ArtsAutosBooksBusinessEducationEntertainmentFamilyFashionFoodGamesGenderHealthHolidaysHomeHubPagesPersonal FinancePetsPoliticsReligionSportsTechnologyTravel

NATO and Russia Play With Missiles; Baltic States Shiver

Updated on October 8, 2017
UnnamedHarald profile image

I try to make history readable and interesting, warts and all. We must look to the past to understand the present and confront the future.

Map Showing Poland, the Baltic States and Russia

Northeast Europe. Red - Kaliningrad Oblast; Light Red: Russia Proper; Light Blue: Lithuania, Latvia, Estonia; Blue: Poland.
Northeast Europe. Red - Kaliningrad Oblast; Light Red: Russia Proper; Light Blue: Lithuania, Latvia, Estonia; Blue: Poland. | Source

Missile Shield in Poland

There has been another move in the chess game between NATO and Russia involving the placement of missiles in Eastern Europe.

NATO has been planning to install anti-missile missiles in Poland to act as a shield against a hypothetical Iranian intercontinental ballistic missile attack against the U.S. east coast. Such an attack would have to track over Eastern Europe. Russia sees this as a provocation, stating that the real purpose is to move such installations closer to Russia under the pretense of an Iranian attack. NATO has assured them that Russia is not an enemy-- the Cold War is over. On the other hand, Russia was also reassured that none of the former Soviet republics would be offered NATO membership, but Poland and the Baltic states are now members.

Russian Offensive Missiles in Kaliningrad?

Iskander missile range when deployed in kaliningrad.
Iskander missile range when deployed in kaliningrad. | Source

Missiles in the Kaliningrad Oblast

One problem for NATO is that, while the bulk of Russia lies beyond Estonia, Latvia, Belarus and Ukraine, there is an isolated tiny bit of Russia on the Baltic coast between Poland and Lithuania called the Kaliningrad Oblast (oblast is similar to “zone”). It is the western-most part of Russia, surrounded by NATO countries and is home to the Russian Baltic Fleet. Russia announced in January 2012 that it is deploying an S-400 Triumph anti-aircraft missile system in the Kaliningrad Oblast in April 2012. The S-400 has twice the range of the U.S. Patriot missile. It would be difficult for NATO to complain about a Russian missile shield, but the Russians also threaten to deploy offensive Iskander missiles in the oblast, which are considered to be among the most advanced surface-to-surface missiles available today. With a range of over 300 miles, Iskander missiles could target most of Poland and parts of Germany. Iskanders can carry 1,000 pound payloads such as cluster, blast-fragmentation, penetration or electronic magnetic pulse warheads. They can also carry unconventional tactical nuclear warheads.

Missile Transporter

Transporter erector launcher "Iskander-E" with two missiles and "Tochka-U" launcher (background). 2 Feb 2008
Transporter erector launcher "Iskander-E" with two missiles and "Tochka-U" launcher (background). 2 Feb 2008 | Source

Lithuania, Latvia and Estonia

While all this maneuvering is going on, Lithuania, Latvia and Estonia look on with great unease. These Baltic states, while part of NATO, find themselves quite exposed, with Russian territory to their east and to their south. Like children of divorced parents-- and preferring one parent over the other-- they fear for their future. With a total population of 6.3 million people and military forces of 20,500, they are too small to protect themselves and they remember all too well the Soviet occupation of more than 45 years. They have experienced cyber attacks allegedly from Russia when the bear was displeased with their actions. They are subject to airspace violations by Russian fighters and bombers. Their air forces are not adequate so other NATO countries take turns protecting their airspace and escorting intruders away. Exposed as they are, it is only recently that NATO has begun to address how to protect these small countries on or near Russia's border from their large neighbor's aggression.

SAM Missiles

S-400 (SAM) Triumf (SA-21) at a rehearsal of the Victory Parade May 4, 2010.
S-400 (SAM) Triumf (SA-21) at a rehearsal of the Victory Parade May 4, 2010. | Source

Article 5

All this leads to NATO's biggest problem: Article 5, which states, in part: “The Parties agree that an armed attack against one or more of them in Europe or North America shall be considered an attack against them all and consequently they agree that, if such an armed attack occurs, each of them... will assist the Party or Parties so attacked by taking forthwith, individually and in concert with the other Parties, such action as it deems necessary, including the use of armed force, to restore and maintain the security of the North Atlantic area.” In other words, if Russia were to attack, say Estonia, either the NATO countries would be at war with Russia or, having found a loophole that allows inaction, NATO would become ineffective as an organization.

The term “Cold War” was coined to mean “Not a Hot War”. I wonder what the term is for “Not a Cold War”?


Update: March 12, 2012

A spokeswoman for the US Pentagon has apparently confirmed that the US is now willing to disclose classified information regarding the proposed missile shield in Eastern Europe, which might possibly solve the impasse. Russians say if they get information on missile speed they could determine whether the shield poses a threat to them. It was noted, however, that the upcoming American election could stand in the way of such a disclosure as the Republicans accuse President Obama of being too soft on the Russians.

© 2012 David Hunt

Comments

    0 of 8192 characters used
    Post Comment

    • UnnamedHarald profile imageAUTHOR

      David Hunt 

      6 years ago from Cedar Rapids, Iowa

      Thanks for the great comment, Larry. My speculation-- and it's pure speculation-- is that either NATO also wants to prepare for a "resurgent Russia" (a phrase we're hearing more and more of lately) or that NATO wants to say to Russia, "If you want us to remove the shield, get on board and pressure Iran to stop developing nuclear weapons". Thanks also for the vote-up.

    • Larry Fields profile image

      Larry Fields 

      6 years ago from Northern California

      Great hub! Voted up and interesting. You wrote:

      "NATO has been planning to install anti-missile missiles in Poland to act as a shield against a hypothetical Iranian intercontinental ballistic missile attack against the U.S. east coast."

      If I remember correctly, the original rationale for the ABMs in Poland was to protect Western Europe from an Iranian missile attack, that most Europeans were not particularly concerned about this possibility, and that Poland's primary motivation was to suck up to the US.

      This is beginning to sound like 'mission creep'. If you don't mind speculating a bit, what are the REAL motivations of the US military planners? Are they simply trying to jump-start the "down but not out" Cold War, in order to maintain their funding?

    working

    This website uses cookies

    As a user in the EEA, your approval is needed on a few things. To provide a better website experience, hubpages.com uses cookies (and other similar technologies) and may collect, process, and share personal data. Please choose which areas of our service you consent to our doing so.

    For more information on managing or withdrawing consents and how we handle data, visit our Privacy Policy at: https://hubpages.com/privacy-policy#gdpr

    Show Details
    Necessary
    HubPages Device IDThis is used to identify particular browsers or devices when the access the service, and is used for security reasons.
    LoginThis is necessary to sign in to the HubPages Service.
    Google RecaptchaThis is used to prevent bots and spam. (Privacy Policy)
    AkismetThis is used to detect comment spam. (Privacy Policy)
    HubPages Google AnalyticsThis is used to provide data on traffic to our website, all personally identifyable data is anonymized. (Privacy Policy)
    HubPages Traffic PixelThis is used to collect data on traffic to articles and other pages on our site. Unless you are signed in to a HubPages account, all personally identifiable information is anonymized.
    Amazon Web ServicesThis is a cloud services platform that we used to host our service. (Privacy Policy)
    CloudflareThis is a cloud CDN service that we use to efficiently deliver files required for our service to operate such as javascript, cascading style sheets, images, and videos. (Privacy Policy)
    Google Hosted LibrariesJavascript software libraries such as jQuery are loaded at endpoints on the googleapis.com or gstatic.com domains, for performance and efficiency reasons. (Privacy Policy)
    Features
    Google Custom SearchThis is feature allows you to search the site. (Privacy Policy)
    Google MapsSome articles have Google Maps embedded in them. (Privacy Policy)
    Google ChartsThis is used to display charts and graphs on articles and the author center. (Privacy Policy)
    Google AdSense Host APIThis service allows you to sign up for or associate a Google AdSense account with HubPages, so that you can earn money from ads on your articles. No data is shared unless you engage with this feature. (Privacy Policy)
    Google YouTubeSome articles have YouTube videos embedded in them. (Privacy Policy)
    VimeoSome articles have Vimeo videos embedded in them. (Privacy Policy)
    PaypalThis is used for a registered author who enrolls in the HubPages Earnings program and requests to be paid via PayPal. No data is shared with Paypal unless you engage with this feature. (Privacy Policy)
    Facebook LoginYou can use this to streamline signing up for, or signing in to your Hubpages account. No data is shared with Facebook unless you engage with this feature. (Privacy Policy)
    MavenThis supports the Maven widget and search functionality. (Privacy Policy)
    Marketing
    Google AdSenseThis is an ad network. (Privacy Policy)
    Google DoubleClickGoogle provides ad serving technology and runs an ad network. (Privacy Policy)
    Index ExchangeThis is an ad network. (Privacy Policy)
    SovrnThis is an ad network. (Privacy Policy)
    Facebook AdsThis is an ad network. (Privacy Policy)
    Amazon Unified Ad MarketplaceThis is an ad network. (Privacy Policy)
    AppNexusThis is an ad network. (Privacy Policy)
    OpenxThis is an ad network. (Privacy Policy)
    Rubicon ProjectThis is an ad network. (Privacy Policy)
    TripleLiftThis is an ad network. (Privacy Policy)
    Say MediaWe partner with Say Media to deliver ad campaigns on our sites. (Privacy Policy)
    Remarketing PixelsWe may use remarketing pixels from advertising networks such as Google AdWords, Bing Ads, and Facebook in order to advertise the HubPages Service to people that have visited our sites.
    Conversion Tracking PixelsWe may use conversion tracking pixels from advertising networks such as Google AdWords, Bing Ads, and Facebook in order to identify when an advertisement has successfully resulted in the desired action, such as signing up for the HubPages Service or publishing an article on the HubPages Service.
    Statistics
    Author Google AnalyticsThis is used to provide traffic data and reports to the authors of articles on the HubPages Service. (Privacy Policy)
    ComscoreComScore is a media measurement and analytics company providing marketing data and analytics to enterprises, media and advertising agencies, and publishers. Non-consent will result in ComScore only processing obfuscated personal data. (Privacy Policy)
    Amazon Tracking PixelSome articles display amazon products as part of the Amazon Affiliate program, this pixel provides traffic statistics for those products (Privacy Policy)