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Difference Between Exit Poll And the Result of 2014 Loksabha In India

Updated on September 23, 2014

Exit Polls

Exit Poll

Dutch sociologist and former politician Marcel van Dam is the inventor of the exit poll.He first implemented an exit poll during the Dutch legislative election on February 15, 1967.Exit poll is the poll conducted by some media to show pre-count result of election.In this poll voters are asked whom he voted just after his/her exit from real election booth.The name is kept secret.Unlike opinion poll which is conducted before the poll ,an exit poll is considered more accurate. In 2014 Loksabha election Commission of India barred media organization to reveal exit poll result before the counting of the poll.But finally Election Commission of India withdrew its ban on revealing exit poll result before the counting of votes after being virulently attacked by media.Here is the details of 2014 exit poll result for 2014 Loksabha election.

Exit Poll

Source

2014 Indian Parliamentary Exit Poll By Aztak,ABP-News,CNN-IBN,News-24 And India-TV,Time-Now-News-Nation

Aaztak predicted that N.D.A. or National Democratic Alliance led by Bharatiya Janata Party would bag 272 milestone to get the majority to form the next Government in India .It said U.P.A or United Progressive Alliance would get 115 seats while others would win 156 parliamentary constituencies.

A.B.P News expressed National Democratic Alliance would obtain 281 parliamentary seats all over India.It suggested that United Progressive Alliance would bag 97 seats ,the worse result it had ever had.According to A.B.P News others would get 165 seats in total.

C.N.N-I.B.N foretold that N.D.A would have bagged 270 to 282 seats in this election.The range of seats would be between 92 to 102.Others,as C.N.N-I.B.N predicted,would receive from 150 to 160 seats.

India TV reported that N.D.A or National Democratic Alliance would get 289 seats while United Progressive Alliance would got 101 seats and 153 parliamentary seats would go to others.

The most wonderful prediction as surveyed by News 24 ,suggested that National Democratic Alliance was going to hold 340 (nearly 352 which were won in 1971 parliamentary election by Indian National Congress-Indira in the leadership of Indira Gandhi) in this parliamentary election by the influential leadership of Narendra Modi.It predicted that United Progressive Alliance would get 70 seats least seats even by Congress.Others would go to win 133 seats.

Times Now and News Nation predicted that seats of National Democratic Alliance would vary from 249 to 265 while seats in this parliamentary election of United Progressive Alliance would win would range from 121 to 148.Others ,as suggested by this news channel,would get from 143 to 160.

Prediction By Surveys

Front/Alliance
News-24
ABP News-Nielson
Aaztak/IndiaToday-Cicero
CNN-IBN
India-TV
National Democratic Alliance(NDA)
340
281
272
272-282
289
United Progressive Alliance(UPA)
70
97
115
92-102
101
Others
133
165
156
150-160
153

State -Wise Exit Poll of Aaztak,India-today-Cicero

 
IBN
ABP News
AazTak
 
1 Andhra Pradesh
BJP=14-18,INC=3-5,YSRCP=11-15,TRS=8-12
BJP 3, CONGRESS 3, TDP 9, TRS 8, YSR CONG 18, OTHERS 1
BJP=15-19,INC=1-3,TRS=10-14,YSRCP=8-12,Other=0-2
 
4 Bihar
BJP=21-27,INC=11-15,JDU=2-4
BJP - 18, LJP - 2, RJD - 11, Congress 5 , JD-U 4
BJP=21-23,INC=4,RJD=10
 
7 Gujarat
BJP=21-25,INC=5
BJP - 24, Congress 2, Others - 0
BJP=24-26,INC=0-2
 
8 Haryana
 
Congress (1), BJP- 9
 
 
11 Jharkhand
 
BJP -12, Congress 1, Others 1
 
 
12 Karnataka
BJP=12-16,INC=10-14,JDS=1-3
BJP 16, CONGRESS 8, JDS 4
 
 
13 Kerala
UDF=11-14,Left Front=6-9
BJP 1, CONGRESS 9 , LEFT 8,OTHERS 2
 
 
14 Madhya Pradesh
BJP=24-28,INC=1-5
BJP -26 , Congress –3
 
 
15 Maharashtra
BJP=33-37,INC=11-15,
BJP - 21, Shiv Sena - 11, Congress - 9, NCP - 6, AAP -1
BJP=27-35,INC=11-15,Others=2-6
 
20 Odisha
BJP=3-7,BJD=12-16,INC=1-3
BJP=10,INC=2,BJD=9
 
 
21 Punjab
BJP=6-9,INC=3-5,AAP=1-3
BJP - 1, AKALI 4, CONGRESS 7 , AAP 1
 
 
22 Rajasthan
BJP=22-24,INC=1-3
BJP -22, Congress- 2, Others 1
BJP=21-25,INC=0-4,Other=0-1
 
24 Tamil Nadu
BJP=4-6,AIADMK=22-28,DMK=7-11
BJP 4+, AIADMK 22, DMK 10, LEFT 2, CONGRESS 1
BJP=2-4,AIADMK=20-24,DMK=10-14,Other=1-3
 
26 Uttar Pradesh
 
BJP - 46, Congress 8 , BSP 13, SP - 12, AAP - 0, Others 1
BJP=47-55,INC=4-6
 
27 Uttarakhand
BJP=45-53,INC=3-5,BSP=10-14,SP=13-17
BJP - 5, CONGRESS - 0
 
 
28 West Bengal
BJP=1-3,INC=2-4,TMC=25-31,Left Front =7-11
BJP -1, Congress 5, TMC - 24, LEFT 12
BJP=1-2,INC=4-6,TMC=24-29,Left Front=7-11
 
33 NCT of Delhi
BJP=5-7,AAP=0-2
BJP-5, Congress- 0, AAP- 2
 
 

2014 Loksabha Result

2014 Loksabha Result

2014 Loksabha election shows Modi-wave all over India except three states where regional party wave still works as in Tamil Nadu, Odisha and West Bengal .In Rajasthan and in Gujrat ,no trace of any other party than BJP has been found.Twenty six seats in Gujrat and twenty five in Rajasthan go with Bharatiya Janata Party.In Madhya Pradesh all seats except two seats go to BJP.Uttarakhand gives all seats to BJP. Uttar Pradesh gives the distinction mark to BJP.

2014 Loksabha Party-Wise Result

Party
Seat Won
Bharatiya Janata Party
282
Communist Party of India
1
Communist Party of India (Marxist)
9
Indian National Congress
44
Nationalist Congress Party
6
Aam Aadmi Party
4
All India Anna Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam
37
All India N.R. Congress
1
All India Trinamool Congress
34
All India United Democratic Front
3
Biju Janata Dal
20
Indian National Lok Dal
2
Indian Union Muslim League
2
Jammu & Kashmir Peoples Democratic Party
3
Janata Dal (Secular)
2
Janata Dal (United)
2
Jharkhand Mukti Morcha
2
Kerala Congress (M)
1
Lok Jan Shakti Party
6
Naga Peoples Front
1
National Peoples Party
1
Pattali Makkal Katchi
1
Rashtriya Janata Dal
4
Revolutionary Socialist Party
1
Samajwadi Party
5
Shiromani Akali Dal
4
Shivsena
18
Sikkim Democratic Front
1
Telangana Rashtra Samithi
11
Telugu Desam
16
All India Majlis-E-Ittehadul Muslimeen
1
Apna Dal
2
Rashtriya Lok Samta Party
3
Swabhimani Paksha
1
Yuvajana Sramika Rythu Congress Party
9
Independent
3
Total
543

Party-Wise Result In Some States For 2014 Loksabha Election

Serial
 
 
1
Andhra Pradesh
Bharatiya Janata Party=3,Indian National Congress=2 , Telangana Rashtra Samithi =11 ,Telugu Desam =16 ,All India Majlis-E-Ittehadul Muslimeen=1,Yuvajana Sramika Rythu Congress Party =9
2
Bihar
Bharatiya Janata Party =22 ,Indian National Congress = 2 ,Nationalist Congress Party =1 ,Janata Dal (United) = 2 ,Lok Jan Shakti Party =6 ,Rashtriya Janata Dal = 4 ,Rashtriya Lok Samta Party =3
3
Gujarat
Bharatiya Janata Party = 26
4
Haryana
Bharatiya Janata Party = 7 ,Indian National Congress =1 ,Indian National Lok Dal = 2
5
Jharkhand
Bharatiya Janata Party = 12 ,Jharkhand Mukti Morcha = 2
6
Karnataka
Bharatiya Janata Party = 17 , Indian National Congress = 9 , Janata Dal (Secular) = 2
7
Kerala
Communist Party of India = 1, Communist Party of India (Marxist) = 5 , Indian National Congress = 8 ,Indian Union Muslim League = 2 ,Kerala Congress (M) = 1 ,Revolutionary Socialist Party =1 ,Independent = 2
8
Madhya Pradesh
Bharatiya Janata Party = 27 ,Indian National Congress =2
9
Maharashtra
Bharatiya Janata Party = 23 , Indian National Congress = 2 ,Nationalist Congress Party = 4 ,Shivsena = 18 , Swabhimani Paksha =1
10
Odisha
Bharatiya Janata Party = 1 ,Biju Janata Dal = 20
11
Punjab
Bharatiya Janata Party = 2 ,Indian National Congress = 3 , Aam Aadmi Party = 4 , Shiromani Akali Dal = 4
12
Rajasthan
Bharatiya Janata Party = 25
13
Tamil Nadu
Bharatiya Janata Party = 1 , All India Anna Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam = 37 , Pattali Makkal Katchi = 1
14
Uttar Pradesh
Bharatiya Janata Party = 71 , Indian National Congress = 2 , Samajwadi Party = 5 ,Apna Dal = 2
15
Uttarakhand
Bharatiya Janata Party = 5
16
West Bengal
Bharatiya Janata Party = 2 , Communist Party of India (Marxist) = 2 , Indian National Congress = 4 ,All India Trinamool Congress = 34
17
NCT of Delhi
Bharatiya Janata Party = 7

Modi As PM Predicted

Source

Similarity Between Exit Poll and Result

So as was predicted in exit poll ,does not differs. Narendra Damodar Das Modi was foretold to be the Prime Minister in this election and the result proved the fortune-telling. Bharatiya Janata Party as a single party white washed other party's dream to make central government in Delhi.As a single party it held two hundred and eighty two seats alone.India National Congress only managed to get 44 Loksabha seats in total.It is the worst result ever for this national party .Thus the prediction proves to be true.

2014 Loksabha Result

Source

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