderland, so they will want to come away with seven points. Spurs have tougher games (including Man United on Sunday) so might get fewer points. This is obviously conjecture but it is looking most likely that they could be crowned champions at Manchester United on May 1 -- though it could be the home vs. Everton on May 7 if they drop points.

Any other scenario?
If both Leicester and Spurs win all their games, Leicester cannot win the title before the game at Man United on May 1.

What about Spurs winning the league?
Spurs cannot mathematically win the title before May 8, winning all their games and Leicester losing theirs (and Arsenal dropping points). It seems unlikely that Spurs would win the title before the final day of the season, as it would take a huge collapse from Leicester. On the final day they go to relegation-threatened Newcastle and Leicester travel to Chelsea.

Shouldn't we mention Arsenal?
We can, and they could win the title on May 8 too if Spurs and Leicester both lose their games. Though that, of course, won't happen. If the Gunners are to win the title it will surely go down to the final day -- when they entertain Aston Villa.

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