Will Peak Oil Collapse Civilization As We Know It?

Have just posted an article on where I see Peak Oil taking us.

Whether or not peak oil exists as a fact is in a way immaterial. We have set ourselves up as a civilization that is over-dependant on a single energy source. Solar energy, geo-thermal, and wind-power have all yet to be exploited to their fullest potential.If people could only focus on making themselves more self-sufficient and more independant then humanity as a whole will fair better in the years to come.

My big fear is that governments will continue to meddle, to centralise, to over-see the de-skilling of their voters all in the name of progress. Then when (for whatever reason) the oil prices escalate out of control and food becomes too costly to transport, and medical services are so centralised that no-one can afford to travel to them, then that's when we will begin to suffer world-wide civil insurrection.

Governments all operate according to their own agenda of course, and not always with an eye on the law of unintended consequences. Which is bad news for humanity I guess.

Hi Plegrove. Wouldn't that be ironic, if we managed to overcome the issue of Peak Oil, only to vanish under the steadily rising oceans, or suffer dreadful privations because of unrelenting freak weather conditions. Not a pleasing scenario. Personally I like to always take an optimistic viewpoint, and I'm so encouraged by the amount of activity going on to counter the threat of Peak Oil. I think that communication is the key, and with such a powerful tool as the Internet at our fingertips, new technologies should spread quickly and effectively.

http://tonto.eia.doe.gov/dnav/pet/hist/mcrfpus1m.h... a graph of US oil production since 1920. Peak oil is very real, that graph shows how US oil production peaked in 1971-1972 and has declined since. The US used to be one of the world's main oil producers. Mexican, Norwegian and British oil production is all in decline now. The last oil fields to decline will be in the Middle East and Canada. Chinese coal use is so large that China will deplete its coal within 30 years.

There is no solution to Peak Oil. Yes we should ramp up solar, wind, geothermal, wave, etc etc. But be under no delusions, we will not be able to replace the energy of declining oil with any of these, we will have to cut back on our energy consumption......by a large margin which will increase over time until we are back to the point where energy consumption will be limited to essential things.....for the average house, that would be.....refrigeration and lights....no air con.....no big flat screen tvs.....no dvds.....no electric this and electric that. Another alternative would be ever decreasing population. In any case......all alternatives.....including nuclear.....rely on massive amounts of oil for there existence....try building a nuclear power plant without oil inputs.....try extracting silicon and other materials for manufacturing solar panels..or anything else......without oil.....we could not mine anything anymore without oil......gone are the days when picks and shovels and manual labor can mine metals or coal....all the easy stuff is gone......you need massive trucks and earth moving equipment and explosives and massive power consuming plants to extract metals from very low grade ores found very deep beneath the surface. Our ability to manufacture "anything" will decline with oils decline....so there will be no massive ramp up of alternatives after peak oil. Yes if only people would conserve......but what passes for conserving with people nowdays is actually a wasteful life of royalty. If you use any sort of air conditioning....that is not conserving....if you sit up at night watching tv....that is not conserving....no matter how efficient your appliances are....they are a waste of energy because it is energy used that produces nothing...its just gone. People will use as much as they can....they will replace every last little bit of human effort no matter how trivial with an energy using appliance.....think electric can openers.....electric knives....electric razors.....electric doors on garages.....electric windows......electric powered push bikes.....a friend of mine recently brought one of these and she thought she was being green.....I said......how does using electricity for something that used none before make it green.....green pushbikes have always been around....they have peddles for power.....and nothing else....anything you add that uses power is not being green......its using power where none was used before...its power used to save a lazy slob from using their body for something.....this is everywhere....its the reason humans use so much of everything.....I really see no solution except for total and complete collapse and people not having the means to extract or use any more resources then they can get by hard work.....that is the only sustainable way to live.....nothing else is sustainable......it's all bullshit.....if you are relying on any fixed source of energy...it's not sustainable......and that includes the energy sources that go into making solar panels. The problem is that most people don't realise how little a solar panel produces.....I do.....I make them......and beleive me the energy that goes into making solar cells....and the other high tech materials within...and aluminium frames.....tempered glass etc......is huge.....why do you think they cost so much. If we had to rely on the output of solar panels to fuel making more solar panels.......forget it...there would be nothing left to use of anything else. All alternatives are actually derivatives of fossil fuels.....when fossil fuels decline....so does everything else.