ArtsAutosBooksBusinessEducationEntertainmentFamilyFashionFoodGamesGenderHealthHolidaysHomeHubPagesPersonal FinancePetsPoliticsReligionSportsTechnologyTravel

Hillary vs Trump: Volatile Times Ahead?

Updated on November 4, 2016

In the run up to the 45th US President elections, there lies a great deal of uncertainty about the electoral outcome. In July earlier this year, Hillary Clinton made history when she became the first woman presidential nominee of a major US political party. On the flipside, his political adversary, Donald Trump is an animated character, has some unorthodox ideas, possesses an alarming temperament, shows absolute disinterest in learning public policies and sets up a rather perfunctory political campaign.

Emotions are running high and now all eyes are on Tuesday, November 8th when the voters will cast their votes to pick the head of government. A win for either of the candidates is expected to move the securities market to a great extent and make things uneasy even for the most seasoned investors. Let us have a quick look on some of the most evident impacts, based on the analysis of their electoral campaigns and the series of presidential debates.

1) Stock Market

Hillary Clinton is a known administrative player whose policies are expected to be in line with the current administration. With close ties to the Wall Street, she has managed to garner a strong support from top executives. She has received astounding donations from some of the corporate leaders, which gives off an impression that she is quite competent on economic issues, prepared to ease regulation and boost financial services. In numbers, she received twice as many donations from Fortune 100 CEOs than President Obama did in 2012. However, on the other side, Donald Trump not receiving any support from the Fortune 100 companies, with some CEO’s openly criticizing his policies speaks volumes about the wave of political risk he carries with himself.

When it comes to the energy sector, Hillary and Trump think along different tangents. While Hillary is a strong promoter of energy efficiency and supports renewable energy sources, Trump on the other hand is a vocal supporter of traditional energy sources like Coal. However, the performance of the energy sector will largely be determined by oil prices, which is predicated on the global demand and supply dynamics.

Both candidates have indicated a strong desire to boost infrastructure. Trump has asserted a pressing need to rebuild crumbling roads and bridges, while Clinton also has similar plans to push infrastructure spending. In all likelihood, Trump’s trade policies and his desire to bring back jobs from cheaper offshore location to the US could adversely impact technology, healthcare and agriculture industries, and thereby pushing the incremental costs to the consumers.

2) Bonds, Commodities, and FX Market

Donald Trump’s fiscal plans, specifically corporate tax rate cut from 35% to 15% will sharply increase deficits and the debt over the next decade. This will lead to a steepening of the yield curve and wider credit spreads.

Trump’s perspective on foreign affairs and the potential implications of his trade policies are likely to put a downward pressure on USD versus some of the other major international currencies. The impact of a Clinton win will likely be less severe as she is quite experienced, has previously served as the secretary of state and belongs to the same party as the incumbent President.

Gold, on the other hand, is expected to be on the rise, as the investors would run to safety, in an environment which will likely be characterized as uncertain in the near term.


    0 of 8192 characters used
    Post Comment

    No comments yet.


    This website uses cookies

    As a user in the EEA, your approval is needed on a few things. To provide a better website experience, uses cookies (and other similar technologies) and may collect, process, and share personal data. Please choose which areas of our service you consent to our doing so.

    For more information on managing or withdrawing consents and how we handle data, visit our Privacy Policy at:

    Show Details
    HubPages Device IDThis is used to identify particular browsers or devices when the access the service, and is used for security reasons.
    LoginThis is necessary to sign in to the HubPages Service.
    Google RecaptchaThis is used to prevent bots and spam. (Privacy Policy)
    AkismetThis is used to detect comment spam. (Privacy Policy)
    HubPages Google AnalyticsThis is used to provide data on traffic to our website, all personally identifyable data is anonymized. (Privacy Policy)
    HubPages Traffic PixelThis is used to collect data on traffic to articles and other pages on our site. Unless you are signed in to a HubPages account, all personally identifiable information is anonymized.
    Amazon Web ServicesThis is a cloud services platform that we used to host our service. (Privacy Policy)
    CloudflareThis is a cloud CDN service that we use to efficiently deliver files required for our service to operate such as javascript, cascading style sheets, images, and videos. (Privacy Policy)
    Google Hosted LibrariesJavascript software libraries such as jQuery are loaded at endpoints on the or domains, for performance and efficiency reasons. (Privacy Policy)
    Google Custom SearchThis is feature allows you to search the site. (Privacy Policy)
    Google MapsSome articles have Google Maps embedded in them. (Privacy Policy)
    Google ChartsThis is used to display charts and graphs on articles and the author center. (Privacy Policy)
    Google AdSense Host APIThis service allows you to sign up for or associate a Google AdSense account with HubPages, so that you can earn money from ads on your articles. No data is shared unless you engage with this feature. (Privacy Policy)
    Google YouTubeSome articles have YouTube videos embedded in them. (Privacy Policy)
    VimeoSome articles have Vimeo videos embedded in them. (Privacy Policy)
    PaypalThis is used for a registered author who enrolls in the HubPages Earnings program and requests to be paid via PayPal. No data is shared with Paypal unless you engage with this feature. (Privacy Policy)
    Facebook LoginYou can use this to streamline signing up for, or signing in to your Hubpages account. No data is shared with Facebook unless you engage with this feature. (Privacy Policy)
    MavenThis supports the Maven widget and search functionality. (Privacy Policy)
    Google AdSenseThis is an ad network. (Privacy Policy)
    Google DoubleClickGoogle provides ad serving technology and runs an ad network. (Privacy Policy)
    Index ExchangeThis is an ad network. (Privacy Policy)
    SovrnThis is an ad network. (Privacy Policy)
    Facebook AdsThis is an ad network. (Privacy Policy)
    Amazon Unified Ad MarketplaceThis is an ad network. (Privacy Policy)
    AppNexusThis is an ad network. (Privacy Policy)
    OpenxThis is an ad network. (Privacy Policy)
    Rubicon ProjectThis is an ad network. (Privacy Policy)
    TripleLiftThis is an ad network. (Privacy Policy)
    Say MediaWe partner with Say Media to deliver ad campaigns on our sites. (Privacy Policy)
    Remarketing PixelsWe may use remarketing pixels from advertising networks such as Google AdWords, Bing Ads, and Facebook in order to advertise the HubPages Service to people that have visited our sites.
    Conversion Tracking PixelsWe may use conversion tracking pixels from advertising networks such as Google AdWords, Bing Ads, and Facebook in order to identify when an advertisement has successfully resulted in the desired action, such as signing up for the HubPages Service or publishing an article on the HubPages Service.
    Author Google AnalyticsThis is used to provide traffic data and reports to the authors of articles on the HubPages Service. (Privacy Policy)
    ComscoreComScore is a media measurement and analytics company providing marketing data and analytics to enterprises, media and advertising agencies, and publishers. Non-consent will result in ComScore only processing obfuscated personal data. (Privacy Policy)
    Amazon Tracking PixelSome articles display amazon products as part of the Amazon Affiliate program, this pixel provides traffic statistics for those products (Privacy Policy)