PSA: For fans of Nate Silver and his wizardary with stats, take a peek

  1. tsmog profile image72
    tsmogposted 42 hours ago

    Hitting the streets Nate Silver's book On the Edge now available in paperback offers promise of perspective from a deep look into, yup, the numbers, risk taking, and observing life.

    A snapshot for enticement of the 2024 publication is . . .

    "The River and the Village, revisited

    The two communities that I identify in On the Edge, the River and the Village, don’t formulate a neat one-to-one mapping with Republicans and Democrats. Still, in the context of an election campaign, it was a close enough approximation. The Village — my name for the risk-averse progressive establishment symbolized by institutions like Harvard and the New York Times — was and remains on its heels, discredited now even among Democrats. The 2020 election might have seemed like a triumph for the Village, with Biden winning by promising a return to normalcy and more competent handling of COVID. But over the next four years, from virtually Biden’s first day in office forward, it misread the mood of voters, treating anyone who wasn’t in the tribe as an alien species.

    The River, conversely, is my name for risk-seeking types, people who seek to maximize expected value at every opportunity, canonically associated with Wall Street and Las Vegas and Silicon Valley. Although there are exceptions like the World Series of Poker and the Manifest conference where you can find an undiluted version of the River, it’s generally less of a discrete community than the Village."

    If you have a few minutes and are curious go to the link next to learn a bit and a byte about the book and Nate. There are graphics and everything. A learning experience itself. Definitely, don't take my word at it that this will be a spellbinding read.

    One year later, is the River winning? presented at the Silver Bulletin by Nate Silver (Aug 12, 2025)
    https://www.natesilver.net/p/one-year-l … er-winning

 
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