Well, for starters, Manly will not win it again. After they won last season they fell apart for a few different reasons. Hopoate's move to Parramatta for one, and the jury is out on how well Toovey will do as coach. Of course it is to early to tell but I will go ahead and throw Melbourne out there, wayyyy out there, even though they choked in 2011. Why Melbourne? All I can say is that I have a gut feeling.