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Taliban-Us Peace Accord: a Defeat for America

Updated on March 4, 2020
emge profile image

An senior air warrior and political observer who has the pulse of the region and can sense a change when it comes.

Background

Donald Trump became president of the United States on the slogan ' make America great' This slogan has not translated to reality outside the United States. It's a good slogan for home consumption but has little meaning to America's allies who have been left high and dry. A great nation does not go round signing peace accords with an organization that has been labeled as a terrorist entity for close to two decades.

Afghanistan was always a difficult difficult proposition because of its inhospitable climate and mountainous terrain. It has been a land difficult to subdue. The British tried it for close to 100 years and failed. The Russians came in next in 1978 but by a combination of factors, not the least of which was the American support for extremist Muslim organizations like the Taliban and other Wahhabi groups led to their defeat.

The Russian went away but were replaced by a hardline Islamic regime led by the Taliban. This regime believed in the spread of Islam by terror and accordingly give support to Al Qaeda. This organization hit the world trade towers and nearly 3000 Americans were killed. America woke up to the fact that it had created a Frankenstein monster and launched an attack on the Taliban regime of Afghanistan.

President George Bush ordered an attack on the Taliban in Afghanistan. The Taliban were ousted from Kabul but escaped into the mountains and many escaped to Pakistan where they were welcomed. This was part of the dual policy of the Pakistan government of running with the hares and hunting with the hounds.

The American army fighting the Taliban in Afghanistan had one hand tied behind his back as a part of the Taliban received succor and support from Pakistan. For some reason, the US presidents did not recognise this fact resulting in nearly 3000 Americans being killed in Afghanistan. At that time the United States and the United Nations declared the Taliban a terrorist organization and put a bounty on the heads of the Taliban leaders. Most of these leaders had been given refuge in Pakistan.

The failure to tackle the terrorist havens in Pakistan led to a resurgence of the Taliban which began to become increasingly belligerent. It occupied a fairly large part of the territory in Afghanistan. The United States also was losing its will to fight and the body bags were mounting. With no sign of a victory, President Donald Trump decided to have direct negotiations with the Taliban bypassing the de facto government of Afghanistan led by President Ghani. To facilitate this discussion they relied on Pakistan which has a direct link with the Taliban.

It is unheard in the annals of warfare and world history where a powerful nation like the United States entered into negotiations with a terrorist organization to secure peace. Many knowledgeable persons have commented that this peace is going to be elusive and President Trump has fallen into his trap. The US and Taliban have now signed a peace agreement at Doha in Qatar but a look at the agreement shows that it is a one-sided agreement. It means that America will withdraw its troops from Afghanistan to facilitate negotiations between the Afghan government and the Taliban.

Even a child knows that this agreement is not worth the paper on which it is written. Just after signing of the accord the Taliban have shown their face by attacking a football match in Kabul in which three people have been killed. President Trump will be on the horns of a dilemma as to what to do next.

The Taliban has already announced that it may not attack the US troops but it will continue its battle against government forces.


The Doha Accord

The peace deal has now been signed and it hinges on many imponderables. The biggest flaw in the deal is the Afghan government is not a party to it. One of the points in the agreement is that the Afghan government will release 5000 Taliban fighters in its custody. This has been flatly rejected by President Ghani and thus the first part of the agreement is not fulfilled.

The agreement also lays down a time table for the withdrawal of all US troops from Afganistan and during this process, the Taliban will observe a cease-fire and have negotiations with the Ghani government.

The ceasefire has already been broken as the Taliban have attacked government troops and carried out a terrorist attack on a football match in Kabul killing three Afghan civilians. The writing is on the wall that the US must go and the Taliban will establish its own rule.

Within two days of the signing of the peace accord, the Taliban has rejected the ceasefire against the Afghan army as well as carried out a terrorist attack on a football match in Kabul.

Many knowledgeable military analysts have opined that the Taliban which is a terrorist organization will not carry out its part of the deal and the agreement is not worth the paper on which it is written. Many commentators have also brought out the fact that the Taliban is an obscurantist organization that believes in a form of Islam which includes suppression of the rights of women and minorities. How the United States will reconcile the differences has not been explained.

One has a lurking feeling that all President Trump wants is to win the 2020 election. He is not concerned with the American prestige abroad or in Afghanistan. It also shows that the United States at critical moments of its history has thrown in the towel like it did in Vietnam.

Comparison with Vietnam

It's worth comparing the battle in Afghanistan with Vietnam. President Nixon who negotiated the peace deal with North Vietnam had a similar agreement with them. They were (North Vietnam) supposed to be negotiations between north and south Vietnam after the Americans withdrew.

Nothing of the sort happened and after the Americans withdrew North Vietnam attacked South Vietnam in full force and captured Saigon. We had a graphic picture of the last Americans escaping by helicopter from the roof of the American embassy. It was a sad spectacle.

Nixon at that time was embroiled in the Watergate scandal and he just allowed the South Vietnam government to collapse which they had promised to defend.

Another major difference is in the type of the enemy which the Americans were facing. In Vietnam, they faced a Communist force led by Ho Chi Minh. We must understand that Ho Chi Minh had been educated in Moscow and Paris. He was a man with a modern outlook who looked ahead. After the Americans left he took Vietnam forward to the 21st century. He did not believe in obscurantist ideas and suppression of women and minorities.

The Taliban on the other hand, unlike Ho Chi Minh, is an extremely narrow-minded extremist organization. Even in the agreement, it is specified that all the dealings will be as per the Islamic law. Islami law has many versions. We have a modern version in Turkey and a highly Wahhabi function under Taliban rule. The battle in Vietnam and Afghanistan may be militarily similar but the political repercussions are different.


Last Word

The US President Donald Trump has signed an agreement solely with the 2020 election in mind. He wants to show to his supporters that he has kept his manifesto in mind and withdrawn American troops from abroad. The overall repercussions of this retreat from Afghanistan will affect American standing in the long run. Most allies can see the writing on the wall. The South Koreans will also worry that he could make a deal with Kim and escape. In between, there was the adventure in Iraq where the US is now persona non grata.

One is reminded of the fall of the great empire of Emperor Ashoka. The empire lost the will to fight and disintegrated within 50 years of his death. America has to see the writing on the wall and I am afraid until there is a reversal, this throwing in the towel will affect the US standing in the world polity of nations. It could also mean the end of the dream of global domination.

Comments

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    • emge profile imageAUTHOR

      MG Singh 

      2 months ago from Singapore

      Thank you Manatita

    • manatita44 profile image

      manatita44 

      3 months ago from london

      Sweetttt!

      You have the inborn capacity to do so. Ya Allah, Ya Hafiz, la ilaha ila lah!

    • emge profile imageAUTHOR

      MG Singh 

      3 months ago from Singapore

      Manatita, thank you sir. Yes, the Pir is a Sufi . I shall write about him. Thank you for your suggestion.

    • manatita44 profile image

      manatita44 

      3 months ago from london

      Very nice. I know of this order. They are Sufis. The Sheik has been to London. There's a small group here. Persevere.

      Write some spiritual articles. it will help you

      om Shanti!

    • emge profile imageAUTHOR

      MG Singh 

      3 months ago from Singapore

      Yes, Manatita, I do meditate and follow a Pir named Sayyed Nasirruddin Badshmiya Nakshbandi Qadri. He hs a man with ESP and is my guide where ever I am. Yes, perhaps you are right that more spiritualism is required in my life. Thank you for all that you do for me.

    • manatita44 profile image

      manatita44 

      3 months ago from london

      Netarji had vision and was influenced by Vivekananda. His ideas was far superior to others I won't name but you know who they are. India had some really great patriots who suffered for the cause of Bharat Mata.

      Still, what is, is. We are in evolution and what ever happens, according to Guruji is ultimately sanctioned, approved or tolerated by the Divine.

      Do you meditate? Do you know the story of the Seer who loved women so much that he swam on a snake to get to his lover, thinking it was a log in the night. Haha. She said that if he gave God that kind of devotion, he'd make tremendous progress. This hit him like a knife and he changed immediately!

      You have such rare gifts and an attentive mind. Have you thought of just pointing towards heaven? Perhaps you have. Run, in the inner world, like Paul did in the Christian scriptures, with lightening speed! Hari Om Tat Sat!

    • emge profile imageAUTHOR

      MG Singh 

      3 months ago from Singapore

      Mantita, you are a man closer to the higher realms of wisdom.its an education to readvyour comments. You are right the motive for this war in Afghanistan is important and needed amplification.

    • emge profile imageAUTHOR

      MG Singh 

      3 months ago from Singapore

      Manatita, your comment is in the higher realm of the mind.Yes, I have an ache as far as Pakistan is concerned . It appears so close yet is far from us.

    • emge profile imageAUTHOR

      MG Singh 

      3 months ago from Singapore

      Kyler, you have an incisive mind and its a pleasure to read your analysis.Reading your comments is a learning process for me.

    • Kyler J Falk profile image

      Kyler J Falk 

      3 months ago from Corona, CA

      Indubitably, quite the site to gaze upon. I was referring to myself as the self-proclaimed scholar as well, not Emge, he seems to be much more involved than myself and I'd never want to invalidate his experience.

    • manatita44 profile image

      manatita44 

      3 months ago from london

      'Self-proclaimed scholar?' Emge is a good man with experience, who is generally quite balanced. I think the Pakistan situation hurts him somewhat, but it hurt many spiritual figures who felt that India would be better as one nation.

      Now I have said enough, like you, this is not my forte, but it is still Consciousness, which is God and there is nothing outside of the Divine. Hence all within Spirit has its usefulness.

      Being a scholar in the sense of a silent witness to Love's Divine Drama, is such a beautiful place to be! You can work and not work; move and still be still! Laugh at life, Bro. Isn't it beautiful?

    • Kyler J Falk profile image

      Kyler J Falk 

      3 months ago from Corona, CA

      As a self-proclaimed scholar I'd rather sit between the fighting sides rather than choosing a side, Manatita; I appreciate your compliment, and may we all continue to observe and learn from one another.

    • manatita44 profile image

      manatita44 

      3 months ago from london

      Kyler shows a lot of wisdom and in fact I'm surprised he is giving you so much.

      You are such a brilliant writer! Yet occasionally you forget that like a good detective story, motive is imperative in war and that we have had centuries of practice in clandestine operations.

      Add greed and power to the table and do not always believe even what you seem to think you see. Om Shanti!

    • emge profile imageAUTHOR

      MG Singh 

      3 months ago from Singapore

      Flourish Anyway, thank you for your comment. Trump is in for a tough time now.

    • emge profile imageAUTHOR

      MG Singh 

      3 months ago from Singapore

      Dreamer Meg, thank you for your thoughtful comment.

    • emge profile imageAUTHOR

      MG Singh 

      3 months ago from Singapore

      Hello Kyler, I agree it could be a "Çalculated mistake." The peace agreement ? There are reports that the USAF has retaliated against Taliban targets. Let's see what gamble Trump has taken. Thank you for commenting

    • FlourishAnyway profile image

      FlourishAnyway 

      3 months ago from USA

      Donald Trump is attempting to appeal to his narrow base which is a minority of Americans. He is widely mocked at home as a poor leader, and negotiating with terrorists was a surprising unfortunate move to me. I expect the deal to fall through entirely.

    • DreamerMeg profile image

      DreamerMeg 

      3 months ago from Northern Ireland

      Politics are very difficult. There are so many points to take into consideration. I believe the main aim of US politics is to keep the oil flowing for America. If a war allows this, it is fought, though the given reasons will be totally different from that. If a war does not have any oil (or other advantage for the US), then it will not be fought. I even suspect that the US foments wars in order to side with (their version of) democracy and bring any dissenting governments into like to follow the US position.

    • Kyler J Falk profile image

      Kyler J Falk 

      3 months ago from Corona, CA

      I don't disagree as far as it being a mistake, but I think it is most accurately described as a "calculated mistake" or "taking the lesser of two evils" when considering what could occur in the long-term. Having been in the military myself I have carried out orders such as these, and the case is most often that siding with the enemy is just an "enemy of my enemy" situation. I mean I've had American friends sitting in a Russian spec-ops base as we bomb it because they established it in territories we claimed... things don't seem to make sense in these things very often.

      Keep your eyes to military movements, my prediction is a mild withdrawal and then follow-up with special forces and accompanying "security forces" numbering over ten-thousand. Then the peace accord will collapse when we "accidentally" engage the Taliban once more.

    • emge profile imageAUTHOR

      MG Singh 

      3 months ago from Singapore

      Kyler J Falk, you have raised interesting points that need to be examined. Overall I don't see this peace deal going anywhere and as I am not a crystal gazer, I can only surmise and say that it looks like a mistake at the moment. Perhaps America would have won the war in case they had neutralized Pakistan which all along played a double game. Trump saw through it but.... didnt follow up.

    • emge profile imageAUTHOR

      MG Singh 

      3 months ago from Singapore

      Thank you Manatita for your comment.

    • emge profile imageAUTHOR

      MG Singh 

      3 months ago from Singapore

      Thank you, Pamela. As an air force pilot who took part in operations I will say the war is a terrible thing to happen. I will also say that the word chivalry does not exist in organizations like the Taliban and sooner than later they are going to pose a threat to the world. I wish like in Vietnam the general staff had not been handicapped by their inability to bomb terror sanctuaries in Pakistan,.If that had happened America would have won the war.

    • Kyler J Falk profile image

      Kyler J Falk 

      3 months ago from Corona, CA

      I have a distaste for these types of topics but I'll speculate on it because I'm feeling frisky today. I'm not sure I wholly agree that this occurred to influence the elections, as it goes against most demographics here in America who do not agree with peace with a terrorist organization and I would imagine is causing his popularity to drop on both sides of the spectrum, though I could imagine it playing well with moderates.

      As for the goal behind all this I would imagine we have an ongoing intelligence operation, or counterintelligence, that requires we have a time of peace with the Taliban so as to let operators and agents move freely in Taliban territory without the worry of major retaliations such as we've done in the past with the Sunni and Shiite peoples, the Russians, the Palestinians, etc. ad nauseam.

      The most recent incursion where we should have had some sort of peace accord with the local authorities was in Africa I believe, where we lost multiple special forces operators and the entire world was shocked that we were even running operations in the area to begin with as we were thought to have had no business there.

      I'd advise looking at this from that perspective though, the perspective that this is for ongoing operations as that is most likely the case. You'll soon see the tides change, just as they always do, but for now this is what our operators need. Perhaps the issues in Syria had an influence due to the forced migrations allowing a better cover for foreign agents to move about elsewhere....

      So many possibilities, but this is the most likely case.

    • Pamela99 profile image

      Pamela Oglesby 

      3 months ago from Sunny Florida

      This is an interesting opinion article and it is tough to know what will happen next, Emge. I know many U.S. people want an end to this war as so many have died, plus we have been there such a long time. Russia was there for about 10 years just before us.

      I agree Vietnam is a disgrace. President Johnson also kept that war going but the soldiers fought with one hand behind their backs. My husband fought there and the decisions the brass made were not appreciated by many men.

      Wars are so awful and I don't think the Taliban will keep their word. I think they already backed out of a prisoner exchange. It is not a good situation for anyone I guess.

    • manatita44 profile image

      manatita44 

      3 months ago from london

      Interesting one, Emge. let us wait and see.

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