The Mueller Investigation
Introduction
After almost two years of investigation, among leaks, and hearings, and secret spying...Robert Mueller has not found any crime so far. What now?
- Nov. 2018
Background
The surprise election win of President Trump in 2016 started our country down this path of an investigation by a special prosecutor. Make no mistake about it. If Hillary Clintoon was elected, you would not hear another word of Russian collusion.
The investigation was initiated under James Comey of the FBI and some of his top lieutenants. The origin was a Russian dossier having leveled some incredible charges against then candidate Trump. This lead to the FISA court to approve secret investigation of some US citizens working in the Trump campaign. The big question was did Trump or any of his top staff members, colluded with some Russian agents to steal or affect the outcome of the election of 2016?
A View From 10,000 Feet
All politics aside, what can we say about this investigation.
There are these observations. The FBI and the DOJ are the key investigation tools here. They have spent almost two years, with many staff and spent a bundle of money... If the top investigative agency cannot find evidence of a crime, what can we conclude?
There are three possibilities.
1. The target of the investigation, Mr. Trump, was so smart and ellusive, he was able avoid getting caught.
2. The FBI and DOJ, with all their top agents and lawyers and resources are unable to find any evidence therefore they are either incompetent or...
3. There was no crime in the first place.
Occam’s Razor.
Occam’s Razor
Occam's razor (also Ockham's razor or Ocham's razor; Latin: lex parsimoniae "law of parsimony") is the problem-solving principle that the simplest solution tends to be the correct one. When presented with competing hypotheses to solve a problem, one should select the solution with the fewest assumptions. The idea is attributed to William of Ockham(c. 1287–1347), who was an English Franciscan friar, scholastic philosopher, and theologian.
In this case, you have to ask some basic questions.
How come our top intelligence community cannot find any evidence? The NSA, the CIA, the FBI and other top agencies, with all their secret monitoring of conversations and digital communications, have not produced one incidence of collusion.
Are they so incompetent, or is Trump so smart, or there just is nothing there?
What Has Recent History Taught Us?
There is something to be said about possibilities number 2. These agencies have a history of either willful misconduct or incompetency. The FBI and other intellegence agencies have been politicized in recent years.
A case in point. The investigation into Hillary’s miss handling of confidential information and her private email server.
In this case, there were plenty of hard evidence. There were many players. There were plenty of digital audit trails and bread crumbs. There were whistle blowers willing to testify. Yet, after many investigations and congressional hearings, the FBI director, James Comey, gave a long news conference outlining all the evidence and then proceeded to conclude there was no crime committed and exonerated Hillary Clinton.
When it walks like a duck and talk like a duck...it is a duck. No amount of investigstion would change that opinion.
Time To Put Up or Shut Up...
Now that the mid-term election is over, it is time for Robert Mueller to move forward. He either has the evident to move forward with an indictment or conclude his investigstion with a summary report. All americans should demand this. I want to know what went on. If there is high crime and misdemeanor commited by Trump, I want him impeached. On the other hand, if there was no evidence, I want the report to state so.
We cannot have indefinite investigation going on and on. Our justice system of due process and fairness demands it.
© 2018 Jack Lee