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Well, don't forget about Russell Wilson, or Alfred Morris. They have also had outstanding rookie years.
My personal vote is RG III. The Redskins are just a hard team to make win at this point in history. The Colts have some recent history of success. Plus, RG III has better stats than Andrew Luck.
Even though Russell Wilson tied the record for most touchdown passes by a rookie quarterback, and Andrew Luck broke the record for most passing yards by a rookie quarterback.
I agree with you, even though Russell Wilson just beat him in a playoff game.