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- Middle East Political & Social Issues
Aleppo On Brink Of Collapse.
Three Leaders Who Will Gain From Their Side Winning The War.
Thousands Of Refugees Stream Towards Turkey.
The fight for Aleppo is not going well for groups like the Free Syrian Army who are facing brutal air assault from the Russian airforce and murderous pounding from the Syrian Army.
Thousands of civilians possibly with some fleeing rebels too intermingled with the civilians are heading for the Turkish border to get out of the nightmarish situation they find themselves in caught between the fighting factions. Many civilians however have stayed but according to reports it is people loyal to Assad's regime and the Christian population according to BBC2's 'Newnight' was once 200,000 now its down to 20,000 despite many Pastors exhorting their people to stay.
The Russians have invested a lot in bailing out Assad and so they must win this war which if Aleppo fell would probably shorten the war which would then probably put Putin in a stronger position in dealing with Ukraine and Georgia and ultimately the West.
It would seem according to 'Al Jazeera' the Russians and Syrians were never serious about the peace talks with the other side which really achieved nothing recently in Geneva. If the war is won the Iranians an ally of Assad also would be happy as would some in the West, Turkey, the Russians and the Assad supporting Syrians in particular.
Tensions remain high between Russia and Turkey over the downing of their fighter plane and the Turks have had money thrown at them by the European Union to keep Syrian migrants from heading to western Europe as previous hordes of migrants have been causing tensions between Native Europeans and the newcomers. It would seem Turkey is keeping this latest flow of bedraggled humanity fleeing Aleppo at its border and only allowing the most sick and wounded into its territory but it is helping those Syrians who have set up camp at the Turkish - Syrian border.
Kingdom Of Saudi Arabia another country currently throwing its weight around in the region both in Syria and Yemen is at odds with Iran over who it backs in the Syrian war and Yemeni conflict and it would seem as I have reported before the Yemeni conflict in contrast to the Syrian war is not getting as much reportage.
If Aleppo falls it does not mean the war is won who knows but it could draw that day nearer when it is.