Why Is Donald Trump Leading Republican Polling?

Donald Trump

The Trump Effect

Almost since he announced he would be running for president of the United States in 2016 Donald Trump has been the leader among Republican presidential candidates much to the surprise of the other candidates. A businessman and political hack for lack of a better description, Trump has been the leading headliner in Republican circles which is amazing considering his experience or lack thereof concerning politics. With candidates like former governor Mike Huckabee, current U.S. senators Marco Rubio, Paul Cruz and Ran Paul in the running it is puzzling how "the Donald" can be at the head of the pack. His impact upon the field is so dominating that he was picked to be one of the top 10 candidates out of the more than 17 running in the first Republican debate in August. In a way that no one really understands Trump has been able to capture the attention and backing (at least for now) of the majority of Republicans polled to date. But how?

John McCain and Sarah Palin in 2008

Desperate Times Call For Desperate Measures

Since the presidency of George W. Bush Republicans have been literally taking a beating. In 2008 they were forced to settle for John McCain who was considered by many party members to be a questionable conservative and too old and out of touch with the times to be a viable candidate for president. After clearing the Republican primaries and becoming the clear party choice he then selected then Alaskan governor Sarah Palin as his running mate for vice president. A move which many political analysts believe was the death blow to his campaign. In 2012 Mitt Romney was selected as the Republican candidate and seemed to be coasting along well until his "47%" comment was leaked to the public and all but sank his campaign. But the real culprit in the Republican Party's political woes has been the Bush presidency. At both the 2008 and 2012 Republican Conventions the former president was absent. His terms in office were apparently so toxic that party leaders felt his presence would be damaging to their chance to win those elections. As it turned out both candidates still lost despite the party distancing itself from Bush. Fast forward to 2015 and in steps Donald Trump. A fresh new face for a brand new race.

In the last two presidential elections the Republican Party lost with "traditional" candidates. One being a senator and the other being a former governor. In both cases it seemed their political experience and clout did little to help them win. So for the time being why not gamble on a non-traditional candidate? What do we have to lose that we haven't lost already?

Trump Tower Of Power

Political analysts and the media have been trying to figure out what makes Trump so appealing to Republican voters. He has zero political experience and although a successful business man he hasfiled for bankruptcy at least four times in the past. He is a self-proclaimed politically incorrect individual who speaks his mind without much filtering. He unapologetically calls people names and has an ego the size of New York City so why is he so popular? For all of the aforementioned reasons. According to many Trump supporters his "realness" resonates with them. He tells it like it is and they like that. He says what a lot of them think and that makes them feel a connection to him. All of these things should be in a candidate that a voter wants to support but does that alone qualify them to be president Of the country? Trump has a tendency to speak off the top of his head without giving much thought to what he will say or what he is saying. He throws out a lot of cliches and catch phrases that sound nice but have very little verifiable validity to them. He says things like "I'll be good for women's rights" without explaining or giving any details how he will be. He tells voters to "Trust me" but gives them no reason why they should. And without a political track record to judge him by voters are just left to wonder exactly what will he do and how will he do it. But still with all of these gaps and deficiencies Donald Trump still leads the pack leaving political pundits scratching their heads. The power of the Trump is strong but how long will it last? It seems Republicans, at least for the time being, are desperately reaching for anyone who can jump start the party back into contention for the presidency but is Donald Trump the answer?

Clearly Republicans have a great desire to occupy the White House again but are they so desperate and frustrated that they are willing to hang their aspirations on another non-electable candidate?

Donald Trump At The First Republican Debate In August 2015

The Implications

The popularity of Donald Trump speaks to a deeper issue than desperation or being frustrated. It really speaks to the dumbing down of Americans and their willingness to accept someone who clearly is not qualified for the position which they are running for. It shows the shallowness of thought and the lack of ability to critically analyze and evaluate a situation or person. Trump says a lot of things that tickle people's fancy but he clearly lacks substance and concrete, feasible ideas for any of his proposals. Trump is a feel good candidate but he is hardly qualified to occupy the highest office in the land and the seat of the most powerful position on the planet. So why are voters wasting their time with him? Maybe because they are so fed up they just want to feel good for a while before they really get serious. Let's hope so because if its because they take this man seriously we are in worse shape in America than we thought.

Is Donald Trump a viable candidate for President of the United States

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7 comments

bradmasterOCcal profile image

bradmasterOCcal 15 months ago from Orange County California

Tony Daniels

Tony says------

The Implications

The popularity of Donald Trump speaks to a deeper issue than desperation or being frustrated. It really speaks to the dumbing down of Americans and their willingness to accept someone who clearly is not qualified for the position which they are running for.

Brad---------------------------------

I think that being a loyal party voter is DUMB.

How was Barack Obama qualities compared to Hillary Clinton, or even Joe Biden in 2008. He spent two years of his time as Senator campaigning for the presidency. He never ran any real local or state government. He had no foreign experience, actually no real experience.

Trump has decades of experience running things in the most politically fueled City in the country. Nothing gets done in NYC without a lot of support from the government and the unions.

What has any previous president's political experience done to help the country?

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Tony says--------

It shows the shallowness of thought and the lack of ability to critically analyze and evaluate a situation or person.

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Brad------------------------------------------------------

Don't you think that the loyal party voters do that when they knee jerk and rubber stamp the candidates presented by their party. They don't vet these candidates, analyze them or evaluate them.

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Tony says-----------------

Trump says a lot of things that tickle people's fancy but he clearly lacks substance and concrete, feasible ideas for any of his proposals.

Brad------------------------------------------------------------

What specifically are you talking about. And what political candidates are showing ideas with substance and feasible concrete messages. None that I have heard. So why are you shining the spotlight on Trump while ignoring the same light on your candidate?

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Tony Says----------------------

Trump is a feel good candidate but he is hardly qualified to occupy the highest office in the land and the seat of the most powerful position on the planet.

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Brad------------------------------------------------------------

See my comment above on Obama and Biden.

We are watching the continual decline of the US today from the works of previous presidents and congresses of both parties. So how did they fill that seat. They all failed otherwise the country wouldn't be in a continual decline, starting from the 1970s. It took the tireless efforts of members from both parties to bring the US down to this level.

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Tony Says--------------------

So why are voters wasting their time with him? Maybe because they are so fed up they just want to feel good for a while before they really get serious. Let's hope so because if its because they take this man seriously we are in worse shape in America than we thought.

Brad----------------------------------------------------------------------------

Why are you so afraid of Donal Trump, were that upset when GW Bush and Barack Obama made a mess of the country and the results we see today. It wasn't just them, you can track the decline from the oil crisis in the 1970s where we lost our car making superiority, and the rest of our big manufacturing which mainly done outside the country, mainly China. Causing our exports to be low and our imports to be very high.

Both parties have made a mess of Social Security and Medicare, and now we have ACA to deal with. The federal government is obese and ineffective, its goal is to grow and raise taxes.

The Income Tax system and Internal Revenue Code supported by both parties is the root cause of the income inequality in the US today. The IRV can only be used by the rich, the middle class has few deductions, and most of them are wage earners having to pay into FICA. The middle class is slipping into the lower class and the lower class is become the welfare class.

Neither party has had any solutions for making the US prosperous once again, and this hasn't changed this century. As you swing your sword towards Trump don't forget how we got here today. Politicians promising us and never really accomplishing those promises.

And what kind of powerful country could have been successfully attacked by a few unarmed terrorists. Not a single defensive action during 911. Not a single government agency that helped defend us that day, and Andrews Air Force Base couldn't even protect the Capital.

We beat the British in the Revolutionary War by breaking military tradition in fighting wars, and we won. Had we played the traditional war game, we would still have a Queen or King.


TonyDan profile image

TonyDan 15 months ago from Toledo, Ohio Author

BradMaster I posted your elongated comment out of courtesy. You people who like to quote what someone said like they can't remember it tickle me. I am glad to see you at least gave equal credit to both political parties for the mistakes they have made as both have done their fair share to do damage to this country. As for Trump, any fair-minded, honest person can see he is an egotistical, arrogant, crass individual who thinks he is smarter and better than everyone else. His privileged upbringing probably has a lot to do with that attitude. As a businessman he is average at best and poor at worst. If you or I had been guilty of filing for bankruptcy four times we would be labeled as idiots. Do you honestly think that someone who cannot manage their own finances any better than Trump has should be in charge of guiding the economy of the entire country? To be kind this man is a joke.....and a bad one. Sure a non-political candidate can be a viable contender for president but not this one. Ross Perot was probably the most electable non-politician to ever run for president in recent history. He was a solid businessman with feasible ideas and solutions. This joker has nothing but witty catch phrases, empty ideas with no plan of implementation and a very sour attitude on top of all that. He has been "running things" in New York for decades? What things? Bad business deals? He couldn't even run New York City let alone the United States of America. No one in their right mind could take this man seriously. To be quite honest he is an embarrassment to the American political system. Donald Trump just likes attention. That is the only reason why he is running. He loves to be the center of attention. Nothing more. Nothing less.


bradmasterOCcal profile image

bradmasterOCcal 15 months ago from Orange County California

Tony

Please delete my comment, I posted what you said so that my comment about it would be clear.

Your hub and your comments have no substance.

How does Trump differ from all the elected officials that have made this country what it is today?

A country that is continues to decline, with a grid lock congress, and a government that is out of control. A Supreme Court that hasn't made a valid decision in its existence.

You really need to move to CA to see how bad the country is today.

Delete me please


TonyDan profile image

TonyDan 15 months ago from Toledo, Ohio Author

Bradmaster you comment then ask to be deleted? How does Trump differ from the other politicians? For one he has no tact. He is rude, crude and abrasive. How is that attitude going to go over when he is trying to broker a peace deal with a country like Iran? He has no political experience and probably very little political knowledge as to how government even works. Does he even know the order of succession to president if something should happen to the president? ( vice-president then speaker of the house) The presidency is not a job to be learning how government works. Does he know how to submit a bill to congress? Could he even compose a bill to submit? I doubt it. Does he know the powers of the president? Who would he select as his cabinet? Could he be trusted to select a Supreme Court justice? Does he even know that would be his responsibility? There is a lot more to the job than just winning it which he seems fixated on. You opened this can of worms with your original comment. Your desire to now retreat indicates that it is YOU who's comments and position have no substance.


Larry Wall 12 months ago

Being a good President of the United States requires having experience or training in:

--balancing budgets based on real revenues and revenues that can be accurately projected. If the President had the line-item veto authority, things would be better, but that attempt was knocked down by the Supreme Court.

--understanding domestic issues such as poverty, health care, education, defense and emergency preparedness and recognizing that all requests cannot be fulfilled all the time.

--understanding the state of affairs throughout the world. This includes having diplomatic ability, trust in your appointed military leaders, the courage to send men and women into battle.

--recognizing that some acts of prior presidents may be the right course, with some minor adjustments and recognizing that all of his ideas may not be doable or in the best interest of the country once the full impact is understood.

These are but a few of the qualities the President must have. I do not think Donald Trump has the ability. I am not a Hillary Clinton fan (and I belong to no political party), but she has more experience.

I really do not think Trump is going to get the GOP nomination. Ranking high in polls and winning primaries do not guarantee victory. Persons elected as delegates to the party conventions are usually not obligated to vote for any particular candidate. Some require they vote for the named candidate in the first vote.

Trump will not win the nomination on the first vote. Trump has not offered any plans or solutions. He wants to ban Muslims from the U.S. He should read the inscription on the statue of liberty. How is he going to improve the economy, operate social programs and protect our people without infringing upon the rights of others? He offers rhetoric; sound bites and comments about how great he is. Ross Perot did much the same thing. He put George W. Bush out of office and gave us Bill Clinton. He was going to have a national health insurance program--he failed. He was going to place a tax on all energy used in this country, the BTU tax, if failed. The USS Cole was captured during his tenure. Shouldn't he had known about the threat and done something?

None of the candidates really impress me. However, it is a thankless job. It is one where your mistakes will make headline news, and your successes will be looked upon as something that was expected.

I do not know who I will vote for, but Donald Trump is not on my list.


bradmasterOCcal profile image

bradmasterOCcal 12 months ago from Orange County California

Larry

Senator Obama had none of these experiences, NONE.

The US hasn't really balanced a budget, they just print more money.

Trump has mentioned many plans, but the opposition, and even his own party has gone after him, and not his plans.

It was George H Bush that was beat by Clinton.

Trump is nothing like Ross Perot.

The Key to Trump's plan is to TEMPORARILY stop Muslims from coming into the country, until the US can figure it out. This is no different than when the FAA grounded all flights during 911 because they didn't know how extensive was the attack, and it would prevent further attacks.

And the immigrants that went through Ellis Island were vetted, and at that time there was no threats. Today, the Immigration laws limit the number of people from a country, and they must augment our people, rather than duplicate them. Unfortunately, Obama has suspended enforcing the Immigration Laws, in favor of giving de facto citizenship to Illegal Aliens. That is also not the American Way.

As far as experience, this country hit the skids through the efforts of the experienced politicians that you speak of and that is a good reason to try a new paradigm in politics. Trump couldn't possibly make the country any worse than it is today.

The problem that causes congressional gridlock is the divergent goals of the democrat and republican parties. Their elected officials have nested in congress for the last one hundred years, and they have accomplished nothing for the country or the people.

As long as we have the loyal political party voters the gridlock and the decline of the US will continue. In which case, the 2016 election will result in failures for the US as it has been the case in all the previous modern presidential elections.

The loyal democrat and republican voters, are playing a political tic tac toe game, and that game doesn't produce a winner, just stalemates.

As you know from my hubs, that I am also not a member of any party. It just so happens that the democrats have done more for me to write about.


Ken Burgess profile image

Ken Burgess 9 months ago from Florida

If you are looking for an outsider... someone not tied into the Washington establishment and all that is wrong with politics today, Trump is your only choice... Clinton and Bush, just represent more of the same, the same decline, the same mounting national debt, loss of jobs overseas ... the same we have seen for over 20 years now will continue with them.

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