ArtsAutosBooksBusinessEducationEntertainmentFamilyFashionFoodGamesGenderHealthHolidaysHomeHubPagesPersonal FinancePetsPoliticsReligionSportsTechnologyTravel

Relax, the Country Isn't Turning to the Right. Lack of Enthusiasm for Hillary, Not Trump Strength, Cost the Election

Updated on November 10, 2016


Contrary to alarming perceptions put forth in the major media contending that Donald Trump's stunning victory this week portends a swing to the right in US politics, voter turnout figures compared to past years suggest otherwise. The numbers show that it was lack of enthusiasm for Hillary Clinton, rather than any particular enthusiasm for Donald Trump, which cost Democrats the election.

In 2008 Obama garnered 69 million votes nationwide to best John McCain's 60 million. In 2012 Obama beat Mitt Romney by 6 million votes, with a total of about 66 million votes marked "Democrat." But in the recent election, Hillary Clinton pulled only a little over 60 million in the popular vote, about the same as Donald Trump or even a little more as the final vote continues to be updated. In fact, Clinton may be the second presidential candidate since Al Gore to edge the popular vote but lose the White House, a result of the Electoral College system.

What this means is that it wasn't Trump's strength, but Clinton's weakness in the polling places which cost the Democratic party the election. Nearly 10 million people less voted Democrat in 2016 than in 2008, and 6 million fewer than in 2012.

Given that the total number of registered voters remained the same or increased slightly, 15% fewer people voted Democrat in 2016 than in 2008. The conclusion cannot be escaped that many of the people who voted Democrat in 2008 and in 2016 either stayed home or voted for Trump.

The Washington Post reports that, across the US, "Of the nearly 700 counties that twice sent Obama to the White House, a stunning one-third flipped to support Trump." Since that many people are unlikely to change their fundamental political value system overnight, one must ask if many votes for Trump were not in fact, more accurately, votes against Hillary.

Below: Total numbers of Democrat and Republican presidential votes compared.

Thus it is spectacularly disingenuous for Democrats and the media to suggest that it was the Green Party's Jill Stein with her 1% of the vote who denied Hillary her victory. In an election against the controversial Trump, the Democrats could not even rally nearly the same number of votes as in 2008 or 2012, against far less polarizing figures.

Trump was not particularly strong or popular. Rather, enthusiasm for Hillary was terribly weak.

The numbers should give solace to those fearful of a sudden hard turn to the xenophobic, culturally conservative right in our nation's politics. The fact is that total turn-out was significantly lower than either 2008 or 2012. Trump did about the same as McCain and Romney in previous elections, but the Democrats could not muster many previous supporters to vote for Hillary.


    0 of 8192 characters used
    Post Comment

    No comments yet.


    This website uses cookies

    As a user in the EEA, your approval is needed on a few things. To provide a better website experience, uses cookies (and other similar technologies) and may collect, process, and share personal data. Please choose which areas of our service you consent to our doing so.

    For more information on managing or withdrawing consents and how we handle data, visit our Privacy Policy at:

    Show Details
    HubPages Device IDThis is used to identify particular browsers or devices when the access the service, and is used for security reasons.
    LoginThis is necessary to sign in to the HubPages Service.
    Google RecaptchaThis is used to prevent bots and spam. (Privacy Policy)
    AkismetThis is used to detect comment spam. (Privacy Policy)
    HubPages Google AnalyticsThis is used to provide data on traffic to our website, all personally identifyable data is anonymized. (Privacy Policy)
    HubPages Traffic PixelThis is used to collect data on traffic to articles and other pages on our site. Unless you are signed in to a HubPages account, all personally identifiable information is anonymized.
    Amazon Web ServicesThis is a cloud services platform that we used to host our service. (Privacy Policy)
    CloudflareThis is a cloud CDN service that we use to efficiently deliver files required for our service to operate such as javascript, cascading style sheets, images, and videos. (Privacy Policy)
    Google Hosted LibrariesJavascript software libraries such as jQuery are loaded at endpoints on the or domains, for performance and efficiency reasons. (Privacy Policy)
    Google Custom SearchThis is feature allows you to search the site. (Privacy Policy)
    Google MapsSome articles have Google Maps embedded in them. (Privacy Policy)
    Google ChartsThis is used to display charts and graphs on articles and the author center. (Privacy Policy)
    Google AdSense Host APIThis service allows you to sign up for or associate a Google AdSense account with HubPages, so that you can earn money from ads on your articles. No data is shared unless you engage with this feature. (Privacy Policy)
    Google YouTubeSome articles have YouTube videos embedded in them. (Privacy Policy)
    VimeoSome articles have Vimeo videos embedded in them. (Privacy Policy)
    PaypalThis is used for a registered author who enrolls in the HubPages Earnings program and requests to be paid via PayPal. No data is shared with Paypal unless you engage with this feature. (Privacy Policy)
    Facebook LoginYou can use this to streamline signing up for, or signing in to your Hubpages account. No data is shared with Facebook unless you engage with this feature. (Privacy Policy)
    MavenThis supports the Maven widget and search functionality. (Privacy Policy)
    Google AdSenseThis is an ad network. (Privacy Policy)
    Google DoubleClickGoogle provides ad serving technology and runs an ad network. (Privacy Policy)
    Index ExchangeThis is an ad network. (Privacy Policy)
    SovrnThis is an ad network. (Privacy Policy)
    Facebook AdsThis is an ad network. (Privacy Policy)
    Amazon Unified Ad MarketplaceThis is an ad network. (Privacy Policy)
    AppNexusThis is an ad network. (Privacy Policy)
    OpenxThis is an ad network. (Privacy Policy)
    Rubicon ProjectThis is an ad network. (Privacy Policy)
    TripleLiftThis is an ad network. (Privacy Policy)
    Say MediaWe partner with Say Media to deliver ad campaigns on our sites. (Privacy Policy)
    Remarketing PixelsWe may use remarketing pixels from advertising networks such as Google AdWords, Bing Ads, and Facebook in order to advertise the HubPages Service to people that have visited our sites.
    Conversion Tracking PixelsWe may use conversion tracking pixels from advertising networks such as Google AdWords, Bing Ads, and Facebook in order to identify when an advertisement has successfully resulted in the desired action, such as signing up for the HubPages Service or publishing an article on the HubPages Service.
    Author Google AnalyticsThis is used to provide traffic data and reports to the authors of articles on the HubPages Service. (Privacy Policy)
    ComscoreComScore is a media measurement and analytics company providing marketing data and analytics to enterprises, media and advertising agencies, and publishers. Non-consent will result in ComScore only processing obfuscated personal data. (Privacy Policy)
    Amazon Tracking PixelSome articles display amazon products as part of the Amazon Affiliate program, this pixel provides traffic statistics for those products (Privacy Policy)