Israel To Attack Iran Soon
As the press has been alluding to recently regarding Iran's ability to get the nuclear weapon very soon, the war storm clouds are definitely gathering in the Middle East. Whether you choose to believe it right or wrong, it looks like Israel will be attacking Iran's nuclear sites sometime between now and end of January 2012. The logistical and intelligence backup will be from the United States, while leading NATO powers France, Britain, Germany, Holland and Italy would participate directly or indirectly in the Israeli operation.
Since nothing has indeed worked, the military option is on the table for real and the names countries have been conducting various exercises with Israel. Turkey, although is NATO, has stated that if Iran does become nuclear, then, so will Turkey. Saudi Arabia has already alluded to this discussion as well. Unlike most countries that do have nukes, they have proven to the world that the weapon is not one to threaten with. That is the difference. Iran has voiced several times to wipe Israel off the face of the earth in the past. What will they actually do when they get the bomb? It is not hard to imagine.
How successful Israel's attack will be depends on many factors, but it is hard to imagine that it would even 60% success based on how quickly they attack. I think it will happen soon as a year or more has already gone by and now Iran is on the verge of acquiring enough nuclear material for the bomb. Germany has put its Air Force Tornado warplanes in intensive training for a possible attack on targets in Iran, after taking part last week in a joint drill with the Israeli Air Force and other NATO members at the Italian air base on Sardinia.
Iran, has not been idle. They know about our capabilities and are no doubt trying to minimize the attack and cause as much mayhem. This will take the form of Hezbollah attacking from Lebanon, they have over 50,000 rockets to toss. They have four military type brigades trained by Iran's special forces. They have anti-ship and AA missiles. Then there is Syria that could join the war on Israel. Iran's response might last months or years indirectly through proxies in Iraq, in Gaza. They could easily attack US naval ships in the Persian Gulf and oil refineries in the same area. Any of these attacks alone would cause world mayhem in oil prices.
This is one of the "damned if you do, damned if you don't" situations. We all are going to pay for it and there is no telling how far it might spin out of control.