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Trouble Brewing In the Southern Ring of Fire?
Like in Ray Bradbury's book “Something Wicked This Way Comes”, the lightning rod maker and salesman that visited the two lads born just a minute or two apart on Halloween, a storm's brewing and you best be prepared. Fortuitously he came to herald a destructive act of nature and supply a means of protection. And so perhaps here I am to do the same.. At least the herald part.
The last three earthquakes of 6.5 magnitude or greater occurred since March 10th, 2013, and ominously they landed in the same general area of the Ring of Fire, the tectonic powerhouse that forms a circle along the pacific oceans edges.
Now I didn't always pay attention to such things, but I noticed a bit too late that there was a series of quakes in the magnitude range of the lower 6's that happened in the area where the last 7.9-8.0 magnitude earthquake occurred in the Santa Cruz Islands (also listed below).
These last three quakes are located not too far west of there and not too distant time wise as well. It is getting me to thinking that the magnitude 8.0 event, due to it causing a redistribution of stress in the area, is potentially likely to set off another quake of similar or greater size, occurring not so very far away from it in time and space.
Actually, since these last three quakes are about one half a magnitude greater in size than the pre-shocks of the 7.95 magnitude quake in the Santa Cruz Islands last February, I am thinking that there is a potential for a quake of at least 8.5 magnitude in size in the near future.
Since the distance between these three recent quakes spans about 1,800 Kilometers or 1,125 miles, and the middle quake is located where two fault lines meet, it is possible that a double event could be set off producing two quakes of around 8.0-8.5 magnitude (or one event larger than 8.5 magnitude).
Normally, using astrology to find potential quake dates or windows in time, I have much less of an idea of where such quakes will occur. This time I think that I know the likely whereabouts but only a general idea (say within a few days to a few months) of when.
Looking at earthquakes starting in 1906 to the present that have occurred in the same area as the three recent 6.5-7.0 magnitude events, I found that there had been 17 shocks of 7.75 or larger there. The strongest was of magnitude 8.2 in 1996. Some areas such as California are limited by the seismic nature of its fault system to quakes no larger than that, but I suspect that the New Guinea area is capable of temblors much more severe. They have not seen an 8.3 magnitude or larger quake in the modern era and it is impossible to know if or when such may have occurred. Its very isolation makes determinations of magnitudes iffy for events prior to 1935 and many before 1900, even large ones, have gone unrecorded. Its long term tectonic history is a mystery unlike such countries as Italy, Japan, or China which all have a long historical seismic record.
Is the area in and around Papua New Guinea due for a mid 8 magnitude or larger event in the near future? We will just have to wait and see.. Oh, and I just started reading that Ray Bradbury book so please don't spoil it for me (although I suspect the outcome won't be less than disastrous).
© 2013 Joseph Ritrovato