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I Wish I Know The Answer To These Questions

Updated on May 3, 2017
jackclee lm profile image

Jack is currently a volunteer at the Westchester County Archives. Jack has worked at IBM for over 28 years on museums and libraries.

Introduction

The advances in Big Data processing lead me to the following. Some answers that I wish I knew. It seems to me, many of our social problems can be managed better if we only had the supporting data.

- Apr. 2017

Background

In the election of 2016, one area of contention is the idea of possible voter fraud. Some have claimed it may have swayed the results. Others claim the popular vote was inflated by voter fraud in the State of California. I guess we will never know.

It got me thinking. Why don't we have a better handle on our voting system? We should know who exactly is voting and whether the voters are legal citizens. Our laws are clear. Only citizens of the US without criminal records and over the age of 18 are allowed to vote.

One way to insure a proper voting result is with voter ID. Some States require the voter to show an ID in order to vote, However, our courts has ruled asking for an ID is too restrictive. It could be perceived as voter suppression.

It seems to me here is where Big Data processing could offer some assistance. It can help answer the question about voter fraud. How prevalent is it? And whether it can sway election results one way or another.

The solution is this. We can allow our national databases to be accessed by a private, independent company. One that has the processing power and the algorithm to deal with this problem. They can combine the election data and cross reference them with our Social Security data, our immigration data and our criminal justice prison records. They can answer the question of how many votes are illegally cast by each State and how they voted? This will answer the question of how prevalent illegal voting is and whether it can affect the outcome of a close election.

Some Other Questions...

In addition to the question raised above of what percent of people voted illegally, here are some other questions that I want answers to.

  • What is the true unemployment rate?
  • How many undocumented immigrants are here in the US?
  • What percent of our prison population are illegal aliens?
  • How many people are truly disabled? As compared to people on disability.
  • How many people's identity have been compromised?
  • What percent of people pay income taxes?
  • What percent of the population does not read or speak English?

What does it matter? The answers I believe will help us deal with problems that have been ignored for too long. For whatever the reason, our government has gone out of its way to not keep tract of these data. They should be readily available and yet we don't have a good handle on them. Why?

Summary

Our country has been struggling with many challenges on many fronts. From immigration to healthcare to education to welfare and entitlements, we have a difference of opinion between the two parties. Our country is experiencing deficits year after year even though our tax revenue is at a record high. This condition cannot continue at the current path.

By getting the answers to some of the above questions, it is hoped that we can resolve some of our differences. How about it Google? Will you help find the answers?

One Example: How to calculate unemployment rate

The current official unemployment rate as reported by the Department of Labor Statistics is 4.5%. We all know this number is bogus. It under counts people who have given up looking for work and those who have dropped off the unemployment benefit roll.

The definition of unemployment is those who are able bodied people who are able and willing to work but are currently out of work.

We can use Big Data processing to get at a more accurate number.

Here is a formula for how to do it.

Formula: ( 1 - W / (P - NA)) * 100 = UE rate

W - is the total number of people working.

P - is the toal population of working age.

NA - is the sum of all people unable to work or choose not to work. Included are people on disability, people incarcerated, people in school or some training program, people who are volunteers or unpaid interns, people who choose not to work, and people in transition between jobs...

UE - the True unemployment rate as definded above.

The hardest part of this calculation is getting at W. This is where Big Data can help. Determine the total of people working includes all government employees and the military, all people on salary in private industry, all people that are business owners, all people who are working at home or self employed, all people working in farms, all people working in the cash economy.

The last piece of data we need to capture is the number of people who are Part Time workers. The unemployment rate can only tell if someone is employed or not but cannot tell if someone is working 40 hours a week or 20 hours a week.

Again Big Data should be able to help here. We should be able to determine how many of the W are only P/T workers.

Some Unemployment Stats...

© 2017 Jack Lee

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    • wrenchBiscuit profile image

      Ronnie wrenchBiscuit 2 months ago

      I am quite amazed, and almost dumbfounded. The issue with voting is the crooked system and the criminals who control it. When are you going to accept that the American dream that exists on paper does not exist in the real world. It doesn't matter what new data mechanisms are developed. As long as the criminal element exists in government nothing will change. You are a smart guy, but you are making it more complicated than it needs to be.

    • jackclee lm profile image
      Author

      Jack Lee 2 months ago from Yorktown NY

      Thanks for the compliment. The difference between you and me is that I don't except corruption. I work to root out corruption ahd shine light on it. I am an optimist and I believe in our country. Our freedom and our people are in control. We do have control over our destiny. It does not come for free. People faught for those freedom. Our system may not be perfect but no other system have achieved more.

    • peoplepower73 profile image

      Mike Russo 2 months ago from Placentia California

      Jack: As in any system, who watches the watchers? It's interesting, candidate trump said that Obama's unemployment numbers were bogus. Now that he is president, they are O.K. and he takes credit for them. Even though he statistically has done nothing to move those numbers significantly. As long as greed is part of human nature, there will always be corruption, not matter how secure the system is.

      Thanks for your idealism. The state lottery in California was supposed to pay for school programs. It did that for a couple of years, until upper management in the education system found they could vote themselves huge salary increases and scooped the money right out of the system into their pockets.

    • bradmasterOCcal profile image

      bradmasterOCcal 2 months ago from Orange County California

      Jack

      I agree, and as far as limiting voting to American Citizens, the solution is easy require a voter id. In CA and most likely other states that don't have a voting id requirement, we have no idea who is voting. And with over 10 million illegal aliens we don't have any way to determine whether they are voting in our elections.

      But when Trump gets 4 million votes in CA and Clinton gets 7 million, one has to suspect these were not all Americans voting for Clinton. And to avoid having to suspect someone, make a federal law requiring voter id that has this mystery shunted.

      This won't completely stop unauthorized voters but it will surely put a big damper on it. It is like to people that say a border wall won't stop people from getting into the US. But, a wall will stop more of them than not having a wall. Why do people object to the wall, when they lock, and alarm their homes, apts, and vehicles.

      As for unemployment rate, you have shown the reason why it is inaccurate. The unemployment rate should be viewed indirectly as well as with the number of people on unemployment.

      For example, look at the number of people on welfare, and food stamps. Look at the number of tax returns, have they gone up or down.

      These factors more accurately show us the health status of our economy which is far more important than simply the unemployment rate.

    • wrenchBiscuit profile image

      Ronnie wrenchBiscuit 2 months ago

      In answer to Brad's Red, White, and Blue question: "Why do people object to the wall, when they lock, and alarm their homes, apts, and vehicles." In order to understand why, a person must have the capacity for human emotion, and a desire to help those in need, even if the needy aren't white Euro-American. That desire and emotion is often coupled with the understanding that these people would not be needy in the first place if not for the legacy of Colonialism, and an oppressive Capitalist system. Without such a system everyone would have the needed food and resources to survive and prosper. Thus, there would be no illegal-immigration problem, and no need for a wall. Yes, I know that I am impressive.

    • breakfastpop profile image

      breakfastpop 2 months ago

      I find it impossible to believe that anyone with good intentions would object to voter I.D. As far as fraud is concerned, the problem isn't Russia it is the number of people willing to commit fraud in order to get their candidate elected. I want to see some arrests. That might cut down on what's happening.

    • bradmasterOCcal profile image

      bradmasterOCcal 2 months ago from Orange County California

      Ronnie you didn't answer my comment. The comparison is simple, you lock and alarm your home to protect it and you from the bad guys. The US is our home and we need to take the same measures we do personally.

      Your ideology is in the wrong country, it is not the ideology of the US.

    • wrenchBiscuit profile image

      Ronnie wrenchBiscuit 2 months ago

      Sure Brad! According to you the bad guys are the ones who have been blindsided by Capitalism and a drug trade that is fueled by U.S. demand and corrupt politicians riding the gravy train. Poor people don't come here because the United States is full of good God fearing white folks. They come here because this is where all of the stolen wealth is concentrated. Now, the next time someone comments"Well if the United States is such an evil country why does everybody want to come here" I have just provided half of the answer. The other half of the answer is: Everybody "doesn't" want to come here.

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