ArtsAutosBooksBusinessEducationEntertainmentFamilyFashionFoodGamesGenderHealthHolidaysHomeHubPagesPersonal FinancePetsPoliticsReligionSportsTechnologyTravel

What Is the Financial Impact of School Closures as a Result of the Coronavirus (Covid-19) Pandemic?

Updated on September 9, 2020

By April, UNESCO had reported that 192 nations had closed all learning institutions, affecting almost 90% of the world’s students: this is approximately 1.5 billion students. While few governments are beginning to allow students and teachers back to learning institutions—one of the greatest drivers of human resource capital—remains to be largely shut for business.

For how long will schools remain shut before they are allowed to reopen? How will student learning be affected by school closures due to the Coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic? And how will this pandemic affect the vulnerable and poorest populations? No one knows enough about what will happen next. Questions ranging from whether it’s possible for recuperated patients to be re-infected to the discovery of a viable vaccine may continue to trouble many across the globe. What is certain however that is learning will be absent.

What is the impact of school closures on students due to the Coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic?

When kids lose out on learning, they lose out on many future prospects like economic benefits, like additional earnings. This has far-reaching costs. Research has shown that during and after World War II loss of learning still has negative effects on former learners’ lives 40 years later. The impact of lost learning is not confined to individual learners alone, for whole communities closing down learning today, will likely be of significant concern in the coming future.

With this in mind, researchers have come up with preliminary evidence to approximate projected potential future losses as a result of current school closures. This can act as a starting point to assist countries make informed choices on school closures and to begin a world-wide debate on mitigating and controlling the economic downhill spiral that the COVID-19 has created.

What is the estimated future income losses on students/learners and the economy as a whole as a result of school closures?

While giving these findings, researchers emphasized their status as being the beginning, rather than a culmination, of research. There were complicating considerations researchers identified, including the quality of learning, dissimilarities in delivery of distance learning, and various pressures that bear on some learners, like the need to get work to assist in supporting their families. There are more variables that the researchers did not yet consider, but they anticipate others will offer them through discussions and comments around these findings. For now, they simply seek to offer the wakeup call about the range of sacrifices young people are having to make as a result of global school closures.

Researchers began by assuming that each additional year of schooling equals 10% in added future earnings. They then use the sum of months of school closures to approximate the loss of future marginal earnings. For example, when Country A closes its learning institutions for 4 months, the loss in future marginal earnings would be about 2.5% per year. If you apply this hypothesis to the world’s biggest economy, the USA and its 76 million learners, as a starting point, assuming a 45-year productivity life, a discounted rate of 3%, and annual mean earnings of $53,490.

The estimates suggest an earning loss of $1,337 annually per learner. While this doesn’t look like a great individual price for learners to pay, a deeper look at the cumulative impact on the entire country is more sobering.

Using this model, the financial cost to the USA in future earnings of 4 months of lost learning is $2.5 trillion, almost 12.7 percent of its annual GDP.

These estimated figures are preliminary. But they raise significant questions that need further investigation by relevant authorities like education ministries, for example:

  1. How does the estimated loss in future earnings on young people differ between poor and rich countries? Because of their large economies, rich countries will likely implement fiscal policies that cushion against the negative effects of lost learning among students. This may not be the same for poor countries that don’t have the financial freedom to implement the same.
  2. Within these countries, which group of kids and young people is likely to suffer the most from this economic impact of lack of access to learning?
  3. How does sacrifice made by one population of learners in a given country compare to their counterparts in other regions?

The measure of economic damage due to lost learning shows that governments should cautiously plan their next polices.

Conclusion.

Learning institutions are one of the greatest drivers of human resource capital. When kids lose out on learning, they lose out on many future prospects like additional earnings. This has far-reaching costs that we might not experience immediately. Like many areas of this COVID-19 pandemic, the impact of school closures on learners will likely manifest in the form of a protracted crisis relatively to a short and sharp shock.

Comments

    0 of 8192 characters used
    Post Comment

    No comments yet.

    working

    This website uses cookies

    As a user in the EEA, your approval is needed on a few things. To provide a better website experience, hubpages.com uses cookies (and other similar technologies) and may collect, process, and share personal data. Please choose which areas of our service you consent to our doing so.

    For more information on managing or withdrawing consents and how we handle data, visit our Privacy Policy at: https://corp.maven.io/privacy-policy

    Show Details
    Necessary
    HubPages Device IDThis is used to identify particular browsers or devices when the access the service, and is used for security reasons.
    LoginThis is necessary to sign in to the HubPages Service.
    Google RecaptchaThis is used to prevent bots and spam. (Privacy Policy)
    AkismetThis is used to detect comment spam. (Privacy Policy)
    HubPages Google AnalyticsThis is used to provide data on traffic to our website, all personally identifyable data is anonymized. (Privacy Policy)
    HubPages Traffic PixelThis is used to collect data on traffic to articles and other pages on our site. Unless you are signed in to a HubPages account, all personally identifiable information is anonymized.
    Amazon Web ServicesThis is a cloud services platform that we used to host our service. (Privacy Policy)
    CloudflareThis is a cloud CDN service that we use to efficiently deliver files required for our service to operate such as javascript, cascading style sheets, images, and videos. (Privacy Policy)
    Google Hosted LibrariesJavascript software libraries such as jQuery are loaded at endpoints on the googleapis.com or gstatic.com domains, for performance and efficiency reasons. (Privacy Policy)
    Features
    Google Custom SearchThis is feature allows you to search the site. (Privacy Policy)
    Google MapsSome articles have Google Maps embedded in them. (Privacy Policy)
    Google ChartsThis is used to display charts and graphs on articles and the author center. (Privacy Policy)
    Google AdSense Host APIThis service allows you to sign up for or associate a Google AdSense account with HubPages, so that you can earn money from ads on your articles. No data is shared unless you engage with this feature. (Privacy Policy)
    Google YouTubeSome articles have YouTube videos embedded in them. (Privacy Policy)
    VimeoSome articles have Vimeo videos embedded in them. (Privacy Policy)
    PaypalThis is used for a registered author who enrolls in the HubPages Earnings program and requests to be paid via PayPal. No data is shared with Paypal unless you engage with this feature. (Privacy Policy)
    Facebook LoginYou can use this to streamline signing up for, or signing in to your Hubpages account. No data is shared with Facebook unless you engage with this feature. (Privacy Policy)
    MavenThis supports the Maven widget and search functionality. (Privacy Policy)
    Marketing
    Google AdSenseThis is an ad network. (Privacy Policy)
    Google DoubleClickGoogle provides ad serving technology and runs an ad network. (Privacy Policy)
    Index ExchangeThis is an ad network. (Privacy Policy)
    SovrnThis is an ad network. (Privacy Policy)
    Facebook AdsThis is an ad network. (Privacy Policy)
    Amazon Unified Ad MarketplaceThis is an ad network. (Privacy Policy)
    AppNexusThis is an ad network. (Privacy Policy)
    OpenxThis is an ad network. (Privacy Policy)
    Rubicon ProjectThis is an ad network. (Privacy Policy)
    TripleLiftThis is an ad network. (Privacy Policy)
    Say MediaWe partner with Say Media to deliver ad campaigns on our sites. (Privacy Policy)
    Remarketing PixelsWe may use remarketing pixels from advertising networks such as Google AdWords, Bing Ads, and Facebook in order to advertise the HubPages Service to people that have visited our sites.
    Conversion Tracking PixelsWe may use conversion tracking pixels from advertising networks such as Google AdWords, Bing Ads, and Facebook in order to identify when an advertisement has successfully resulted in the desired action, such as signing up for the HubPages Service or publishing an article on the HubPages Service.
    Statistics
    Author Google AnalyticsThis is used to provide traffic data and reports to the authors of articles on the HubPages Service. (Privacy Policy)
    ComscoreComScore is a media measurement and analytics company providing marketing data and analytics to enterprises, media and advertising agencies, and publishers. Non-consent will result in ComScore only processing obfuscated personal data. (Privacy Policy)
    Amazon Tracking PixelSome articles display amazon products as part of the Amazon Affiliate program, this pixel provides traffic statistics for those products (Privacy Policy)
    ClickscoThis is a data management platform studying reader behavior (Privacy Policy)