Will the Democrats Hold the US House in 2020?
Maine-2 Representative Jared Golden (D)
US House Projection: Democrat 228, Republican 191, Toss-up 16 (updated August 23)
Using the national ratings as a baseline, and implementing the rule that at least 3 of the 5 ratings have to agree, we end up today with the Democrats projected to hold the house, clearing the minimum of 218 seats by 10 seats. In order for the Republicans to gain control of the House, they would need to win 27 more seats than currently projected. For perspective, the outcome of the 2018 election was Democrat 235, Republican 200.
The most recent changes follow:
- NJ-2 Republican to toss-up
- UT-4 D Democratic toss-up
- GA-7 toss-up to Democrat
- IA-3 toss-up to Democrat
- IL-13 toss-up to Republican
- NE-2 Republican to toss-up
- IN-5 Republican to toss-up.
Analysis by National Rating Organizations (updated August 23)
| date
| D
| R
| T
|
|---|---|---|---|---|
CB
| 23-Jul
| 229
| 193
| 13
|
Cook
| 14-Aug
| 221
| 186
| 28
|
IE
| 21-Aug
| 236
| 191
| 8
|
POL
| 6-Jul
| 216
| 192
| 27
|
Nis
| 26-Jul
| 243
| 180
| 12
|
CB: Sabato's Crystal Ball. Cook: Cook Political Report. IE: Inside Elections. POL: Politico. Nis: Niskanen Center. D: Democrat. R: Republican. T: Toss-up. Bold row reflects recent change.
Projections for Competitive US House Races (updated August 23)
DEM
| REP
| Toss-up
|
|---|---|---|
CA-21
| MI-3
| IN-5
|
CA-39
| IL-13
| CA-25
|
CA-48
| NY-21
| IA-1
|
GA-6
| OH-10
| ME-2
|
GA-7
| PA-10
| MN-7
|
IA-2
| TX-10
| NE-2
|
IA-3
| TX-25
| NJ-2
|
MI-8
| MI-3
| NY-11
|
NJ-3
| NE-2
| NY-22
|
NJ-7
| NY-21
| OK-5
|
NM-2
| OH-10
| SC-1
|
PA-8
| PA-10
| TX-22
|
TX-7
| TX-10
| TX-24
|
VA-2
| TX-25
| UT-4
|
VA-7
| TX-31
|
Bold cell reflects recent change.
Create Your Interactive Map Starting With My Analysis
- 2020 House Election Interactive Map
Who will control the Congress? Review and predict the outcome of the 435 House races in the 2020 elections.
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