ArtsAutosBooksBusinessEducationEntertainmentFamilyFashionFoodGamesGenderHealthHolidaysHomeHubPagesPersonal FinancePetsPoliticsReligionSportsTechnologyTravel

The Iranian Nuclear Redlines: Where Are They?

Updated on October 24, 2012

Anyone who is following the positions of Israel and the US with regards to the nuclear redlines, those invisible thresholds that trigger something from either country, are vague. Finally, a former CIA officer and the head of Iranian sanctions project, has clarified what exactly they are at this point in time.

For Israel, this redline is April-June 2013. By then, Iran will have enough 20% enriched uranium for at least one nuclear bomb of some sort. For the US, the redline is no later than January 2014. Once Iran processes medium enriched uranium into weapons grade, any military option is not practical, i.e., it is too late.

President Obama has begged others to allow for more crippling sanctions and more time for them to work. If they do work as Obama hopes they will, Iran's economy will be crippled by July 2013, at which point, it is hoped their leaders will decide to surrender its nuclear ambitions. Basically, the clock starts now and has nine months to run for the sanctions to really impact. The problem is that still has $50 billion a year income from oil revenues and has been stockpiling money reserves all along, which will allow it to survive into the Fall of 2013. Iran has not yet been unable to import foreign goods, has not yet had its money, the rial, totally worthless and its population still uses dollars. Thus, damaged, the Iranian public endures from the sanctions.

Crippling sanctions are not yet in place. One is to blacklist Iran's central bank and cut it off 100% from the international banking system. Prohibiting commercial exports to Iran and removing the 20+ waivers or exemptions that allow those countries to buy Iran's oil (China, Japan and others) would be additional blows. Cutting off Iran's access to its foreign exchange reserves and banning foreign tankers carrying oil to or from Iran from calling at U.S. ports would also help.

Would these additional measures cripple the Iran economy? Maybe and just maybe its population would rebel enough to force its government to stop its nuclear ambitions. If not, I guess it is war or look the other way and pray.


    0 of 8192 characters used
    Post Comment

    • perrya profile imageAUTHOR


      6 years ago

      well, the real test is Spring 2013, Israel has just demonstrated it can bomb targets faraway and evade radar-it was just in the Sudan.

    • Highland Terrier profile image

      Highland Terrier 

      6 years ago from Dublin, Ireland

      Makes for very bleak reading.

      Still we must hope reason and sense will prevail.

      Thank you.


    This website uses cookies

    As a user in the EEA, your approval is needed on a few things. To provide a better website experience, uses cookies (and other similar technologies) and may collect, process, and share personal data. Please choose which areas of our service you consent to our doing so.

    For more information on managing or withdrawing consents and how we handle data, visit our Privacy Policy at:

    Show Details
    HubPages Device IDThis is used to identify particular browsers or devices when the access the service, and is used for security reasons.
    LoginThis is necessary to sign in to the HubPages Service.
    Google RecaptchaThis is used to prevent bots and spam. (Privacy Policy)
    AkismetThis is used to detect comment spam. (Privacy Policy)
    HubPages Google AnalyticsThis is used to provide data on traffic to our website, all personally identifyable data is anonymized. (Privacy Policy)
    HubPages Traffic PixelThis is used to collect data on traffic to articles and other pages on our site. Unless you are signed in to a HubPages account, all personally identifiable information is anonymized.
    Amazon Web ServicesThis is a cloud services platform that we used to host our service. (Privacy Policy)
    CloudflareThis is a cloud CDN service that we use to efficiently deliver files required for our service to operate such as javascript, cascading style sheets, images, and videos. (Privacy Policy)
    Google Hosted LibrariesJavascript software libraries such as jQuery are loaded at endpoints on the or domains, for performance and efficiency reasons. (Privacy Policy)
    Google Custom SearchThis is feature allows you to search the site. (Privacy Policy)
    Google MapsSome articles have Google Maps embedded in them. (Privacy Policy)
    Google ChartsThis is used to display charts and graphs on articles and the author center. (Privacy Policy)
    Google AdSense Host APIThis service allows you to sign up for or associate a Google AdSense account with HubPages, so that you can earn money from ads on your articles. No data is shared unless you engage with this feature. (Privacy Policy)
    Google YouTubeSome articles have YouTube videos embedded in them. (Privacy Policy)
    VimeoSome articles have Vimeo videos embedded in them. (Privacy Policy)
    PaypalThis is used for a registered author who enrolls in the HubPages Earnings program and requests to be paid via PayPal. No data is shared with Paypal unless you engage with this feature. (Privacy Policy)
    Facebook LoginYou can use this to streamline signing up for, or signing in to your Hubpages account. No data is shared with Facebook unless you engage with this feature. (Privacy Policy)
    MavenThis supports the Maven widget and search functionality. (Privacy Policy)
    Google AdSenseThis is an ad network. (Privacy Policy)
    Google DoubleClickGoogle provides ad serving technology and runs an ad network. (Privacy Policy)
    Index ExchangeThis is an ad network. (Privacy Policy)
    SovrnThis is an ad network. (Privacy Policy)
    Facebook AdsThis is an ad network. (Privacy Policy)
    Amazon Unified Ad MarketplaceThis is an ad network. (Privacy Policy)
    AppNexusThis is an ad network. (Privacy Policy)
    OpenxThis is an ad network. (Privacy Policy)
    Rubicon ProjectThis is an ad network. (Privacy Policy)
    TripleLiftThis is an ad network. (Privacy Policy)
    Say MediaWe partner with Say Media to deliver ad campaigns on our sites. (Privacy Policy)
    Remarketing PixelsWe may use remarketing pixels from advertising networks such as Google AdWords, Bing Ads, and Facebook in order to advertise the HubPages Service to people that have visited our sites.
    Conversion Tracking PixelsWe may use conversion tracking pixels from advertising networks such as Google AdWords, Bing Ads, and Facebook in order to identify when an advertisement has successfully resulted in the desired action, such as signing up for the HubPages Service or publishing an article on the HubPages Service.
    Author Google AnalyticsThis is used to provide traffic data and reports to the authors of articles on the HubPages Service. (Privacy Policy)
    ComscoreComScore is a media measurement and analytics company providing marketing data and analytics to enterprises, media and advertising agencies, and publishers. Non-consent will result in ComScore only processing obfuscated personal data. (Privacy Policy)
    Amazon Tracking PixelSome articles display amazon products as part of the Amazon Affiliate program, this pixel provides traffic statistics for those products (Privacy Policy)